Sirius vs Hammarby preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Studenternas IP Mon, 13 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Sirius SIR
Hammarby HAM
KICKOFF : Mon, 13 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 2 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sirius will host Hammarby at Studenternas IP for this Allsvenskan Regular Season fixture. The teams enter this contest situated at the very top of the league table. Sirius currently occupies the 1st position, while Hammarby sits closely behind in 2nd place. Both clubs have displayed identical overall records in recent weeks. For the hosts, their season form reads W4 D1 L0 from 5 matches. The visiting side also comes into the game performing consistently, as Hammarby's season form reads W4 D1 L0 from 5 matches. In their most recent fixtures, both sides secured favorable results to maintain their standings. Sirius registered a Win away against Degerfors in their last outing. Meanwhile, Hammarby also collected a Win during their home match against Mjällby.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hammarby hold a +9.8 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Sirius are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Sirius show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Hammarby have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Hammarby carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Hammarby hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Sirius 32.8% | Draw 25.5% | Hammarby 41.7%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
VS
Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
2.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.6
2.6 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: 47 W
Värnamo Rank: 43 W
Norrköping Rank: 46 W
Elfsborg Rank: 56 W
Häcken Rank: 57 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.6 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: 72 W
Elfsborg Rank: 56 W
Degerfors Rank: 45 D
Malmö FF Rank: 62 W
AIK Rank: 58 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 6 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sirius
32.78%
Draw
25.5%
Away Hammarby
41.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.14
68.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sirius
Hammarby
Power Score
59.14
68.95
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
488
208

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sirius Hammarby

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sirius SIR Home
18 matches
Hammarby HAM Away
Match Record
2
Wins
10
6
Draws
6
10
Losses
2
Goals
21
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
21
-15
Goal Difference
+15
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:02:55+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Celic
34 D. Celic
V. Ekström
20 V. Ekström
H. Castegren
5 H. Castegren
T. Anker
4 T. Anker
O. Krusnell
22 O. Krusnell
M. Heier
10 M. Heier
M. Lindberg
6 M. Lindberg
O. Jönsson
17 O. Jönsson
V. Svensson
24 V. Svensson
I. Bjerkebo
11 I. Bjerkebo
R. Ure
9 R. Ure
W. Hahn
1 W. Hahn
F. Winther
3 F. Winther
V. Eriksson
4 V. Eriksson
I. Breze Fofana
6 I. Breze Fofana
E. Skoglund
2 E. Skoglund
O. Johansson
11 O. Johansson
M. Karlsson
8 M. Karlsson
V. Lind
9 V. Lind
N. Besara
20 N. Besara
M. Madjed
26 M. Madjed
P. Abraham
7 P. Abraham

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 13, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Studenternas IP
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Centre Forward
20
Victor Ekstrom
Victor Ekstrom Right Back
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Left Back
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson Attacking Midfield
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Left Back
5
Henrik Castegren
Henrik Castegren Right Back
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Defensive Midfield
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Defensive Midfield
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Left Wing
17
Neo Jönsson
Neo Jönsson Right Wing

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Centre Forward
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Right Back
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Left Back
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Left Back
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana Right Back
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Defensive Midfield
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Left Wing
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas Defensive Midfield
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara Attacking Midfield
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Right Wing

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Hammarby holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Hammarby a 9.8-point edge. Market probabilities are Sirius 32.8%, draw 25.5%, and Hammarby 41.7%. That market view aligns with the structural profile. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.