Zenit vs Krasnodar preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Gazprom Arena Sun, 12 Apr - 4:30 PM
Premier League
Zenit ZSP
Krasnodar KRA
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 24 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Zenit will face Krasnodar at the Gazprom Arena in the Regular Season of the Premier League. This matchup features the top two teams in the standings. Zenit currently holds the number 2 position in the table, while the visitors Krasnodar sit at the summit in the number 1 spot. Both teams enter this fixture with identical recent records. For the hosts, their season form reads W5 D0 L1 from 6 matches. Similarly, the visiting side's season form reads W5 D0 L1 from 6 matches. In their most recent fixture, Zenit recorded a Win at home against Krylya Sovetov. Krasnodar also come into this game following a positive result, registering a Win away against Akhmat Grozny in their last outing.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Zenit hold a +3.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Zenit are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Zenit show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Zenit have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Zenit carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Zenit hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Market probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the provided data.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Zenit S. Semak
S. Semak
VS
Krasnodar M. Musaev
M. Musaev
2.58
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.42
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 55 W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 71 W
Spartak Moskva Rank: 72 W
Orenburg Rank: 52 L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 66 W
Akron Rank: 54 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 60 W
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 52 W
Sochi Rank: 49 W
Rubin Kazan Rank: 62 L
Rostov Rank: 60 W
CSKA Moskva Rank: 72 W
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 7 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zenit
0%
Draw
0%
Away Krasnodar
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.91
76.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zenit
Krasnodar
Power Score
79.91
76.54
League Position
2
1
Global Rank
63
86

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zenit — Opponent-weighted form score
Krasnodar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zenit Krasnodar

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zenit ZSP Home
29 matches
Krasnodar KRA Away
Match Record
18
Wins
4
7
Draws
7
4
Losses
18
Goals
58
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
58
+29
Goal Difference
-29
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:05:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Adamov
16 D. Adamov
V. Karavaev
15 V. Karavaev
I. Diveev
78 I. Diveev
M. Mota Filho
33 M. Mota Filho
R. Vega
66 R. Vega
W. Barrios Terán
5 W. Barrios Terán
M. Glushenkov
10 M. Glushenkov
Y. Gorshkov
4 Y. Gorshkov
M. Valle da Silva
8 M. Valle da Silva
J. dos Santos Rosa
14 J. dos Santos Rosa
A. Sobolev
7 A. Sobolev
S. Agkatsev
1 S. Agkatsev
L. Olaza Catrofe
15 L. Olaza Catrofe
D. Costa Barbosa
4 D. Costa Barbosa
V. Tormena de Farias
3 V. Tormena de Farias
V. Paltsev
17 V. Paltsev
K. Gonçalves Pereira de Pina
6 K. Gonçalves Pereira de Pina
N. Krivtsov
88 N. Krivtsov
J. Fortes Bachiessa
11 J. Fortes Bachiessa
E. Spertsyan
10 E. Spertsyan
G. González Apud
20 G. González Apud
J. Córdoba Copete
9 J. Córdoba Copete

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gazprom Arena
Capacity
68000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

16
Denis Adamov
Denis Adamov Goalkeeper
10
Maksim Glushenkov
Maksim Glushenkov Midfielder
14
Jhon Jhon
Jhon Jhon Midfielder
7
Aleksandr Sobolev
Aleksandr Sobolev Centre Forward
33
Nino
Nino Left Back
8
Wendel
Wendel Central Midfield
4
Yuriy Gorshkov
Yuriy Gorshkov Central Midfield
5
Wilmar Barrios
Wilmar Barrios Defensive Midfield
15
Vyacheslav Karavaev
Vyacheslav Karavaev Right Back
66
Román Vega
Román Vega Left Back
78
Igor Diveev
Igor Diveev Right Back

Starting XI ▼

1
Stanislav Agkatsev
Stanislav Agkatsev Goalkeeper
9
Jhon Córdoba
Jhon Córdoba Centre Forward
3
Vítor Tormena
Vítor Tormena Right Back
6
Kevin Lenini
Kevin Lenini Defensive Midfield
10
Eduard Spertsyan
Eduard Spertsyan Attacking Midfield
11
João Batxi
João Batxi Left Wing
4
Diego Costa
Diego Costa Left Back
17
Valentin Paltsev
Valentin Paltsev Right Back
15
Lucas Olaza
Lucas Olaza Left Back
20
Giovanni González
Giovanni González Right Wing
88
Nikita Krivtsov
Nikita Krivtsov Defensive Midfield

CONCLUSION

Zenit carries a stronger pre-match profile into this fixture, holding a 3.4-point structural power advantage over Krasnodar. Both sides enter the contest with identical recent form ratings, indicating a closely contested match despite the statistical edge for the home team. Given that the market probabilities are currently unavailable for this matchup, there is insufficient data to determine if these structural indicators align or diverge with outside expectations. Ultimately, the outcome may depend on which midfield unit can better establish possession and dictate the tempo in the central areas.