Tondela VS Nacional

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal

Estádio João Cardoso Sat, 25 Apr - 2:30 PM

Liga Portugal

Tondela CDT

Nacional CDN

KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:30 PM

Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Tondela welcomes Nacional to Estádio João Cardoso in a pivotal Liga Portugal regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 17th in the standings, Tondela faces an uphill battle against 14th-placed Nacional, who boast a superior power score of 17.07 compared to Tondela's 14.67, translating to a 2.4-point advantage that marks them as the stronger side overall. Form metrics further highlight the disparity, with Nacional's impressive 14.39 score dwarfing Tondela's modest 5.39, suggesting recent momentum favors the visitors. League positions underscore Nacional's slight edge in consistency amid a tight mid-to-lower table scrap. While detailed metrics on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces remain unavailable due to limited xG data, the structural and form gaps point to a challenging outing for the hosts. Home support may provide Tondela a boost, but Nacional's advantages position them favorably for the points.

TL;DR

Structural: Nacional possesses a 2.4-point power advantage over Tondela with scores of 17.07 to 14.67.
Form: Nacional's form score stands at 14.39, far superior to Tondela's 5.39.
Squad: Tondela occupies 17th place while Nacional sits 14th in Liga Portugal standings.
Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team in this matchup.
Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable due to lack of detailed tracking data.
Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable as xG metrics are not enabled.
xVariable: xG-related variables absent, limiting advanced performance analysis.
Market: Tondela 33.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28% (Δ+0%) | Nacional 38.2% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

G. Feio

T. Carvalho Margarido

0.76

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.82

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

3 - 1 - 5

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Tondela

33.76%

Draw

28.02%

Nacional

38.23%

Team Power Ranking

14.67

17.07

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Tondela

Nacional

Power Score

14.67

17.07

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Tondela — Opponent-weighted form score

Nacional — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tondela Nacional

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tondela CDT Home

9 matches

Nacional CDN Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-4

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:07:03+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1

Match Formation 4-3-3

31 B. Parise Fontes

5 J. Silva Afonso

44 J. Antunes da Silva

20 B. Medina

48 T. Silva Manso

27 R. Fernandes Conceição

70 M. Sie Ouattara

10 J. Hodge

32 J. Rodríguez López

26 A. van der Heide

16 M. Mesquita Lopes

1 K. Pereira Azarias

5 J. Mendes Gomes

38 J. Lima Cardoso

33 F. Baptista Gonçalves

16 A. Núñez Duarte

28 I. Liziero Pereira

20 J. Serrão Garcês

10 D. de Melo Araujo Junior

11 P. Pereira da Silva

9 J. Ramírez Díaz

27 G. Fonseca de Souza

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 25, 2026, 02:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season

Stadium

Estádio João Cardoso

Capacity

30127

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Hugo André Pires Ribeiro

Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Flávio Dinis Lima

Gonçalo Nuno Soares Vaz Freire

Lineup

Referee : Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Manager ▼

G. Feio Coach

Starting XI ▼

Bernardo Goalkeeper

6.93

João Afonso Defender

6.78

Brayan Medina Defender

6.75

Rodrigo Conceição Defender

6.63

João Silva Defender

6.8

Tiago Manso Defender

6.6

Joe Hodge Midfielder

6.69

Arjen van der Heide Midfielder

6.52

Juanse Midfielder

6.68

Moudjatovic Midfielder

6.53

Rony Lopes Attacker

6.9

Referee : Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Manager ▼

T. Carvalho Margarido Coach

Starting XI ▼

Kaique Goalkeeper

6.97

José Gomes Defender

6.81

Alan Nuñez Defender

6.73

Francisco Gonçalves Defender

6.63

Ze Vitor Defender

7.01

Daniel Jr Midfielder

6.7

Jota Midfielder

6.5

Liziero Midfielder

7.04

Jesús Ramírez Attacker

7.2

Paulinho Bóia Attacker

6.94

Gabriel Veron Attacker

6.72

CONCLUSION

Nacional arrives with clear structural and form superiority, making them the team to beat despite Tondela's home venue advantage at Estádio João Cardoso. The 2.4-point power edge and dominant 14.39 form score suggest Nacional can exploit Tondela's struggles in 17th place. Absent specialized data on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces, the analysis hinges on these core disparities, tilting the balance towards the visitors. Tondela must rally defensively and capitalize on any home momentum to counter Nacional's momentum. Expect a competitive affair where Nacional's advantages likely yield a positive result, though a draw remains plausible in this league scrap.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT