Varaždin vs Slaven Koprivnica preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec Sun, 12 Apr - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Varaždin Varaždin
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Varaždin will face Slaven Koprivnica at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec for this Regular Season fixture in the 1. HNL. As the teams prepare for this match, the home side currently holds position 4 in the league standings. On the other side, the visiting squad arrives sitting in 6th place overall. Varaždin's season form reads W1 D3 L2 from 6 matches in recent weeks. In their most recent fixture, they played at home against Gorica, ending the match with a Draw. They will aim to build upon this point in front of their supporters. Slaven Koprivnica enters the contest with an identical record in their recent games. Their season form reads W1 D3 L2 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Slaven Koprivnica played at home against Rijeka and recorded a Loss. Both teams will rely on their tactical discipline to secure a positive outcome in this regular season clash.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Slaven Koprivnica hold a +0.3 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Varaždin are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Varaždin show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Slaven Koprivnica have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Slaven Koprivnica carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Slaven Koprivnica hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Varaždin 39.7% | Draw 29.2% | Slaven Koprivnica 31.1%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Varaždin N. Šafarić
N. Šafarić
VS
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
1.37
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.26
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: 62 D
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 L
Vukovar Rank: 55 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 60 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 79 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rijeka Rank: 70 L
Osijek Rank: 62 D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 78 L
Gorica Rank: 63 D
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 W
Vukovar Rank: 55 D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 12 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Varaždin
39.68%
Draw
29.22%
Away Slaven Koprivnica
31.1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.34
63.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Varaždin
Slaven Koprivnica
Power Score
63.34
63.67
League Position
4
6
Global Rank
359
345

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Varaždin — Opponent-weighted form score
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Varaždin Slaven Koprivnica

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Varaždin Varaždin Home
38 matches
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Away
Match Record
8
Wins
18
12
Draws
12
18
Losses
8
Goals
37
Goals Scored
55
55
Goals Conceded
37
-18
Goal Difference
+18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T01:06:29+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
O. Zelenika
1 O. Zelenika
M. Mladenovski
13 M. Mladenovski
N. Tepšić
16 N. Tepšić
R. Punčec
14 R. Punčec
F. Maglica
23 F. Maglica
T. Duvnjak
8 T. Duvnjak
D. Puclin
6 D. Puclin
G. Sikošek
20 G. Sikošek
M. Vuk
7 M. Vuk
L. Mamić
22 L. Mamić
Iuri Tavares
38 Iuri Tavares
O. Hadzikic
31 O. Hadzikic
Z. Katalinić
5 Z. Katalinić
D. Kovačić
4 D. Kovačić
T. Božić
6 T. Božić
F. Krušelj
18 F. Krušelj
F. Mažar
17 F. Mažar
L. Crepulja
21 L. Crepulja
I. Ćubelić
15 I. Ćubelić
A. Grgić
27 A. Grgić
I. Nestorovski
90 I. Nestorovski
J. Mitrović
11 J. Mitrović

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
Capacity
10800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Oliver Zelenika
Oliver Zelenika Goalkeeper
7
Matej Vuk
Matej Vuk Midfielder
20
Gregor Sikosek
Gregor Sikosek Midfielder
22
Luka Mamic
Luka Mamic Midfielder
23
Frane Maglica
Frane Maglica Midfielder
38
Iuri Tavares
Iuri Tavares Centre Forward
8
Tomislav Duvnjak
Tomislav Duvnjak Central Midfield
13
Mario Mladenovski
Mario Mladenovski Right Back
14
Roberto Puncec
Roberto Puncec Left Back
6
David Puclin
David Puclin Central Midfield
16
Novak Tepsic
Novak Tepsic Centre Back

Starting XI ▼

31
Osman Hadzikic
Osman Hadzikic Goalkeeper
11
Josip Mitrovic
Josip Mitrovic Attacker
27
Alen Grgic
Alen Grgic Attacker
90
Ilija Nestorovski
Ilija Nestorovski Centre Forward
18
Filip Kruselj
Filip Kruselj Right Back
5
Zvonimir Katalinic
Zvonimir Katalinic Left Back
4
Dominik Kovacic
Dominik Kovacic Left Back
6
Tomislav Bozic
Tomislav Bozic Right Back
15
Ivan Cubelic
Ivan Cubelic Central Midfield
17
Filip Mažar
Filip Mažar Central Midfield
21
Ljuban Crepulja
Ljuban Crepulja Central Midfield

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Slaven Koprivnica holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Slaven Koprivnica a 0.3-point edge. Market probabilities are Varaždin 39.7%, draw 29.2%, and Slaven Koprivnica 31.1%. That market view diverges from the structural profile, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.