Kayserispor vs Rizespor preview

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Super Lig
Kayserispor KAY
Rizespor Rizespor
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Kayserispor welcomes Rizespor to Kadir Has Şehir Stadı for a crucial Super Lig regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit precariously in 17th place, grappling with a modest power score of 12.22, while visitors Rizespor occupy a stronger 8th position with a robust 24.95 rating, granting them a clear 12.7-point edge. Form metrics underscore this disparity, as Rizespor's 23.89 sharply outpaces Kayserispor's meager 3.72. Lacking recent outing details or detailed squad updates, attention turns to overarching strengths. Advanced data on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces remains sparse, with low-confidence proxies indicating limited insights into specialized phases. Projections reflect a balanced affair despite Rizespor's superiority, pitting home resilience against away momentum in a mid-table tussle with relegation shadows looming for Kayserispor.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rizespor commands a 12.7-point power advantage over Kayserispor.
  • Form: Rizespor's form score of 23.89 vastly exceeds Kayserispor's 3.72.
  • Squad: Kayserispor holds 17th place, trailing Rizespor's 8th in Super Lig standings.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxy with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables absent due to data limitations.
  • Market: Kayserispor 37.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.2% (Δ+0%) | Rizespor 35.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Kayserispor E. Moe
E. Moe
VS
Rizespor R. Uçar
R. Uçar
0.85
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: L
Fenerbahçe Rank: L
Kasımpaşa Rank: L
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: W
Samsunspor Rank: L
Trabzonspor Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fenerbahçe Rank: D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: W
Samsunspor Rank: W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: L
Trabzonspor Rank: L
Antalyaspor Rank: W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 6 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kayserispor
37.26%
Draw
27.24%
Away Rizespor
35.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
12.22
24.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kayserispor
Rizespor
Power Score
12.22
24.95
League Position
17
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kayserispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Rizespor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kayserispor Rizespor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kayserispor KAY Home
25 matches
Rizespor Rizespor Away
Match Record
11
Wins
8
6
Draws
6
8
Losses
11
Goals
29
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
29
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:06:08+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
B. Bayazit
25 B. Bayazit
J. Katongo
2 J. Katongo
S. Güler
6 S. Güler
S. Denswil
4 S. Denswil
J. Brenet
30 J. Brenet
Y. Aït Bennasser
15 Y. Aït Bennasser
S. Mather
11 S. Mather
F. Soyalp
33 F. Soyalp
L. Bénes
8 L. Bénes
M. Nunes Cardoso
7 M. Nunes Cardoso
F. Chalov
63 F. Chalov
Y. Fofana
75 Y. Fofana
C. Højer Nielsen
5 C. Højer Nielsen
M. Sagnan
27 M. Sagnan
A. Mocsi
4 A. Mocsi
M. Pala
54 M. Pala
G. Papanikolaou
6 G. Papanikolaou
V. Mihăilă
7 V. Mihăilă
Q. Laçi
20 Q. Laçi
I. Olawoyin
10 I. Olawoyin
A. Awokoya-Mebude
17 A. Awokoya-Mebude
A. Sowe
9 A. Sowe

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı
Capacity
32864
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gürcan Hasova
Süleyman Özay
Esat Sancaktar
Süleyman Bahadır

Expected Lineup

Referee : Gürcan Hasova

Starting XI ▼

25
Bilal Bayazıt
Bilal Bayazıt Goalkeeper
6.9
7
Miguel Cardoso
Miguel Cardoso Midfielder
6.94
11
Sam Mather
Sam Mather Midfielder
6.65
63
Fedor Chalov
Fedor Chalov Centre Forward
6.62
2
J. Katongo
J. Katongo Right Back
6.31
4
Stefano Denswil
Stefano Denswil Left Back
6.7
6
Semih Güler
Semih Güler Right Back
6.7
8
László Bénes
László Bénes Central Midfield
6.98
30
Joshua Brenet
Joshua Brenet Left Back
6.25
15
Youssef Aït Bennasser
Youssef Aït Bennasser Defensive Midfield
6.79
33
Furkan Soyalp
Furkan Soyalp Central Midfield
6.77
Referee : Gürcan Hasova

Starting XI ▼

75
Yahia Fofana
Yahia Fofana Goalkeeper
6.87
7
Valentin Mihăilă
Valentin Mihăilă Midfielder
6.79
17
Adedire Mebude
Adedire Mebude Midfielder
6.92
9
Ali Sowe
Ali Sowe Centre Forward
6.71
4
Attila Mocsi
Attila Mocsi Right Back
6.69
5
Casper Højer
Casper Højer Left Back
6.78
6
Giannis Papanikolaou
Giannis Papanikolaou Defensive Midfield
6.67
10
Ibrahim Olawoyin
Ibrahim Olawoyin Central Midfield
6.79
20
Qazim Laci
Qazim Laci Central Midfield
7.2
27
Modibo Sagnan
Modibo Sagnan Left Back
6.84
54
Mithat Pala
Mithat Pala Right Back
6.7

CONCLUSION

Rizespor arrives as the stronger outfit, leveraging superior power, form, and league standing to challenge Kayserispor at home. The 12.7-point edge suggests visitor dominance, yet even projections hint at competitiveness, with both teams near parity alongside draw potential. Absent granular stats on set pieces or efficiency, outcomes may swing on basic execution and home crowd boost. Kayserispor must defy trends to escape the drop zone, while Rizespor eyes consolidation in the top half. Expect a gritty battle where Rizespor's momentum could prove decisive.