Lechia Gdańsk vs Raków Częstochowa preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Energa Gdańsk Sat, 25 Apr - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Lechia GdańskLGD
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 3:30 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lechia Gdańsk host Raków Częstochowa in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Energa Gdańsk. Domestically, Lechia Gdańsk sit 9th in the table while Raków Częstochowa are 6th. Power ranking favours Lechia Gdańsk by 4.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lechia Gdańsk possess a 4.3-point power advantage and home venue edge over 6th-placed Raków Częstochowa.
  • Form: Lechia Gdańsk's form score of 25 surpasses Raków Częstochowa's 21.22.
  • Squad: Squad composition details unavailable for both Lechia Gdańsk and Raków Częstochowa.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics not available for this Ekstraklasa encounter.
  • Transition: Transition phase data absent for Lechia Gdańsk versus Raków Częstochowa.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on not enabled for either side.
  • Market: Lechia Gdańsk 38.5% (Δ-0.2%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ+0.2%) | Raków Częstochowa 35% (Δ+-0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lechia Gdańsk J. Carver
J. Carver
VS
Raków Częstochowa ?. Tomczyk
?. Tomczyk
1.65
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.61
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Piast Gliwice Rank: D
Wisła Płock Rank: L
Korona Kielce Rank: W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: W
Katowice Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków Rank: W
Motor Lublin Rank: D
Widzew Lodz Rank: D
Legia Warszawa Rank: D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: L
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lechia Gdańsk
38.5%
Draw
26.55%
Away Raków Częstochowa
34.95%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lechia Gdańsk
-0.17%
Draw
+0.18%
Raków Częstochowa
-0.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.45
24.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lechia Gdańsk
Raków Częstochowa
Power Score
28.45
24.14
League Position
9
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lechia Gdańsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Raków Częstochowa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lechia Gdańsk Raków Częstochowa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lechia Gdańsk LGD Home
11 matches
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa Away
Match Record
2
Wins
9
0
Draws
0
9
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
9
-17
Goal Difference
+17
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:07:31+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Paulsen
18 A. Paulsen
T. Wójtowicz
33 T. Wójtowicz
B. Pllana
4 B. Pllana
M. Rodin
80 M. Rodin
M. Vojtko
27 M. Vojtko
T. Neugebauer
99 T. Neugebauer
I. Zhelizko
5 I. Zhelizko
C. Mena Márquez
11 C. Mena Márquez
K. Sezonienko
79 K. Sezonienko
A. Ćirković
8 A. Ćirković
T. Bobček
89 T. Bobček

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Energa Gdańsk
Capacity
41984
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Koki Nagamine

Expected Lineup

Referee : Koki Nagamine

Starting XI ▼

18
Alex Paulsen
Alex Paulsen Goalkeeper
6.74
89
Tomas Bobcek
Tomas Bobcek Centre Forward
7.29
79
Kacper Sezonienko
Kacper Sezonienko Attacking Midfield
6.85
99
Tomasz Neugebauer
Tomasz Neugebauer Defensive Midfield
6.72
4
Bujar Pllana
Bujar Pllana Right Back
6.77
5
Ivan Zhelizko
Ivan Zhelizko Defensive Midfield
7.27
33
Tomasz Wojtowicz
Tomasz Wojtowicz Right Back
6.69
80
Matej Rodin
Matej Rodin Left Back
6.94
8
Aleksandar Cirkovic
Aleksandar Cirkovic Left Wing
7.02
11
Camilo Mena
Camilo Mena Right Wing
7.06
27
Matus Vojtko
Matus Vojtko Left Back
6.7
Referee : Koki Nagamine

Starting XI ▼

48
Oliwier Zych
Oliwier Zych Goalkeeper
6.8
7
Fran Tudor
Fran Tudor Midfielder
7.05
20
Jean Carlos Silva
Jean Carlos Silva Midfielder
6.92
39
Isak Brusberg
Isak Brusberg Attacker
6.69
9
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch Attacker
6.96
18
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Braut Brunes Centre Forward
7.1
4
Stratos Svarnas
Stratos Svarnas Left Back
7.07
5
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat Central Midfield
6.96
6
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka Central Midfield
6.84
25
Bogdan Racovițan
Bogdan Racovițan Centre Back
6.84
27
Paweł Dawidowicz
Paweł Dawidowicz Right Back
6.91

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lechia Gdańsk holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lechia Gdańsk a 4.3-point edge. External projection is Lechia Gdańsk 37.8%, draw 26.3%, and Raków Częstochowa 35.9%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.