Mirandés vs Castellón preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Anduva Sun, 12 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Mirandés MIR
Castellón Castellón
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Mirandés will take on Castellón at the Estadio Municipal de Anduva for this Regular Season fixture in La Liga 2. The two clubs find themselves at opposite ends of the table. The hosts currently sit in 21st place in the league standings, needing points to climb out of the lower tier. Meanwhile, the visiting side occupies a much stronger 5th position as they look to maintain their current standing. Despite the gap in league placement, the home team's season form reads W2 D2 L2 from 6 matches. In their most recent domestic outing, Mirandés secured a Win playing away against Real Zaragoza. The visitors share an identical recent record, as Castellón's season form reads W2 D2 L2 from 6 matches. They will enter this matchup after recording a Win at home against Granada in their last fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Castellón hold a +7.9 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Mirandés are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Mirandés show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Castellón have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Castellón carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Castellón hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Mirandés 27.5% | Draw 27.5% | Castellón 45%
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Mirandés A. Muneta Beldarrain
A. Muneta Beldarrain
VS
Castellón P. Hernández Domínguez
P. Hernández Domínguez
0.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.77
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: 61 W
Albacete Rank: 66 D
Córdoba Rank: 62 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 W
Cádiz Rank: 58 L
Burgos Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Granada Rank: 66 W
Almería Rank: 71 W
Albacete Rank: 67 D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 59 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mirandés
27.49%
Draw
27.48%
Away Castellón
45.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.92
66.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mirandés
Castellón
Power Score
58.92
66.83
League Position
21
5
Global Rank
493
259

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mirandés — Opponent-weighted form score
Castellón — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mirandés Castellón

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mirandés MIR Home
5 matches
Castellón Castellón Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
9
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:01:42+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Palomares Pulpillo
13 J. Palomares Pulpillo
T. Tamarit Tamarit
27 T. Tamarit Tamarit
M. Pascual Castillo
4 M. Pascual Castillo
J. Cabello Trujillo
15 J. Cabello Trujillo
F. Medrano Gastañaga
3 F. Medrano Gastañaga
R. Bauzà Sureda
18 R. Bauzà Sureda
T. Helguera Merello Volante
6 T. Helguera Merello Volante
F. Hernandez Coarasa
28 F. Hernandez Coarasa
U. del Cura Urra
48 U. del Cura Urra
S. El Jebari El Hannouni
30 S. El Jebari El Hannouni
C. Fernández Luna
10 C. Fernández Luna
R. Matthys
13 R. Matthys
M. Conde Gómez
2 M. Conde Gómez
F. Brignani
3 F. Brignani
A. Jiménez Benítez
5 A. Jiménez Benítez
J. Mellot
22 J. Mellot
A. Jakobsen
19 A. Jakobsen
D. Hernández Barriuso
8 D. Hernández Barriuso
B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia
15 B. Gerenabarrena Zendoia
P. Santiago López
18 P. Santiago López
O. Camara
9 O. Camara
A. Calatrava Torrado
21 A. Calatrava Torrado

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Anduva
Capacity
5759
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Juanpa Palomares
Juanpa Palomares Goalkeeper
10
Carlos Fernández
Carlos Fernández Centre Forward
4
Martín Pascual
Martín Pascual Right Back
27
Toni Tamarit
Toni Tamarit Right Back
3
Fernando Medrano
Fernando Medrano Left Back
18
Rafel Bauzà
Rafel Bauzà Defensive Midfield
48
Unax del Cura
Unax del Cura Attacking Midfield
30
Salim El Jebari
Salim El Jebari Left Wing
15
Jorge Cabello
Jorge Cabello Left Back
6
Thiago Helguera
Thiago Helguera Defensive Midfield
28
Javi Hernández
Javi Hernández Right Wing

Starting XI ▼

13
Romain Matthys
Romain Matthys Goalkeeper
18
Pablo Santiago
Pablo Santiago Midfielder
19
Adam Jakobsen
Adam Jakobsen Midfielder
21
Álex Calatrava
Álex Calatrava Attacker
9
Ousmane Camara
Ousmane Camara Attacker
22
Jérémy Mellot
Jérémy Mellot Right Back
2
Tincho Conde
Tincho Conde Left Back
15
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Beñat Gerenabarrena Central Midfield
5
Alberto Jiménez
Alberto Jiménez Right Back
3
Fabrizio Brignani
Fabrizio Brignani Left Back
8
Diego Barri
Diego Barri Central Midfield

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Castellón holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Castellón a 7.9-point edge. Market probabilities are Mirandés 28.3%, draw 26.5%, and Castellón 45.2%. That market view aligns with the structural profile. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.