Rijeka vs Osijek preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion HNK Rijeka
1. HNL
RijekaRijeka
OsijekOsijek
KICKOFF :
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rijeka host Osijek in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at Stadion HNK Rijeka. Domestically, Rijeka sit 3th in the table while Osijek are 9th. Power ranking favours Rijeka by 8.8 points heading into this fixture. Rijeka's recent form reads W3 D0 L3 from 6 matches; Osijek's form is W2 D2 L2 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Rijeka Win away against Slaven Koprivnica. Osijek last played away versus Dinamo Zagreb, finishing with a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rijeka hold a +8.8 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Rijeka sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Rijeka show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Rijeka have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Rijeka carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Rijeka hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Rijeka 55.9% | Draw 26.2% | Osijek 18%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rijeka V. Sánchez del Amo
V. Sánchez del Amo
VS
Osijek T. Radotic
T. Radotic
1.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.84
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 65 W
Gorica Rank: 61 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 L
Vukovar Rank: 55 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 60 W
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 80 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 65 D
Gorica Rank: 60 D
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 W
Vukovar Rank: 55 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 60 L
29
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
29 - 23 - 20
20
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rijeka
55.86%
Draw
26.18%
Away Osijek
17.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.55
61.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rijeka
Osijek
Power Score
70.55
61.71
League Position
3
9
Global Rank
175
404

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rijeka — Opponent-weighted form score
Osijek — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rijeka Osijek

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 72 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rijeka Rijeka Home
72 matches
Osijek Osijek Away
Match Record
29
Wins
20
23
Draws
23
20
Losses
29
Goals
92
Goals Scored
72
72
Goals Conceded
92
+20
Goal Difference
-20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T01:06:25+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Malenica
31 M. Malenica
J. Mersinaj
5 J. Mersinaj
S. Akere
57 S. Akere
L. Jelenić
26 L. Jelenić
R. Guedes Borges
42 R. Guedes Borges
?. Mikolčić
8 ?. Mikolčić
O. Petrusenko
16 O. Petrusenko
N. Omerović
11 N. Omerović
D. Mejía Moscoso
6 D. Mejía Moscoso
V. Bubanja
21 V. Bubanja
A. Jakupovic
17 A. Jakupovic

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Capacity
8279
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Martin Zlomislic
Martin Zlomislic Goalkeeper
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
Daniel Adu-Adjei Attacker
10
Toni Fruk
Toni Fruk Attacker
55
Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar
Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar Defensive Midfield
26
Tiago Dantas
Tiago Dantas Central Midfield
14
Amer Gojak
Amer Gojak Central Midfield
22
Ante Orec
Ante Orec Right Back
6
Stjepan Radeljic
Stjepan Radeljic Left Back
20
Merveil Ndockyt
Merveil Ndockyt Central Midfield
34
Mladen Devetak
Mladen Devetak Left Back
45
Ante Majstorovic
Ante Majstorovic Right Back

Starting XI ▼

31
Marko Malenica
Marko Malenica Goalkeeper
17
Arnel Jakupovic
Arnel Jakupovic Centre Forward
42
Renan Guedes
Renan Guedes Right Back
5
Jon Mersinaj
Jon Mersinaj Left Back
6
David Mejía
David Mejía Attacking Midfield
8
Simun Mikolcic
Simun Mikolcic Defensive Midfield
11
Nail Omerovic
Nail Omerovic Left Wing
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
Oleksandr Petrusenko Defensive Midfield
21
Vladan Bubanja
Vladan Bubanja Right Wing
26
Luka Jelenic
Luka Jelenic Right Back
57
Samuel Akere
Samuel Akere Left Back

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Rijeka holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Rijeka a 8.8-point edge. Market probabilities are Rijeka 55.9%, draw 26.2%, and Osijek 18%. That market view aligns with the structural profile. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.