Rosenborg vs Brann preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Lerkendal Stadion
Eliteserien
RosenborgRBK
1 – 1
BrannSKB
Full Time
Round 6 Regular Season
Iver Fossum - 13'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Rosenborg and Brann delivered a gripping 1-1 draw in the Eliteserien, with the home side Rosenborg viewed as the stronger team yet unable to secure victory. The first half exploded into action early, as both teams scored once to level at 1-1 by halftime, setting a frenetic tone. Brann controlled possession at 59% compared to Rosenborg's 41%, pressing high and creating chances, but Rosenborg's defensive resilience shone through. The second half saw sustained pressure from the visitors, yet neither side could break the deadlock, reflecting balanced quality. This result highlights Rosenborg's grit despite lower ball control, while Brann's dominance yielded no extra reward. No red cards disrupted play, allowing continuous end-to-end football. The moderate structural deviation of 8.6% tilted toward Rosenborg, aligning with pre-match assessments. Efficiency stayed in line, underscoring a fair outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.6% structural deviation favoring Rosenborg.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations throughout.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned fully with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable due to absent data.
  • Event impact: No significant events like adjustments altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Saggi
R. Saggi
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
A. Jaeger
A. Jaeger
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
P. Grov Heiberg
P. Grov Heiberg
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Rosenborg A. Johansson
A. Johansson
VS
Brann F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.91
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sandefjord Rank: D
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
Vålerenga Rank: L
Molde Rank: L
Strømsgodset Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking Rank: L
Sandefjord Rank: L
HamKam Rank: W
Tromsø Rank: L
Kristiansund Rank: L
HamKam Rank: W
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 9 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rosenborg
4.09%
Draw
91.42%
Away Brann
4.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.52
18.1
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rosenborg
Brann
Power Score
18.52
18.1
League Position
12
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rosenborg Brann

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rosenborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rosenborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.76
22.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.88
24.76
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rosenborg +0.17 Efficiency Index
vs
Brann -0.17 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rosenborg
Brann
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rosenborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rosenborg Brann
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rosenborg Brann
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Rosenborg
Brann
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rosenborg
vs
Brann
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rosenborg Brann
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rosenborg 0.39
Brann 0.40
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rosenborg Brann
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rosenborg 0.03
Brann 0.04
Rosenborg
Brann
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RBK had peak pressure around 90'.
  • SKB started the game with stronger pressure.
RBK Pressure SKB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RBK reached the top pressure at 90' (76.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rosenborg RBK Home
38 matches
Brann SKB Away
Match Record
16
Wins
13
9
Draws
9
13
Losses
16
Goals
70
Goals Scored
57
57
Goals Conceded
70
+13
Goal Difference
-13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:06:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
Capacity
21421
Attendance
12378
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rohit Saggi
Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen
Aleksander Jaeger
Per Oscar Grov Heiberg

Statistics

Possession
RBK
43%
SKB
57%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
2 Shots 4
23 Dangerous attacks 30
41 Possession 59
7 Corners 11
17 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

3 Successful Dribbles 7
4 Goal Attempts 8
86 Ball Safe 63
5 Substitutions 4
0 Hit Woodwork 1
15 Dribble Attempts 15
20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47
29 Throwins 20
8 Goal Kicks 6

Attacking

2 Counter Attacks 5
48 Attacks 59

Possession

7 Key Passes 7
60 Long Passes 60
29 Successful Long Passes 24
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
228 Successful Passes 377
310 Passes 454
74 Successful Passes Percentage 83

Defensive

8 Interceptions 6
3 Saves 1
15 Tackles 20
47 Duels Won 52

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 8
16 Total Crosses 29

Discipline

11 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI ▼

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
6.98
2
Håkon Røsten
Håkon Røsten Defender
7.03
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Tobias Solheim Dahl Defender
6.75
15
Jonas Mortensen
Jonas Mortensen Defender
7.36
16
Aslak Witry
Aslak Witry
Defender67'
6.63
21
Tomas Nemcik
Tomas Nemcik Defender
6.88
7
Simen Bolkan Nordli
Simen Bolkan Nordli Midfielder
6.92
19
Adrian Pereira
Adrian Pereira
Defender66'
6.42
8
Iver Fossum
Iver Fossum Midfielder
6.9
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
Johan Johanessen Bakke
Midfielder66'
6.31
10
Ole Selnæs
Ole Selnæs Midfielder
7.13
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide Midfielder
6.67
11
Noah Sahsah
Noah Sahsah
Attacker67'
6.66
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Attacker
6.89
9
Dino Islamovic
Dino Islamovic
Attacker89'
6.45
18
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha Attacker
6.51
Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI ▼

12
S. Nilsen
S. Nilsen Goalkeeper
6.71
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen Defender
6.87
20
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes Defender
6.48
21
Denzel De Roeve
Denzel De Roeve Defender
6.89
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Defender
6.7
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder
7.09
10
K. Ingason
K. Ingason Midfielder
6.49
26
Rabbi Matondo
Rabbi Matondo
Midfielder82'
6.43
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Jacob Lungi Sørensen Midfielder
7.12
7
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Attacker
7.15
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Midfielder69'
6.52
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen Attacker
6.66
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne
Attacker69'
7.17
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Attacker
7.55
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen
Midfielder69'
6.66

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Dino Islamovic → Mads Bomholt
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Tomas Nemcik
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
87'
82'
Event
Rabbi Matondo → K. Ingason
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
70'
Event
K. Ingason
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
69'
Event
Kristian Eriksen → Noah Holm
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Bård Finne → Ulrik Mathisen
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Niklas Jensen Wassberg → Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
7th Substitution
Event
Noah Sahsah → Emil Konradsen Ceide
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Aslak Witry → Jonas Mortensen
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Johan Johanessen Bakke → Iver Fossum
1st Substitution
66'
Event
Adrian Pereira → Simen Bolkan Nordli
2nd Substitution
66'
50'
Event
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
19'
Event
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Iver Fossum
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
13'

CONCLUSION

This 1-1 stalemate underscores Rosenborg's home tenacity against Brann's possession edge, with the stronger team Rosenborg extracting a point from a balanced affair. Halftime parity at 1-1 fueled a competitive second period where defenses prevailed. Brann's 59% possession failed to convert into wins, exposing finishing frailties, while Rosenborg capitalized on counter opportunities. The moderate deviation and market alignment suggest a predictable draw, free from disruptive events. Both squads gain momentum, but Rosenborg bolsters its stronger status with resilience. Looking ahead, this result teases tighter battles in upcoming fixtures.