Wolfsberger AC vs Grazer AK preview
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Lavanttal Arena
Round 7 ·
Relegation Round
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 28
CONTEXT
Wolfsberger AC clinched a narrow 1-0 win against Grazer AK in the Austrian Bundesliga, defying expectations as the visitors were considered the stronger side. The match remained goalless at halftime with both teams scoreless, reflecting a cautious first half where Grazer AK held 56% possession compared to Wolfsberger's 44%. The home side's breakthrough came in the second half, capitalizing on limited opportunities while Grazer AK failed to convert their territorial advantage. No red cards were issued, and the game proceeded without major disciplinary disruptions. This result marks a significant deviation for Wolfsberger AC, who overcame pre-match perceptions to secure all three points through defensive resilience and clinical finishing.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Wolfsberger AC exhibited a significant structural deviation of 59.9%.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
-
xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment assessment.
-
Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
-
Event impact: No major events like second-half adjustments impacted the flow.
-
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Sadikovski
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
19.78
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.48
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.3
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.32
M. Hartl
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
19.78
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.48
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.3
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.32
R. Steinacher
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
19.78
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.48
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.3
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.32
P. Gadler
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
19.78
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.48
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.3
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.32
0.67
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blau-Weiß Linz
Rank:
L
Blau-Weiß Linz
Rank:
D
Ried
Rank:
D
WSG Tirol
Rank:
L
Rheindorf Altach
Rank:
D
Grazer AK
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ried
Rank:
L
Ried
Rank:
D
Rheindorf Altach
Rank:
L
Blau-Weiß Linz
Rank:
W
WSG Tirol
Rank:
W
Wolfsberger AC
Rank:
W
3
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Wolfsberger AC
40.08%
Draw
29.24%
Grazer AK
30.68%
Movement
Changes since opening
Wolfsberger AC
-55.99%
Draw
+25.51%
Grazer AK
+30.49%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.32
22.17
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
Power Score
14.32
22.17
League Position
10
11
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Wolfsberger AC
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Grazer AK
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Wolfsberger AC Grazer AK
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Wolfsberger AC
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Grazer AK
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Wolfsberger AC
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Grazer AK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.95
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.00
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Wolfsberger AC
-0.17
Efficiency Index
vs
Grazer AK
+0.17
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Wolfsberger AC
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Grazer AK
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Wolfsberger AC
vs
Grazer AK
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Wolfsberger AC
0.19
Grazer AK
0.30
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Wolfsberger AC
0.00
Grazer AK
0.02
Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- WAC had peak pressure around 89'.
- WAC started the game with stronger pressure.
WAC Pressure
GAK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
WAC reached the top pressure at 89' (76.82).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Wolfsberger AC
WAC
Home
5
matches
Grazer AK
GAK
Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
3
Goals
13
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
13
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0.93
xG
2.32
2.32
xGA
0.93
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:06:07+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-4-2-1
Match Formation
3-1-4-2
12 N. Polster
37 N. Wimmer
T. Gruber
#1386'
31 F. Wohlmuth
30 M. Sulzner
18 A. Schöpf
D. Atanga
#1762'
77 R. Renner
#2062'
34 E. Agyemang
24 J. Ngankam
12 F. Stolz
2 D. Pines
82 B. Owusu
32 L. Klassen
7 M. Şatin
20 T. Schriebl
14 J. Italiano
D. Frieser
#2879'
22 R. Harakaté
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 7 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Lavanttal Arena
Capacity
7300
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alain Sadikovski
Mattias Hartl
Robert Steinacher
Philip Gadler
Next Match
Wolfsberger AC
vs
Rheindorf Altach
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Mon, 4 May - 4:30 PM
Venue: CASHPOINT Arena
Grazer AK
vs
WSG Tirol
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Merkur Arena
Statistics
Possession
WAC
44%
GAK
56%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
0
3
Big Chances Created
0
3
Shots
7
42
Dangerous attacks
40
44
Possession
56
5
Corners
8
10
Free kicks
13
0
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
5
Substitutions
4
1
Assists
0
19
Throwins
31
8
Dribble Attempts
12
3
Goal Attempts
3
0
Successful Dribbles Percentage
33
10
Goal Kicks
9
77
Ball Safe
95
0
Successful Dribbles
4
Attacking
45
Attacks
62
2
Big Chances Missed
0
Possession
198
Successful Passes
264
282
Passes
365
67
Long Passes
79
70
Successful Passes Percentage
72
3
Key Passes
11
39
Successful Long Passes Percentage
37
26
Successful Long Passes
29
Defensive
11
Interceptions
7
8
Tackles
14
39
Duels Won
43
2
Saves
2
Build-up
5
Accurate Crosses
3
18
Total Crosses
18
Discipline
13
Fouls
10
2
Offsides
2
Lineup
Referee :
Alain Sadikovski
Manager ▼
T. Silberberger
Coach
Starting XI ▼
13Tobias Gruber
6.45Defender86'
17David Atanga
6.64Attacker62'
24
Jessic Ngankam
Attacker
6.72 Substitutes ▼
2
Boris Matic
Midfielder
6.96
Referee :
Alain Sadikovski
Manager ▼
F. Feldhofer
Coach
Starting XI ▼
14
Jacob Italiano
Midfielder
6.9 28Dominik Frieser
6.61Attacker79'
Substitutes ▼
26
Christoph Nicht
Goalkeeper
4
Martin Kreuzriegler
Defender
6.61 15
Lukas Graf
Defender
6.45 24
Tim Paumgartner
Midfielder
6.5
Events
2ND-HALF
87'
8th Substitution
87'
9th Substitution
Tobias Gruber → Fabian Wohlmuth
7th Substitution
86'
Header / 1st Goal
84'
79'
Dominik Frieser → Ramiz Harakate
6th Substitution
5th Substitution
78'
68'
4th Substitution
67'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
65'
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
David Atanga → Rene Renner
1st Substitution
62'
2nd Substitution
62'
3rd Substitution
62'
CONCLUSION
Wolfsberger AC's 1-0 triumph over Grazer AK underscores the fine margins in football, where possession dominance by the visitors at 56% did not translate into goals. The home team's solid defending and opportunistic second-half strike proved decisive in a match level at 0-0 halftime. Lacking xG insights, the result highlights Wolfsberger's efficiency in key moments despite being out-possessed. This victory boosts their standing, while Grazer AK must reflect on missed chances. Overall, it exemplifies how underdogs can prevail through structure and resolve.
