FC Twente vs NEC Nijmegen preview

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
De Grolsch Veste Sat, 25 Apr - 7:00 PM
Eredivisie
FC Twente TWE
NEC Nijmegen NEC
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

FC Twente hosts NEC Nijmegen at De Grolsch Veste in the Eredivisie regular season clash of the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 4th in the standings, Twente holds a power score of 38.28, edging out 3rd-placed NEC's 33.74 by a 4.5-point margin, marking them as the stronger side. Recent form tilts further in Twente's favor with a 38.06 score against NEC's 30.22, suggesting momentum at home. Both teams lurk near the top, making this a pivotal encounter for positioning. Limited advanced metrics are available, with set-piece data relying on low-confidence proxies due to absent xG figures. Twente's home venue adds a structural edge, while NEC's higher league spot underscores their resilience. Expect a competitive battle where Twente's superior ratings could shine through efficient play.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Twente benefits from home advantage at De Grolsch Veste against NEC Nijmegen, who hold a slightly higher 3rd place versus Twente's 4th.
  • Form: Twente's form score of 38.06 surpasses NEC's 30.22, indicating better recent performance.
  • Squad: Power scores reflect Twente's squad strength at 38.28 over NEC's 33.74, with a 4.5-point edge.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats use low-confidence proxies as xG data is unavailable for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are absent, limiting advanced projections.
  • Market: FC Twente 57.1% (Δ+0.7%) | Draw 21.9% (Δ-0.1%) | NEC Nijmegen 21% (Δ-0.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
FC Twente J. van den Brom
J. van den Brom
VS
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
1.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.9
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Volendam Rank: W
Ajax Rank: W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: W
FC Utrecht Rank: L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: W
Feyenoord Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Feyenoord Rank: D
Excelsior Rank: W
SC Heerenveen Rank: D
PSV Rank: W
FC Volendam Rank: W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: L
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 7 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Twente
57.08%
Draw
21.94%
Away NEC Nijmegen
20.98%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC Twente
+0.69%
Draw
-0.07%
NEC Nijmegen
-0.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.28
33.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Power Score
38.28
33.74
League Position
4
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Twente — Opponent-weighted form score
NEC Nijmegen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Twente NEC Nijmegen

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Twente TWE Home
32 matches
NEC Nijmegen NEC Away
Match Record
19
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
19
Goals
73
Goals Scored
39
39
Goals Conceded
73
+34
Goal Difference
-34
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:09:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
L. Unnerstall
Germany
1 L. Unnerstall
B. van Rooij
Netherlands
28 B. van Rooij
S. Lemkin
Israel
23 S. Lemkin
R. Nijstad
Netherlands
43 R. Nijstad
M. Rots
Netherlands
39 M. Rots
R. Zerrouki
Algeria
6 R. Zerrouki
T. van den Belt
Netherlands
20 T. van den Belt
R. van Wolfswinkel
Netherlands
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
K. Hlynsson
Iceland
14 K. Hlynsson
S. Ørjasæter
Norway
27 S. Ørjasæter
S. Lammers
Netherlands
10 S. Lammers
G. Crettaz
Argentina
1 G. Crettaz
D. Fonville
Netherlands
24 D. Fonville
P. Sandler
Netherlands
3 P. Sandler
E. Dasa
Israel
14 E. Dasa
W. Willumsson
Iceland
19 W. Willumsson
K. Sano
Japan
23 K. Sano
D. Nejašmić
Croatia
6 D. Nejašmić
S. Ouaissa
Netherlands
25 S. Ouaissa
B. Linssen
Netherlands
30 B. Linssen
T. Chery
Suriname
10 T. Chery
K. Ogawa
Japan
18 K. Ogawa

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
De Grolsch Veste
Capacity
30205
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Dyon Fikkert
Halis Murat Kucukerbir
Alex Bos
Joey Kooij

Lineup

Referee : Joey Kooij

Starting XI ▼

1
Lars Unnerstall
Lars Unnerstall Goalkeeper
6.76
23
Stav Lemkin
Stav Lemkin Defender
6.85
28
Bart van Rooij
Bart van Rooij Defender
7.23
39
Mats Rots
Mats Rots Defender
6.97
43
Ruud Nijstad
Ruud Nijstad Defender
6.84
6
Ramiz Zerrouki
Ramiz Zerrouki Midfielder
7.15
14
Kristian Hlynsson
Kristian Hlynsson Midfielder
7.06
20
Thomas van den Belt
Thomas van den Belt Midfielder
6.95
9
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
Ricky van Wolfswinkel Attacker
6.89
10
Sam Lammers
Sam Lammers Attacker
7.13
27
Sondre Ørjasæter
Sondre Ørjasæter Attacker
7.03
Referee : Joey Kooij

Starting XI ▼

1
Gonzalo Crettaz
Gonzalo Crettaz Goalkeeper
6.8
3
Philippe Sandler
Philippe Sandler Defender
6.56
14
Eli Dasa
Eli Dasa Defender
6.66
19
Willum Thór Willumsson
Willum Thór Willumsson Defender
6.52
24
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville Defender
6.72
25
Sami Ouaissa
Sami Ouaissa Defender
7.05
6
Darko Nejasmic
Darko Nejasmic Midfielder
7.08
10
Tjaronn Chery
Tjaronn Chery Midfielder
7.25
23
Kodai Sano
Kodai Sano Midfielder
7.08
30
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen Midfielder
7.07
18
Koki Ogawa
Koki Ogawa Attacker
6.93

CONCLUSION

Twente enters as favorites, leveraging higher power and form scores alongside home support to challenge NEC's table-topping proximity. The 4.5-point power gap highlights Twente's edge in underlying quality, though NEC's 3rd place demands respect. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus shifts to overall ratings and venue factor. Twente's projection lead aligns with their metrics, pointing to a narrow advantage in a tight contest. This matchup could hinge on execution, with Twente poised to capitalize on superior momentum for vital points.