Valencia vs Girona preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga
ValenciaVAL
GironaGIR
KICKOFF :
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Valencia host Girona in La Liga (Regular Season) at Estadio de Mestalla. Domestically, Valencia sit 14th in the table while Girona are 13th. Power ranking favours Girona by 7.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Girona possesses a 7.6-point power advantage over Valencia, marking them as the stronger side overall.
  • Form: Girona's form score stands at 23.89, well ahead of Valencia's 13.61.
  • Squad: Valencia occupies 14th place in La Liga, just below Girona in 13th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both Valencia and Girona.
  • Transition: Transition play data remains limited for this matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data is unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are not available for Valencia or Girona.
  • Market: Valencia 44% (Δ-0.2%) | Draw 28.2% (Δ+0.3%) | Girona 27.8% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Valencia C. Corberán Vallet
C. Corberán Vallet
VS
Girona M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.39
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mallorca Rank: D
Elche Rank: L
Celta de Vigo Rank: L
Sevilla Rank: W
Real Oviedo Rank: L
Deportivo Alavés Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Betis Rank: L
Real Madrid Rank: D
Villarreal Rank: W
Osasuna Rank: L
Athletic Club Rank: W
Levante Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Valencia
43.96%
Draw
28.23%
Away Girona
27.81%

Movement

Changes since opening
Valencia
-0.19%
Draw
+0.3%
Girona
-0.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.83
28.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Valencia
Girona
Power Score
20.83
28.38
League Position
14
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Valencia — Opponent-weighted form score
Girona — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Valencia Girona

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Valencia VAL Home
11 matches
Girona GIR Away
Match Record
5
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
5
Goals
13
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
13
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:08:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Mestalla
Capacity
49430
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alejandro Muñíz Ruiz
Diego Sánchez Rojo
Julián Villaseñor Julián
David Cambronero González

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro Muñíz Ruiz

Starting XI ▼

1
Stole Dimitrievski
Stole Dimitrievski Goalkeeper
6.9
4
Unai Núñez
Unai Núñez Defender
6.76
5
César Tárrega
César Tárrega Defender
6.72
14
José Gayà
José Gayà Defender
6.65
18
Pepelu
Pepelu Defender
6.96
2
Guido Rodríguez
Guido Rodríguez Midfielder
7.02
8
Javi Guerra
Javi Guerra Midfielder
6.69
23
Filip Ugrinic
Filip Ugrinic Midfielder
6.83
6
Umar Sadiq
Umar Sadiq Attacker
6.52
11
Luis Rioja
Luis Rioja Attacker
6.84
17
Largie Ramazani
Largie Ramazani Attacker
6.83
Referee : Alejandro Muñíz Ruiz

Starting XI ▼

13
Paulo Gazzaniga
Paulo Gazzaniga Goalkeeper
6.87
4
Arnau Martínez
Arnau Martínez Defender
6.88
12
Vitor Reis
Vitor Reis Defender
6.88
17
Daley Blind
Daley Blind Defender
6.88
24
Álex Moreno
Álex Moreno Defender
6.66
18
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Midfielder
7.25
20
Axel Witsel
Axel Witsel Midfielder
6.8
23
Iván Martín
Iván Martín Midfielder
6.81
3
Joel Roca
Joel Roca Attacker
6.55
14
Claudio Echeverri
Claudio Echeverri Attacker
6.81
15
Viktor Tsygankov
Viktor Tsygankov Attacker
7.15

CONCLUSION

This La Liga encounter at Mestalla pits Valencia's home fortitude against Girona's superior power and form metrics. While Girona's 7.6-point edge and higher form score position them as favorites on paper, Valencia's 45% projection share reflects venue value in a balanced mid-table scrap. Absent detailed efficiency, set-piece, or transition insights, the duel hinges on execution and adaptability. Expect a cagey affair where Girona's quality may test Valencia's resolve, but home support could tip the scales toward a draw or narrow Los Che win.