Burgos vs Deportivo La Coruña preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Burgos BUR
Deportivo La Coruña COR
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Burgos welcomes Deportivo La Coruña to Estadio Municipal de El Plantío in a pivotal La Liga 2 regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Hosting from 8th place, Burgos holds a power score edge at 32.15 over the visitors' 30.53, translating to a 1.6-point advantage that marks them as the stronger side analytically. Recent form tilts further in the hosts' favor with a 31.67 rating against Deportivo's 25.89, suggesting momentum at home despite the Galicians' impressive 2nd position. This matchup pits Burgos' structural solidity and efficiency against a high-flying Deportivo outfit aiming to extend their top-table stay. Key battles will unfold in transition phases, where both sides seek to exploit open play, while set-piece execution remains a wildcard given limited data. The venue's familiarity could amplify Burgos' threat, setting the stage for a tightly contested affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Burgos possesses a 1.6-point power advantage over Deportivo La Coruña, positioning them as the analytically stronger team.
  • Form: Burgos outperforms Deportivo La Coruña in recent form scores, 31.67 to 25.89.
  • Squad: League standings show Deportivo La Coruña in 2nd place compared to Burgos at 8th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either Burgos or Deportivo La Coruña.
  • Transition: Transition play represents a critical area for both teams lacking specific performance data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data for Burgos and Deportivo La Coruña relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG statistics unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis for this fixture.
  • Market: Burgos 35.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 33.6% (Δ+0%) | Deportivo La Coruña 31.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Burgos L. Ramis Monfort
L. Ramis Monfort
VS
Deportivo La Coruña A. Hidalgo Morilla
A. Hidalgo Morilla
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.85
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón Rank: L
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
Albacete Rank: W
Ceuta Rank: D
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Córdoba Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mirandés Rank: W
Huesca Rank: D
Málaga Rank: D
Córdoba Rank: W
Sporting Gijón Rank: D
Real Zaragoza Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Burgos
35.15%
Draw
33.58%
Away Deportivo La Coruña
31.27%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.15
30.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Burgos
Deportivo La Coruña
Power Score
32.15
30.53
League Position
8
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo La Coruña — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Burgos Deportivo La Coruña

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Burgos BUR Home
3 matches
Deportivo La Coruña COR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:08:38+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Cantero Armendáriz
13 A. Cantero Armendáriz
A. Lizancos Saldaña
2 A. Lizancos Saldaña
S. González Martínez
6 S. González Martínez
G. Sierra Pérez
8 G. Sierra Pérez
F. Miguel
12 F. Miguel
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
I. Ruiz
23 I. Ruiz
M. Atienza Villa
5 M. Atienza Villa
I. Córdoba Kerejeta
21 I. Córdoba Kerejeta
F. Niño Rodriguez
9 F. Niño Rodriguez
F. Sánchez Rodríguez
16 F. Sánchez Rodríguez
Á. Fernández Llorente
25 Á. Fernández Llorente
G. Quagliata
12 G. Quagliata
M. Loureiro Ameijeda
15 M. Loureiro Ameijeda
L. Noubi Ngnokam
4 L. Noubi Ngnokam
J. Navarro Jiménez
23 J. Navarro Jiménez
J. Molina Martínez
22 J. Molina Martínez
M. Soriano Carreño
21 M. Soriano Carreño
R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
14 R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
A. Altimira Reynaldos
2 A. Altimira Reynaldos
B. Nsongo Tonfack
32 B. Nsongo Tonfack
L. Cruz Hernández
19 L. Cruz Hernández

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Capacity
12194
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Andrés Fuentes Molina
Carlos Martínez Caballero
G. Cueto Amigo

Expected Lineup

Referee : Andrés Fuentes Molina

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Cantero
Ander Cantero Goalkeeper
6.99
21
Iñigo Córdoba
Iñigo Córdoba Midfielder
6.8
14
David González
David González Midfielder
6.91
9
Fer Niño
Fer Niño Attacker
6.89
16
Curro Sánchez
Curro Sánchez Attacker
7.15
6
Sergio González
Sergio González Right Back
6.71
8
Grego Sierra
Grego Sierra Left Back
6.88
2
Álex Lizancos
Álex Lizancos Right Back
6.95
5
Miguel Atienza
Miguel Atienza Central Midfield
6.94
12
Florian Miguel
Florian Miguel Left Back
6.97
23
Iván Morante
Iván Morante Central Midfield
6.99
Referee : Andrés Fuentes Molina

Starting XI ▼

25
Álvaro Fernández
Álvaro Fernández Goalkeeper
6.74
2
Adrià Altimira
Adrià Altimira Midfielder
7.15
22
Stoichkov
Stoichkov Midfielder
6.63
32
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack Attacker
6.72
19
Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz Attacker
6.97
4
Lucas Noubi
Lucas Noubi Right Back
6.81
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Giacomo Quagliata Left Back
6.79
21
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano Central Midfield
7.11
14
Riki Rodríguez
Riki Rodríguez Central Midfield
6.84
15
Miguel Loureiro
Miguel Loureiro Left Back
6.91
23
Ximo Navarro
Ximo Navarro Right Back
6.93

CONCLUSION

Burgos enters this home encounter with quantifiable edges in power and form, potentially leveraging Estadio Municipal de El Plantío's atmosphere to challenge the 2nd-placed Deportivo La Coruña. While the visitors boast superior league standing, the hosts' 1.6-point advantage hints at upset potential in a balanced contest. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus shifts to transitional battles and squad execution under pressure. Expect a cagey affair where Burgos' momentum clashes with Deportivo's consistency, likely hinging on early chances and defensive resolve.