SC Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard preview

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Abe Lenstra Stadion Sat, 25 Apr - 4:45 PM
Eredivisie
SC Heerenveen HEE
Fortuna Sittard FOR
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:45 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

SC Heerenveen welcome Fortuna Sittard to Abe Lenstra Stadion for an Eredivisie regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 8th in the table, Heerenveen boast a clear edge over 12th-placed Sittard, underscored by a power score of 26.47 against 21.12, translating to a 5.4-point advantage that marks them as the stronger side. Recent form tilts heavily in the hosts' favour too, with a 24.89 rating dwarfing Sittard's 16.72. Playing at home, Heerenveen will look to leverage their superior standing and momentum in this mid-table encounter. Sittard, struggling lower down, face an uphill battle to disrupt the Frisians' rhythm. Without detailed last outings or advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces due to unavailable xG data, the focus remains on raw power and positional hierarchy. Expect Heerenveen to dictate proceedings in pursuit of vital points.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SC Heerenveen hold a 5.4-point power advantage (26.47 vs 21.12) as the stronger team at home in 8th place over 12th-placed Fortuna Sittard.
  • Form: Heerenveen lead in form with a 24.89 score compared to Sittard's 16.72.
  • Squad: Heerenveen occupy 8th in the Eredivisie while Sittard sit 12th, with no detailed squad changes noted.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable as xG data not enabled for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • Market: SC Heerenveen 63.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.6% (Δ+0%) | Fortuna Sittard 16.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SC Heerenveen R. Veldman
R. Veldman
VS
Fortuna Sittard D. Buijs
D. Buijs
1.55
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
AZ Rank: L
Heracles Almelo Rank: W
NEC Nijmegen Rank: D
Telstar Rank: W
Excelsior Rank: W
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
NAC Breda Rank: D
AZ Rank: L
FC Twente Rank: L
FC Volendam Rank: W
Telstar Rank: L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Heerenveen
63.61%
Draw
19.6%
Away Fortuna Sittard
16.8%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.47
21.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
Power Score
26.47
21.12
League Position
8
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SC Heerenveen — Opponent-weighted form score
Fortuna Sittard — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Heerenveen Fortuna Sittard

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Heerenveen HEE Home
15 matches
Fortuna Sittard FOR Away
Match Record
6
Wins
6
3
Draws
3
6
Losses
6
Goals
24
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
24
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:08:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
B. Klaverboer
Netherlands
22 B. Klaverboer
O. Johansen Braude
Norway
45 O. Johansen Braude
S. Kersten
Netherlands
4 S. Kersten
H. Petrov
Bulgaria
28 H. Petrov
V. Zagaritis
Greece
19 V. Zagaritis
J. van Overeem
Netherlands
6 J. van Overeem
M. Linday
Sweden
16 M. Linday
J. Trenskow
Denmark
20 J. Trenskow
R. Meerveld
Netherlands
10 R. Meerveld
M. Rivera
France
7 M. Rivera
L. Nordås
Norway
18 L. Nordås
L. Koopmans
Netherlands
1 L. Koopmans
J. Dahlhaus
Netherlands
8 J. Dahlhaus
J. Hubner
Netherlands
28 J. Hubner
S. Adewoye
Belgium
4 S. Adewoye
N. Kasanwirjo
Netherlands
21 N. Kasanwirjo
S. van Ottele
Netherlands
6 S. van Ottele
P. Brittijn
Netherlands
23 P. Brittijn
K. Peterson
Sweden
7 K. Peterson
L. Duijvestijn
Netherlands
70 L. Duijvestijn
D. Limnios
Greece
18 D. Limnios
P. Gladon
Netherlands
19 P. Gladon

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Capacity
27224
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Edwin van de Graaf
Richard Polman
Jari van Westen
Thomas Hardeman

Lineup

Referee : Edwin van de Graaf

Starting XI ▼

22
Bernt Klaverboer
Bernt Klaverboer Goalkeeper
6.87
4
Sam Kersten
Sam Kersten Defender
6.7
19
Vasilios Zagaritis
Vasilios Zagaritis Defender
6.88
28
Hristiyan Petrov
Hristiyan Petrov Defender
6.5
45
Oliver Braude
Oliver Braude Defender
6.82
6
Joris van Overeem
Joris van Overeem Midfielder
7
10
Ringo Meerveld
Ringo Meerveld Midfielder
6.94
16
Marcus Linday
Marcus Linday Midfielder
6.78
7
Maxence Rivera
Maxence Rivera Attacker
6.8
18
Lasse Nordås
Lasse Nordås Attacker
7.08
20
Jacob Trenskow
Jacob Trenskow Attacker
7.21
Referee : Edwin van de Graaf

Starting XI ▼

1
Luuk Koopmans
Luuk Koopmans Goalkeeper
6.79
4
Shawn Adewoye
Shawn Adewoye Defender
6.62
8
Jasper Dahlhaus
Jasper Dahlhaus Defender
6.59
21
Neraysho Kasanwirjo
Neraysho Kasanwirjo Defender
6.7
28
Justin Hubner
Justin Hubner Defender
6.76
6
Syb van Ottele
Syb van Ottele Midfielder
6.58
23
Philip Brittijn
Philip Brittijn Midfielder
6.78
70
Lance Duijvestijn
Lance Duijvestijn Midfielder
7.04
7
Kristoffer Peterson
Kristoffer Peterson Attacker
6.69
18
Dimitrios Limnios
Dimitrios Limnios Attacker
6.85
19
Paul Gladon
Paul Gladon Attacker
6.69

CONCLUSION

Heerenveen's home advantage at Abe Lenstra Stadion, combined with superior power and form metrics, positions them as firm favourites against a faltering Fortuna Sittard. The 5.4-point edge and higher league standing suggest the hosts will control possession and chances, though Sittard's resilience could test defensive resolve. Absent advanced stats on set pieces or efficiency, the matchup hinges on Heerenveen's ability to convert their structural superiority into goals. A regulation win for the Frisians appears likely, bolstering their top-half aspirations while deepening Sittard's mid-table woes.