Tondela vs Gil Vicente preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio João Cardoso Mon, 13 Apr - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Tondela TND
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
KICKOFF : Mon, 13 Apr - 7:15 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Tondela host Gil Vicente in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio João Cardoso. Domestically, Tondela sit 17th in the table while Gil Vicente are 6th. Power ranking favours Gil Vicente by 17.3 points heading into this fixture. Tondela's recent form reads W1 D3 L2 from 6 matches; Gil Vicente's form is W1 D2 L3 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Tondela Loss away against Vitória Guimarães. Gil Vicente last played at home versus AVS, finishing with a Win.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Gil Vicente hold a +17.3 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Tondela sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Tondela show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Gil Vicente have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Gil Vicente carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Gil Vicente hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Tondela 23.4% | Draw 28.8% | Gil Vicente 47.8%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Tondela G. Feio
G. Feio
VS
Gil Vicente P. da Silva Peixoto
P. da Silva Peixoto
0.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 70 L
AVS Rank: 55 D
Sporting CP Rank: 88 D
Rio Ave Rank: 63 L
Santa Clara Rank: 66 D
Estrela Amadora Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AVS Rank: 55 W
Santa Clara Rank: 65 L
Alverca Rank: 64 D
Estrela Amadora Rank: 59 D
Benfica Rank: 86 L
Estoril Rank: 68 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tondela
23.42%
Draw
28.81%
Away Gil Vicente
47.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.59
69.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tondela
Gil Vicente
Power Score
52.59
69.91
League Position
17
6
Global Rank
481
183

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tondela — Opponent-weighted form score
Gil Vicente — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tondela Gil Vicente

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tondela TND Home
7 matches
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
6
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:03:17+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 13, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio João Cardoso
Capacity
30127
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

30
Lucas Cañizars Conchello
Lucas Cañizars Conchello Goalkeeper
1
Carlos Joel Castro de Sousa
Carlos Joel Castro de Sousa Goalkeeper
31
Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes
Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes Goalkeeper
5
João Ricardo Silva Afonso
João Ricardo Silva Afonso Defender
2
Roberto de Jesus Machado
Roberto de Jesus Machado Defender
44
João Pedro Eira Antunes da Silva
João Pedro Eira Antunes da Silva Defender
48
Tiago Miguel Silva Manso
Tiago Miguel Silva Manso Defender
27
Rodrigo Fernandes Conceição
Rodrigo Fernandes Conceição Defender
21
Remi Vita
Remi Vita Defender
4
Christian Marques
Christian Marques Defender
60
Emmanuel Maviram
Emmanuel Maviram Defender
20
Brayan Medina
Brayan Medina Defender
8
Hélder Luís Lopes Vieira Tavares
Hélder Luís Lopes Vieira Tavares Midfielder
97
Cícero Clebson Alves Santana
Cícero Clebson Alves Santana Midfielder
15
Sphephelo Sithole
Sphephelo Sithole Midfielder
10
Joseph Hodge
Joseph Hodge Midfielder
14
Xabier Huarte Armendariz
Xabier Huarte Armendariz Midfielder
79
Hugo Félix Sequeira
Hugo Félix Sequeira Midfielder
32
Juan Sebastian Rodríguez López
Juan Sebastian Rodríguez López Midfielder
16
Marcos Paulo Mesquita Lopes
Marcos Paulo Mesquita Lopes Attacker
29
Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu
Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu Attacker
23
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka Attacker
7
Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos
Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos Attacker
26
Arjen van der Heide
Arjen van der Heide Attacker
90
Makan Aiko
Makan Aiko Attacker
70
Moudja Sie Ouattara
Moudja Sie Ouattara Attacker

Squad ▼

99
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira Goalkeeper
30
Lucas Alexandre Galdino de Azevedo
Lucas Alexandre Galdino de Azevedo Goalkeeper
39
Jonathan Buatu Mananga
Jonathan Buatu Mananga Defender
3
Ghislain Konan
Ghislain Konan Defender
2
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves Defender
26
Weverson Moreira da Costa
Weverson Moreira da Costa Defender
45
Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi
Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi Defender
4
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert Defender
20
Hevertton Ciriaco Santos
Hevertton Ciriaco Santos Defender
48
Antonio Espigares Morillas
Antonio Espigares Morillas Defender
59
Arthur Tchaptchet
Arthur Tchaptchet Defender
10
Luís André Leite Esteves
Luís André Leite Esteves Midfielder
95
Santiago Garcia Gonzalez
Santiago Garcia Gonzalez Midfielder
5
Facundo Agustín Cáseres
Facundo Agustín Cáseres Midfielder
32
Martín Fernández Benítez
Martín Fernández Benítez Midfielder
6
José Carlos Natário Ferreira
José Carlos Natário Ferreira Midfielder
19
Gil Pinto Martins
Gil Pinto Martins Midfielder
8
Mohamed Aboubakar Bamba
Mohamed Aboubakar Bamba Midfielder
82
Gonçalo Maia Pereira
Gonçalo Maia Pereira Midfielder
23
Héctor Hernández Marrero
Héctor Hernández Marrero Attacker
77
Murilo De Souza Costa
Murilo De Souza Costa Attacker
22
Sergio Bermejo Lillo
Sergio Bermejo Lillo Attacker
11
Joelson Augusto Mendes Mango Fernandes
Joelson Augusto Mendes Mango Fernandes Attacker
29
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente Attacker
89
Gustavo Miguel Pereira De Sousa
Gustavo Miguel Pereira De Sousa Attacker
27
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales Attacker
7
Tidjany Chabrol Touré
Tidjany Chabrol Touré Attacker
80
Rodrigo Prata Deusdado Rodrigues
Rodrigo Prata Deusdado Rodrigues Attacker

CONCLUSION

Gil Vicente enters this Liga Portugal fixture with the stronger pre-match profile, carrying a structural advantage of 17.3 power points over Tondela. This underlying structural assessment aligns directly with the implied market probabilities, which establish Gil Vicente as the clear leader at 47.8 percent, well above the 23.4 percent chance assigned to the hosts. Although Tondela registered marginally better recent form metrics over their last six matches, their 17th-place position in the table underscores their ongoing vulnerabilities. To secure an away victory, Gil Vicente must impose their baseline quality in possession early and manage mid-block transitions effectively to break down the defensive shape of Tondela.