Benfica vs Moreirense preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica Sat, 25 Apr - 5:00 PM
Liga Portugal
Benfica SLB
Moreirense MFC
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Benfica welcome Moreirense to the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in the Liga Portugal regular season, a clash pitting the second-placed hosts against eighth-placed visitors. Benfica enter with a dominant power score of 43.81 compared to Moreirense's 18.3, translating to a 25.5-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form scores further highlight the gap, with Benfica at 38.78 against Moreirense's modest 11.5, suggesting recent momentum favors the Eagles. Playing at home in front of their passionate supporters, Benfica aim to solidify their title contention while Moreirense seek to disrupt as mid-table battlers. Set-piece data remains limited due to unavailable xG metrics, but Benfica's overall quality should prevail in open play. This matchup promises Benfica control, though Moreirense's resilience could test defensive resolve.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Benfica holds a 25.5-point power advantage and second-place position over Moreirense's eighth.
  • Form: Benfica's form score of 38.78 significantly outpaces Moreirense's 11.5.
  • Squad: Benfica's superior power rating reflects a higher-quality squad overall.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are currently unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable; Benfica's power edge suggests better counter capabilities.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable with low confidence and proxy data used for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Benfica 84.2% (Δ+0.3%) | Draw 10.8% (Δ+0%) | Moreirense 5% (Δ-0.4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Benfica José Mourinho
José Mourinho
VS
Moreirense V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
2.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.09
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting CP Rank: W
Nacional Rank: W
Casa Pia Rank: D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: W
Arouca Rank: W
Porto Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estoril Rank: W
Famalicão Rank: D
Sporting Braga Rank: L
Arouca Rank: L
Porto Rank: L
Nacional Rank: D
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 5 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Benfica
84.22%
Draw
10.78%
Away Moreirense
5%

Movement

Changes since opening
Benfica
+0.32%
Draw
+0.03%
Moreirense
-0.35%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
43.81
18.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Benfica
Moreirense
Power Score
43.81
18.3
League Position
2
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Benfica — Opponent-weighted form score
Moreirense — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Benfica Moreirense

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Benfica SLB Home
23 matches
Moreirense MFC Away
Match Record
17
Wins
1
5
Draws
5
1
Losses
17
Goals
50
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
50
+33
Goal Difference
-33
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:09:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Trubin
Ukraine
1 A. Trubin
A. Dedić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
17 A. Dedić
A. Tavares Silva
Portugal
4 A. Tavares Silva
N. Otamendi
Argentina
30 N. Otamendi
S. Dahl
Sweden
26 S. Dahl
F. Aursnes
Norway
8 F. Aursnes
R. Rios
Colombia
20 R. Rios
G. Prestianni Gross
Argentina
25 G. Prestianni Gross
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
Portugal
27 R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
A. Schjelderup
Norway
21 A. Schjelderup
V. Pavlidis
Greece
14 V. Pavlidis
A. Ribeiro Ferreira
Portugal
13 A. Ribeiro Ferreira
D. Martins Travassos
Portugal
2 D. Martins Travassos
G. Dambi Batista
Portugal
66 G. Dambi Batista
K. Monteiro de Souza
Brazil
4 K. Monteiro de Souza
F. de Souza Silva
Brazil
70 F. de Souza Silva
M. Stjepanovic
Serbia
8 M. Stjepanovic
A. Cunha Almeida
25 A. Cunha Almeida
F. Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
Portugal
10 F. Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
R. Alonso Martín
Spain
21 R. Alonso Martín
L. Costa Araujo
Brazil
78 L. Costa Araujo
A. de Souza Guimarães
Brazil
11 A. de Souza Guimarães

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Capacity
68100
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Iancu Ioan Vasilica
João Alexandre Bessa Silva
Gonçalo Neves
Inácio Pereira

Lineup

Referee : Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Starting XI ▼

1
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper
6.83
4
António Silva
António Silva Defender
7.04
17
Amar Dedić
Amar Dedić Defender
6.68
26
Samuel Dahl
Samuel Dahl Defender
7
30
Nicolás Otamendi
Nicolás Otamendi Defender
7.3
8
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder
7.25
20
Richard Ríos
Richard Ríos Midfielder
7.05
27
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva Midfielder
6.89
14
Vangelis Pavlidis
Vangelis Pavlidis Attacker
7.26
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup Attacker
7
25
Gianluca Prestianni
Gianluca Prestianni Attacker
6.99
Referee : Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Starting XI ▼

13
André Ferreira
André Ferreira Goalkeeper
6.85
2
Travassos
Travassos Defender
6.89
4
Kevyn Monteiro
Kevyn Monteiro Defender
6.73
66
Gilberto Dambi Batista
Gilberto Dambi Batista Defender
6.71
70
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva Defender
6.61
8
Mateja Stjepanović
Mateja Stjepanović Midfielder
6.66
21
Rodrigo Alonso Martín
Rodrigo Alonso Martín Midfielder
6.67
25
Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida
Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida Midfielder
6.61
10
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso Attacker
6.63
11
Alan de Souza Guimarães
Alan de Souza Guimarães Attacker
7.01
78
Landerson
Landerson Attacker
6.44

CONCLUSION

Benfica's overwhelming power and form advantages position them as clear favorites to dominate Moreirense at home. The 25.5-point edge and superior league standing should enable the hosts to control possession and create chances, while Moreirense's lower metrics indicate struggles in matching intensity. Without detailed set-piece or efficiency insights, Benfica's raw quality and home support tilt the scales decisively. Expect a professional victory that boosts Benfica's top-two push, as Moreirense fight to avoid a heavy defeat.