Reggiana vs Carrarese preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore Sun, 12 Apr - 5:30 PM
Serie B
Reggiana Reggiana
Carrarese CAR
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 5:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Reggiana prepare to host Carrarese at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore for a Regular Season fixture in Serie B. The two sides find themselves in different situations in the league standings. The hosts currently sit at the bottom end of the table in 20th place, while Carrarese hold a much stronger 9th position. Reggiana's recent results reflect their current placement, as their season form reads W0 D1 L5 from 6 matches. They will be looking for a turnaround after their last outing, where they recorded a Loss at home against Pescara. Meanwhile, the visiting side arrives with better results in recent weeks. Carrarese's season form reads W3 D2 L1 from 6 matches. They will look to continue their steady run, having secured a Win at home against Spezia in their previous match.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Carrarese hold a +10 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Carrarese sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Reggiana show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Carrarese have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Carrarese carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Carrarese hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Reggiana 30.7% | Draw 29.3% | Carrarese 40%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Reggiana P. Bisoli
P. Bisoli
VS
Carrarese A. Calabro
A. Calabro
0.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.23
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pescara Rank: 47 L
Virtus Entella Rank: 47 L
Monza Rank: 65 D
Bari 1908 Rank: 49 L
Venezia Rank: 69 L
Südtirol Rank: 55 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Spezia Rank: 52 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 50 W
Sampdoria Rank: 51 W
Juve Stabia Rank: 54 D
Palermo Rank: 64 L
Catanzaro Rank: 60 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 3 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Reggiana
30.71%
Draw
29.27%
Away Carrarese
40.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
45.44
55.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Reggiana
Carrarese
Power Score
45.44
55.46
League Position
20
9
Global Rank
871
606

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Reggiana — Opponent-weighted form score
Carrarese — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Reggiana Carrarese

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Reggiana Reggiana Home
3 matches
Carrarese CAR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
3
Draws
3
0
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:02:13+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Micai
1 A. Micai
A. Papetti
2 A. Papetti
F. Vicari
34 F. Vicari
M. Vanelli Lusuardi
47 M. Vanelli Lusuardi
L. Libutti
17 L. Libutti
C. Lima Pontes
8 C. Lima Pontes
L. Belardinelli
57 L. Belardinelli
M. Rover
23 M. Rover
M. Portanova
90 M. Portanova
K. Bozhanaj
10 K. Bozhanaj
T. Fumagalli
77 T. Fumagalli
M. Bleve
1 M. Bleve
F. Ruggeri
26 F. Ruggeri
F. Oliana
6 F. Oliana
N. Calabrese
37 N. Calabrese
J. Rouhi
73 J. Rouhi
L. Hasa
70 L. Hasa
E. Zuelli
17 E. Zuelli
G. Parlanti
77 G. Parlanti
S. Zanon
72 S. Zanon
M. Finotto
32 M. Finotto
F. Abiuso
9 F. Abiuso

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Capacity
21584
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Alessandro Micai
Alessandro Micai Goalkeeper
77
Tommaso Fumagalli
Tommaso Fumagalli Centre Forward
2
Andrea Papetti
Andrea Papetti Right Back
8
Charlys
Charlys Defensive Midfield
10
Kleis Bozhanaj
Kleis Bozhanaj Left Wing
17
Lorenzo Libutti
Lorenzo Libutti Left Back
34
Francesco Vicari
Francesco Vicari Right Back
23
Matteo Rover
Matteo Rover Right Wing
47
Mateus Lusuardi
Mateus Lusuardi Left Back
57
Luca Belardinelli
Luca Belardinelli Defensive Midfield
90
Manolo Portanova
Manolo Portanova Attacking Midfield

Starting XI ▼

1
Marco Bleve
Marco Bleve Goalkeeper
72
Simone Zanon
Simone Zanon Midfielder
73
Jonas Rouhi
Jonas Rouhi Midfielder
9
Fabio Abiuso
Fabio Abiuso Attacker
32
Mattia Finotto
Mattia Finotto Attacker
6
Filippo Oliana
Filippo Oliana Centre Back
26
Fabio Andrea Ruggeri
Fabio Andrea Ruggeri Left Back
37
Nicolò Calabrese
Nicolò Calabrese Right Back
17
Emanuele Zuelli
Emanuele Zuelli Central Midfield
70
Luis Hasa
Luis Hasa Central Midfield
77
Gabriele Parlanti
Gabriele Parlanti Central Midfield

CONCLUSION

Carrarese enters this fixture with a stronger pre-match profile, holding a 10-point power advantage over Reggiana. The probability models reflect this dynamic, placing Carrarese as the market leader with a 40 percent likelihood of securing an away victory compared to Reggiana's 30.7 percent chance. Consequently, the market and structural signals align to favor the visitors in this Serie B contest. Reggiana must prioritize defensive organization and precise ball retention to neutralize the visitors' structural edge, while Carrarese should focus on maintaining positional discipline to convert their statistical advantage into a victory.