Celta de Vigo vs Real Oviedo preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Balaídos Sun, 12 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga
Celta de Vigo CEL
Real Oviedo OVI
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Celta de Vigo host Real Oviedo in La Liga (Regular Season) at Estadio de Balaídos. Domestically, Celta de Vigo sit 6th in the table while Real Oviedo are 20th. Power ranking favours Celta de Vigo by 23.5 points heading into this fixture. Celta de Vigo's recent form reads W3 D1 L2 from 6 matches; Real Oviedo's form is W2 D1 L3 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Celta de Vigo Win away against Valencia. Real Oviedo last played at home versus Sevilla, finishing with a Win.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celta de Vigo hold a +23.5 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Celta de Vigo sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Celta de Vigo show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Celta de Vigo have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Celta de Vigo carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Celta de Vigo hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Celta de Vigo 56.3% | Draw 24.6% | Real Oviedo 19.1%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Celta de Vigo C. Giráldez González
C. Giráldez González
VS
Real Oviedo J. Almada Álves
J. Almada Álves
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.82
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Valencia Rank: 78 W
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 75 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Real Madrid Rank: 93 L
Girona Rank: 76 W
Mallorca Rank: 75 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sevilla Rank: 73 W
Levante Rank: 72 L
Valencia Rank: 78 W
Espanyol Rank: 74 D
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 77 L
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Celta de Vigo
56.32%
Draw
24.6%
Away Real Oviedo
19.08%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.56
59.08
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celta de Vigo
Real Oviedo
Power Score
82.56
59.08
League Position
6
20
Global Rank
44
193

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Oviedo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celta de Vigo Real Oviedo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celta de Vigo CEL Home
1 matches
Real Oviedo OVI Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:01:31+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
I. Radu
13 I. Radu
M. Fernández Arroyo
12 M. Fernández Arroyo
J. Aidoo
4 J. Aidoo
M. Alonso Mendoza
20 M. Alonso Mendoza
Ó. Mingueza García
3 Ó. Mingueza García
H. Sotelo
22 H. Sotelo
Ilaix Moriba
6 Ilaix Moriba
S. Carreira Vilariño
5 S. Carreira Vilariño
F. Jutlgà Blanc
9 F. Jutlgà Blanc
P. Durán Fernández
18 P. Durán Fernández
B. Iglesias Quintas
7 B. Iglesias Quintas
A. Escandell Banacloche
13 A. Escandell Banacloche
J. López Carballo
25 J. López Carballo
E. Bailly
2 E. Bailly
D. Calvo San Román
12 D. Calvo San Román
I. Vidal Miralles
22 I. Vidal Miralles
I. Chaira
7 I. Chaira
N. Fonseca
23 N. Fonseca
K. Sibo
6 K. Sibo
T. Fernández
15 T. Fernández
F. Viñas Barboza
9 F. Viñas Barboza
A. Reina Campos
5 A. Reina Campos

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Balaídos
Capacity
25000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Ionuț Radu
Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper
3
Óscar Mingueza
Óscar Mingueza Midfielder
5
Sergio Carreira
Sergio Carreira Midfielder
18
Pablo Durán
Pablo Durán Centre Forward
7
Borja Iglesias
Borja Iglesias Attacker
9
Ferran Jutglà
Ferran Jutglà Attacker
20
Marcos Alonso
Marcos Alonso Left Back
22
Hugo Sotelo
Hugo Sotelo Central Midfield
6
Ilaix Moriba
Ilaix Moriba Central Midfield
12
Manu Fernández
Manu Fernández Right Back
4
Joseph Aidoo
Joseph Aidoo Centre Back

Starting XI ▼

13
Aarón Escandell
Aarón Escandell Goalkeeper
7
Ilyas Chaira
Ilyas Chaira Midfielder
15
Thiago Fernández
Thiago Fernández Midfielder
5
Alberto Reina
Alberto Reina Attacker
9
Federico Viñas
Federico Viñas Attacker
6
Kwasi Sibo
Kwasi Sibo Central Midfield
12
Dani Calvo
Dani Calvo Right Back
22
Nacho Vidal
Nacho Vidal Right Back
23
Nicolás Fonseca
Nicolás Fonseca Central Midfield
25
Javi López
Javi López Left Back
2
Eric Bailly
Eric Bailly Left Back

CONCLUSION

Celta de Vigo enters this fixture with a notably stronger pre-match profile, holding a 23.5-point structural advantage over Real Oviedo in the power ratings. The implied probabilities place Celta de Vigo as the clear market leader at 56.3 percent, followed by a 24.6 percent chance for a draw and 19.1 percent for a Real Oviedo victory. Consequently, the market and structural signals align completely in backing the home side. To secure the projected result, Celta de Vigo must dictate the tempo in midfield and systematically dismantle a lower-ranked defensive block.