Cesena vs Sampdoria preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi Sat, 25 Apr - 5:30 PM
Serie B
Cesena CES
Sampdoria SAM
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 5:30 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cesena host Sampdoria in Serie B (Regular Season) at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi. Domestically, Cesena sit 9th in the table while Sampdoria are 14th. Power ranking favours Sampdoria by 4.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sampdoria enters as the stronger team with a 4.4-point power advantage over Cesena.
  • Form: Sampdoria boasts a superior form score of 22.17 against Cesena's 14.83.
  • Squad: Cesena occupies 9th place in Serie B, ahead of Sampdoria in 14th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition dynamics hinge on Sampdoria's higher power rating despite Cesena's home venue.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable with low confidence proxies used for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis for attack and defense.
  • Market: Cesena 38.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.3% (Δ+0%) | Sampdoria 32.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cesena A. Cole
A. Cole
VS
Sampdoria Attilio Lombardo
Attilio Lombardo
1.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palermo Rank: L
Juve Stabia Rank: L
Südtirol Rank: D
Catanzaro Rank: W
Mantova Rank: L
Frosinone Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza Rank: L
Pescara Rank: W
Empoli Rank: W
Avellino Rank: W
Carrarese Rank: L
Venezia Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cesena
38.64%
Draw
29.28%
Away Sampdoria
32.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.82
24.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cesena
Sampdoria
Power Score
19.82
24.25
League Position
9
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cesena — Opponent-weighted form score
Sampdoria — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cesena Sampdoria

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cesena CES Home
7 matches
Sampdoria SAM Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
3
Goals
11
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
11
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:09:10+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Klinsmann
33 J. Klinsmann
A. Ciofi
15 A. Ciofi
G. Zaro
19 G. Zaro
M. Piacentini
26 M. Piacentini
T. Corazza
27 T. Corazza
M. Castagnetti
4 M. Castagnetti
D. Bisoli
25 D. Bisoli
C. Shpendi
9 C. Shpendi
T. Berti
14 T. Berti
M. Olivieri
32 M. Olivieri
A. Cerri
7 A. Cerri
T. Martinelli
50 T. Martinelli
S. Giordano
21 S. Giordano
M. Viti
2 M. Viti
O. Abildgaard
28 O. Abildgaard
A. Di Pardo
29 A. Di Pardo
L. Henderson
16 L. Henderson
S. Esposito
94 S. Esposito
F. Conti
33 F. Conti
N. Pierini
77 N. Pierini
M. Brunori Sandri
99 M. Brunori Sandri
T. Begić
11 T. Begić

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Capacity
20194
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marco Colaianni
Enrico Eremitaggio
Paride Tremolada
Fabiano Preti

Expected Lineup

Referee : Paride Tremolada

Starting XI ▼

33
Jonathan Klinsmann
Jonathan Klinsmann Goalkeeper
6.66
7
Alberto Cerri
Alberto Cerri Centre Forward
7.08
27
Tommaso Corazza
Tommaso Corazza Left Back
6.76
9
Cristian Shpendi
Cristian Shpendi Right Wing
6.73
19
Giovanni Zaro
Giovanni Zaro Right Back
7.04
32
Marco Olivieri
Marco Olivieri Left Wing
6.65
4
Michele Castagnetti
Michele Castagnetti Defensive Midfield
6.9
14
Tommaso Berti
Tommaso Berti Attacking Midfield
7.04
25
Dimitri Bisoli
Dimitri Bisoli Defensive Midfield
6.83
26
Matteo Piacentini
Matteo Piacentini Left Back
6.65
15
Andrea Ciofi
Andrea Ciofi Right Back
6.79
Referee : Paride Tremolada

Starting XI ▼

50
Tommaso Martinelli
Tommaso Martinelli Goalkeeper
6.77
77
Nicholas Pierini
Nicholas Pierini Attacker
7.13
11
Tjas Begic
Tjas Begic Attacker
6.89
99
Matteo Luigi Brunori
Matteo Luigi Brunori Centre Forward
6.83
28
Oliver Abildgaard
Oliver Abildgaard Right Back
6.92
29
Alessandro Di Pardo
Alessandro Di Pardo Right Back
6.95
94
Salvatore Esposito
Salvatore Esposito Central Midfield
7.44
2
Mattia Viti
Mattia Viti Left Back
6.7
16
Liam Henderson
Liam Henderson Central Midfield
6.82
21
Simone Giordano
Simone Giordano Left Back
6.69
33
Francesco Conti
Francesco Conti Central Midfield
6.75

CONCLUSION

Cesena seeks to leverage home soil and superior league standing against a more potent Sampdoria outfit. The visitors' power and form edges position them to challenge effectively, potentially exploiting any Cesena lapses. Lacking granular set-piece and efficiency insights, the contest may turn on transitional phases and squad execution. Projections highlight Cesena's marginal favoritism, yet Sampdoria's underlying metrics suggest competitiveness. Expect a balanced battle where tactical discipline prevails.