Celtic vs Falkirk preview

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Celtic Park Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
Premiership
Celtic CEL
Falkirk Falkirk
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 34 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Celtic welcomes Falkirk to Celtic Park for a Premiership 2nd Phase clash in the 2025/2026 season. As the stronger outfit, Celtic commands a power score of 37.88 against Falkirk's 22.59, translating to a substantial 15.3-point advantage. Currently 3rd in the league standings, Celtic outperforms Falkirk in 6th place, backed by a form score of 29.17 versus 15.67. This matchup highlights Celtic's dominance in overall metrics, though detailed insights into set pieces remain limited due to low-confidence proxy data. No recent outings are recorded for either side, emphasizing the need to rely on seasonal trends. Falkirk faces a tough challenge against the hosts' superior structure and momentum. Expect Celtic to leverage home advantage in this league encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celtic possesses a 15.3-point power advantage over Falkirk with scores of 37.88 to 22.59.
  • Form: Celtic's form score stands at 29.17, surpassing Falkirk's 15.67.
  • Squad: Celtic occupies 3rd place in the league while Falkirk sits in 6th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided for Celtic or Falkirk.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxy data with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables remain null due to the add-on not being enabled.
  • Market: Celtic 67% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20% (Δ+0%) | Falkirk 13% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Celtic M. O'Neill
M. O'Neill
VS
Falkirk J. McGlynn
J. McGlynn
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Mirren Rank: W
Dundee Rank: W
Dundee United Rank: L
Motherwell Rank: W
Aberdeen Rank: W
Rangers Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rangers Rank: L
Motherwell Rank: W
St. Mirren Rank: L
Aberdeen Rank: D
Kilmarnock Rank: W
Hearts Rank: L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 2 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Celtic
67.01%
Draw
20%
Away Falkirk
12.99%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
37.88
22.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celtic
Falkirk
Power Score
37.88
22.59
League Position
3
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Celtic Opponent-weighted form score
Falkirk Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celtic Falkirk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celtic CEL Home
18 matches
Falkirk Falkirk Away
Match Record
15
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
15
Goals
42
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
42
+34
Goal Difference
-34
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:08:46+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
V. Sinisalo
12 V. Sinisalo
A. Ralston
56 A. Ralston
A. Trusty
6 A. Trusty
L. Scales
5 L. Scales
K. Tierney
63 K. Tierney
B. Nygren
8 B. Nygren
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
C. McGregor
42 C. McGregor
H. Yang
13 H. Yang
T. Čvančara
11 T. Čvančara
D. Maeda
38 D. Maeda
S. Bain
19 S. Bain
F. Lissah
28 F. Lissah
L. Henderson
5 L. Henderson
C. Donaldson
6 C. Donaldson
K. Adams
2 K. Adams
D. Tait
21 D. Tait
B. Spencer
8 B. Spencer
C. Miller
29 C. Miller
F. Yeats
14 F. Yeats
B. Broggio
11 B. Broggio
B. Stewart
16 B. Stewart

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 34 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Celtic Park
Capacity
60411
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Dougie Potter
Ryan Lee
Jonathan Bell
George Calder

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ryan Lee

Starting XI

12
Viljami Sinisalo
Viljami Sinisalo Goalkeeper
6.74
11
Tomas Cvancara
Tomas Cvancara Centre Forward
6.71
13
Hyun-jun Yang
Hyun-jun Yang Attacker
7
38
Daizen Maeda
Daizen Maeda Attacker
6.8
5
Liam Scales
Liam Scales Left Back
7.1
6
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty Right Back
6.98
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Central Midfield
6.89
42
Callum McGregor
Callum McGregor Central Midfield
7.12
8
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren Central Midfield
7.41
56
Anthony Ralston
Anthony Ralston Right Back
6.9
63
Kieran Tierney
Kieran Tierney Left Back
7.26
Referee : Ryan Lee

Starting XI

19
Scott Bain
Scott Bain Goalkeeper
6.85
16
Barney Stewart
Barney Stewart Centre Forward
7.23
28
Filip Lissah
Filip Lissah Left Back
7.01
29
Calvin Miller
Calvin Miller Left Wing
6.98
21
Dylan Tait
Dylan Tait Defensive Midfield
6.77
2
Keelan Adams
Keelan Adams Right Back
6.65
5
Liam Henderson
Liam Henderson Left Back
6.82
6
Coll Donaldson
Coll Donaldson Right Back
6.76
8
Brad Spencer
Brad Spencer Defensive Midfield
7.02
11
Benjamin Broggio
Benjamin Broggio Right Wing
14
Finn Yeats
Finn Yeats Attacking Midfield
6.63

CONCLUSION

Celtic enters this Premiership encounter at Celtic Park as clear favorites, wielding a decisive edge in power ratings and form over Falkirk. The 15.3-point structural superiority, coupled with better league positioning, positions the hosts for control. Absent specific efficiency or transition details, Celtic's overall metrics suggest command of proceedings. Falkirk's lower scores across boards indicate vulnerability, particularly away from home. This 2nd Phase battle underscores Celtic's seasonal strength, likely culminating in a comfortable victory. Fans anticipate a display of dominance from the green brigade.