Racing Santander vs Almería preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero Sun, 12 Apr - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Racing Santander RAC
Almería ALM
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Racing Santander host Almería in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero. Domestically, Racing Santander sit 1th in the table while Almería are 2th. Power ranking favours Almería by 1.4 points heading into this fixture. Racing Santander's recent form reads W3 D0 L3 from 6 matches; Almería's form is W4 D0 L2 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Racing Santander Loss away against FC Andorra. Almería last played at home versus Leganés, finishing with a Win.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Almería hold a +1.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Almería sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Racing Santander show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Almería have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Almería carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Almería hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Racing Santander 41% | Draw 25.7% | Almería 33.3%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
VS
Almería J. Ferrer Sicilia
J. Ferrer Sicilia
1.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.84
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Andorra Rank: 62 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 L
Albacete Rank: 65 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 58 W
Córdoba Rank: 61 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 66 W
Castellón Rank: 65 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 62 W
Huesca Rank: 59 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 57 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 58 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 6 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Racing Santander
40.96%
Draw
25.71%
Away Almería
33.33%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.48
69.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Racing Santander
Almería
Power Score
68.48
69.84
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
218
185

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Almería — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Racing Santander Almería

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Racing Santander RAC Home
17 matches
Almería ALM Away
Match Record
6
Wins
5
6
Draws
6
5
Losses
6
Goals
21
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
21
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:02:35+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
1 J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
J. Castro Urdín
5 J. Castro Urdín
J. Hernando Riol
4 J. Hernando Riol
F. González Molino
16 F. González Molino
M. García Alvear
3 M. García Alvear
D. Rodríguez Sousa
23 D. Rodríguez Sousa
G. Puerta Molano
19 G. Puerta Molano
A. Martín García
11 A. Martín García
P. Canales Urtasun
18 P. Canales Urtasun
I. Vicente Elorduy
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
G. Guliashvili
7 G. Guliashvili
A. Fernández Moreno
1 A. Fernández Moreno
A. Muñoz Miguel
3 A. Muñoz Miguel
F. Bonini
18 F. Bonini
R. Ely
5 R. Ely
M. Ruiz
16 M. Ruiz
D. Lopy
17 D. Lopy
I. Mohammed
14 I. Mohammed
A. Embarba Blázquez
23 A. Embarba Blázquez
S. Arribas Calvo
11 S. Arribas Calvo
A. Puigmal Martínez
2 A. Puigmal Martínez
M. De la Fuente Escudero
24 M. De la Fuente Escudero

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Capacity
22308
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Jokin Ezkieta
Jokin Ezkieta Goalkeeper
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Centre Forward
3
Mario García
Mario García Left Back
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Right Back
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro Right Back
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Left Wing
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Right Wing
16
Facundo González
Facundo González Left Back
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Attacking Midfield
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Defensive Midfield
23
Damián Rodríguez
Damián Rodríguez Defensive Midfield

Starting XI ▼

1
Andrés Fernández
Andrés Fernández Goalkeeper
24
Miguel de la Fuente
Miguel de la Fuente Centre Forward
3
Álex Muñoz
Álex Muñoz Left Back
5
Rodrigo Ely
Rodrigo Ely Right Back
11
Sergio Arribas
Sergio Arribas Attacking Midfield
14
Iddrisu Baba
Iddrisu Baba Defensive Midfield
2
Arnau Puigmal
Arnau Puigmal Right Wing
16
Marcos Luna
Marcos Luna Right Back
17
Dion Lopy
Dion Lopy Defensive Midfield
18
Federico Bonini
Federico Bonini Left Back
23
Adrián Embarba
Adrián Embarba Left Wing

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Almería holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Almería a 1.4-point edge. Market probabilities are Racing Santander 40.6%, draw 25.4%, and Almería 34%. That market view diverges from the structural profile, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.