Rubin Kazan vs CSKA Moskva preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Ak Bars Arena Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
Premier League
Rubin Kazan RKA
0 – 0
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 4:30 PM
Round 27 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rubin Kazan welcomed CSKA Moskva to a match that concluded in a goalless 0-0 draw. The home team, deemed the stronger side, managed 47% possession compared to CSKA's 53%. The first half mirrored the final scoreline at 0-0, with both teams evenly matched at halftime. No goals materialized despite opportunities, underscoring robust defensive displays. Rubin Kazan faced a significant structural deviation of 100%, deviating from expectations as the favored team. Efficiency metrics for both squads stayed in line with typical performances. The outcome proved market-aligned, reflecting pre-match assessments. Lacking xG data prevents detailed chance quality analysis, but the stalemate suggests balanced threats. No red cards or major events altered the game's structure, allowing a fair contest throughout 90 minutes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rubin Kazan recorded a significant structural deviation of 100% as the stronger team in a 0-0 draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency for both teams remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be evaluated due to unavailable xG data.
  • Market alignment: The 0-0 draw aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without recorded xG values.
  • Event impact: No notable events influenced the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion in the game flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Shafeev
R. Shafeev
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 24.51
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.62
Rubin Kazan F. Cebrián
F. Cebrián
VS
CSKA Moskva F. Celestini
F. Celestini
1.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Moskva Rank: W
Akron Rank: D
Orenburg Rank: D
Sochi Rank: W
Krylya Sovetov Rank: D
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rostov Rank: D
Krylya Sovetov Rank: D
Sochi Rank: L
Akron Rank: W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: W
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: L
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 11 - 20
20

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rubin Kazan
0%
Draw
0%
Away CSKA Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.86
23.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rubin Kazan
CSKA Moskva
Power Score
28.86
23.09
League Position
7
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rubin Kazan — Opponent-weighted form score
CSKA Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rubin Kazan

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

CSKA Moskva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rubin Kazan ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy CSKA Moskva
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.62
40.57
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.57
43.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rubin Kazan +0.36 Efficiency Index
vs
CSKA Moskva -0.36 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rubin Kazan
CSKA Moskva
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rubin Kazan ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy CSKA Moskva
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Rubin Kazan
CSKA Moskva
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rubin Kazan
vs
CSKA Moskva
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rubin Kazan 0.36
CSKA Moskva 0.38
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rubin Kazan CSKA Moskva
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rubin Kazan 0.00
CSKA Moskva 0.00
Rubin Kazan
CSKA Moskva
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RKA had peak pressure around 17'.
  • RKA started the game with stronger pressure.
RKA Pressure CSKA Moskva Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RKA reached the top pressure at 17' (94.02).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rubin Kazan RKA Home
43 matches
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Away
Match Record
12
Wins
20
11
Draws
11
20
Losses
12
Goals
36
Goals Scored
59
59
Goals Conceded
36
-23
Goal Difference
+23
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:06:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Staver
Russia
38 E. Staver
N. Lobov
Substitution
Russia
98 N. Lobov
I. Vujačić
Montenegro
5 I. Vujačić
E. Teslenko
Russia
2 E. Teslenko
A. Arroyo Córdoba
Substitution
Colombia
12 A. Arroyo Córdoba
V. Hodža
Croatia
22 V. Hodža
I. Saavedra Pino
Chile
7 I. Saavedra Pino
I. Rozhkov
Substitution
Russia
51 I. Rozhkov
J. Siwe
Substitution
France
43 J. Siwe
M. Daku
Albania
10 M. Daku
N. Gripshi
Substitution
Albania
11 N. Gripshi
V. Torop
Russia
49 V. Torop
M. Barbosa
Substitution
Brazil
27 M. Barbosa
K. Danilov
Russia
79 K. Danilov
J. Da Silva Marcelino
Brazil
4 J. Da Silva Marcelino
D. Krugovoi
Russia
3 D. Krugovoi
D. Barinov
Russia
6 D. Barinov
I. Oblyakov
Russia
10 I. Oblyakov
M. Popović
Substitution
Serbia
20 M. Popović
M. Alves Nascimento
Substitution
7 M. Alves Nascimento
H. Fabiano do Carmo
Substitution
37 H. Fabiano do Carmo
T. Musaev
Russia
11 T. Musaev

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Ak Bars Arena
Capacity
45105
Attendance
25181
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rafael Shafeev

Statistics

Possession
RKA
48%
CSKA Moskva
52%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 12
50 Dangerous attacks 50
47 Possession 53
5 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 16
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 17
12 Throwins 20
5 Successful Dribbles 2
9 Goal Kicks 9
1 Injuries 1
18 Successful Headers 20
13 Dribble Attempts 12
90 Ball Safe 90
5 Substitutions 4
9 Goal Attempts 14

Attacking

97 Attacks 107
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

410 Passes 477
78 Successful Passes Percentage 84
58 Long Passes 42
319 Successful Passes 402
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48
28 Successful Long Passes 20

Defensive

8 Saves 4
17 Tackles 13
9 Interceptions 10
51 Duels Won 48

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 3
19 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
15 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Rafael Shafeev

Starting XI ▼

38
Evgeniy Staver
Evgeniy Staver Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Egor Teslenko
Egor Teslenko Defender
6.91
5
Igor Vujacic
Igor Vujacic Defender
6.83
98
Nikita Lobov
Nikita Lobov Defender
6.8
3
Denil Maldonado
Denil Maldonado
Defender46'
6.75
7
Ignacio Saavedra
Ignacio Saavedra Midfielder
6.82
12
Anderson Arroyo
Anderson Arroyo Midfielder
6.9
70
Dmitriy Kabutov
Dmitriy Kabutov
Defender80'
6.76
22
Veldin Hodza
Veldin Hodza Midfielder
6.74
51
Ilya Rozhkov
Ilya Rozhkov Midfielder
6.71
4
Konstantin Nizhegorodov
Konstantin Nizhegorodov
Defender86'
6.73
10
Mirlind Daku
Mirlind Daku Attacker
6.93
11
Nazmi Gripshi
Nazmi Gripshi Attacker
7.03
23
Ruslan Bezrukov
Ruslan Bezrukov
Defender64'
6.65
43
Jacques Siwe
Jacques Siwe Attacker
6.76
99
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj
Attacker64'
6.86
Referee : Rafael Shafeev

Starting XI ▼

49
Vladislav Torop
Vladislav Torop Goalkeeper
6.84
3
Danil Krugovoy
Danil Krugovoy Defender
7.04
4
João Victor
João Victor Defender
6.93
27
Moisés
Moisés Defender
6.81
18
Danila Kozlov
Danila Kozlov
Midfielder72'
6.56
79
Kirill Danilov
Kirill Danilov Defender
6.68
6
Dmitri Barinov
Dmitri Barinov Midfielder
7.14
7
Matheus Alves Nascimento
Matheus Alves Nascimento Midfielder
6.89
9
Luciano Gondou
Luciano Gondou
Attacker46'
6.62
10
Ivan Oblyakov
Ivan Oblyakov Midfielder
7.43
20
Matija Popović
Matija Popović Midfielder
6.58
2
Matheus Reis
Matheus Reis
Defender66'
6.85
37
Henrique Carmo
Henrique Carmo Midfielder
6.75
31
Matvey Kislyak
Matvey Kislyak
Midfielder46'
7.23
11
Tamerlan Musaev
Tamerlan Musaev Attacker
6.86

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ignacio Saavedra
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Konstantin Nizhegorodov → Ilya Rozhkov
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Dmitriy Kabutov → Anderson Arroyo
8th Substitution
80'
72'
Event
Danila Kozlov → Moisés
7th Substitution
66'
Event
Matheus Reis → Matija Popović
6th Substitution
Event
Ruslan Bezrukov → Nazmi Gripshi
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj → Jacques Siwe
5th Substitution
64'
62'
Event
Luciano Gondou
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
51'
Event
Kirill Danilov
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Denil Maldonado → Nikita Lobov
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Luciano Gondou → Matheus Alves Nascimento
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Matvey Kislyak → Henrique Carmo
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Nikita Lobov
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
27'
Event
Igor Vujacic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw between Rubin Kazan and CSKA Moskva exemplified a defensively disciplined encounter, with CSKA holding a slim possession edge at 53%. As the stronger team, Rubin Kazan's failure to secure victory marked a notable deviation, yet efficiencies aligned normatively. Market consistency reinforced the result's predictability, while missing xG data limits deeper insights into chance creation. Halftime parity at 0-0 set the tone for a cagey second period devoid of breakthroughs. Without red cards or adjustments, both sides demonstrated resilience, prioritizing clean sheets over risks. This outcome tempers expectations for Rubin ahead, highlighting CSKA's stubborn resistance.