Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor preview

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Rams Global Stadium Sun, 12 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Galatasaray GAL
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Galatasaray host Kocaelispor in Super Lig (Regular Season) at Rams Global Stadium. Domestically, Galatasaray sit 1th in the table while Kocaelispor are 8th. Power ranking favours Galatasaray by 31.6 points heading into this fixture. Galatasaray's recent form reads W3 D1 L2 from 6 matches; Kocaelispor's form is W1 D1 L4 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Galatasaray Draw away against Göztepe. Kocaelispor last played at home versus İstanbul Başakşehir, finishing with a Draw.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Galatasaray hold a +31.6 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Galatasaray sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Galatasaray show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Galatasaray have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Galatasaray carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Galatasaray hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Galatasaray 70.3% | Draw 18.6% | Kocaelispor 11.1%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Galatasaray O. Buruk
O. Buruk
VS
Kocaelispor S. İnan
S. İnan
2.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Göztepe Rank: 73 D
Trabzonspor Rank: 80 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 W
Alanyaspor Rank: 70 W
Konyaspor Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 D
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 L
Konyaspor Rank: 67 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 62 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 L
Rizespor Rank: 67 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Galatasaray
70.34%
Draw
18.57%
Away Kocaelispor
11.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
88.09
56.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Galatasaray
Kocaelispor
Power Score
88.09
56.53
League Position
1
8
Global Rank
19
333

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Galatasaray — Opponent-weighted form score
Kocaelispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Galatasaray Kocaelispor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Galatasaray GAL Home
3 matches
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
6
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:01:52+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Rams Global Stadium
Capacity
53978
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

19
Günay Güvenc
Günay Güvenc Goalkeeper
1
Uğurcan Çakır
Uğurcan Çakır Goalkeeper
12
Batuhan Ahmet Şen
Batuhan Ahmet Şen Goalkeeper
70
Enes Emre Büyük
Enes Emre Büyük Goalkeeper
6
Davinson Sánchez Mina
Davinson Sánchez Mina Defender
7
Roland Sallai
Roland Sallai Defender
42
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
Abdülkerim Bardakcı Defender
4
Ismail Jakobs
Ismail Jakobs Defender
93
Sacha Boey
Sacha Boey Defender
17
Evren Eren Elmalı
Evren Eren Elmalı Defender
90
Wilfried Stephane Singo
Wilfried Stephane Singo Defender
3
Metehan Baltacı
Metehan Baltacı Defender
91
Arda Ünyay
Arda Ünyay Defender
20
İlkay Gündoğan
İlkay Gündoğan Midfielder
23
Kaan Ayhan
Kaan Ayhan Midfielder
99
Mario Lemina
Mario Lemina Midfielder
34
Lucas Torreira Di Pascua
Lucas Torreira Di Pascua Midfielder
8
Gabriel Davi Gomes Sara
Gabriel Davi Gomes Sara Midfielder
33
Gökdeniz Gürpüz
Gökdeniz Gürpüz Midfielder
74
Renato Nhaga
Renato Nhaga Midfielder
10
Leroy Sané
Leroy Sané Attacker
77
Noa Lang
Noa Lang Attacker
9
Mauro Emanuel Icardi Rivero
Mauro Emanuel Icardi Rivero Attacker
45
Victor James Osimhen
Victor James Osimhen Attacker
21
Ahmed Kutucu
Ahmed Kutucu Attacker
53
Barış Alper Yılmaz
Barış Alper Yılmaz Attacker
11
Yunus Akgün
Yunus Akgün Attacker
22
Y. Asprilla Martínez
Y. Asprilla Martínez Attacker
27
Can Armando Güner
Can Armando Güner Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Aleksandar Jovanović
Aleksandar Jovanović Goalkeeper
35
Gökhan Değirmenci
Gökhan Değirmenci Goalkeeper
83
Serhat Öztaşdelen
Serhat Öztaşdelen Goalkeeper
21
Massadio Haïdara
Massadio Haïdara Defender
2
Anfernee Dijksteel
Anfernee Dijksteel Defender
4
Mateusz Wieteska
Mateusz Wieteska Defender
22
Ahmet Oğuz
Ahmet Oğuz Defender
3
Muharrem Cinan
Muharrem Cinan Defender
5
Botond Balogh
Botond Balogh Defender
6
Hrvoje Smolčić
Hrvoje Smolčić Defender
16
Deniz Ceylan
Deniz Ceylan Defender
10
Karol Linetty
Karol Linetty Midfielder
23
Samet Yalçın
Samet Yalçın Midfielder
14
Manuel Luis Da Silva Cafumana
Manuel Luis Da Silva Cafumana Midfielder
8
Habib Keita
Habib Keita Midfielder
20
Mahamadou Susoho
Mahamadou Susoho Midfielder
98
Joseph Nonge Boende
Joseph Nonge Boende Midfielder
7
Daniel Agyei
Daniel Agyei Attacker
19
Serdar Dursun
Serdar Dursun Attacker
11
Ahmet Sagat
Ahmet Sagat Attacker
9
Bruno Petković
Bruno Petković Attacker
75
Tayfur Bingöl
Tayfur Bingöl Attacker
99
Rigoberto Manuel Rivas Vindel
Rigoberto Manuel Rivas Vindel Attacker
17
Darko Churlinov
Darko Churlinov Attacker
70
Can Keles
Can Keles Attacker
18
Furkan Gedik
Furkan Gedik Attacker
97
Arda Ozyar
Arda Ozyar Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Galatasaray holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Galatasaray a 31.6-point edge. Market probabilities are Galatasaray 70.3%, draw 18.6%, and Kocaelispor 11.1%. That market view aligns with the structural profile. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.