Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Champions League, Europe
Anfield Tue, 14 Apr - 7:00 PM
Champions League
Liverpool LIV
Paris Saint Germain PSG
KICKOFF : Tue, 14 Apr - 7:00 PM
Quarter Finals Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Liverpool host Paris Saint Germain in Champions League (Quarter-finals) at Anfield. Domestically, Liverpool sit 3th in the table while Paris Saint Germain are 11th. Power ranking favours Paris Saint Germain by 1 points heading into this fixture. Liverpool's recent form reads W4 D1 L1 from 6 matches; Paris Saint Germain's form is W3 D3 L0 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Liverpool Draw away against Paris Saint Germain. Paris Saint Germain last played at home versus Liverpool, finishing with a Draw.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Paris Saint Germain hold a +1 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Liverpool sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Liverpool show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Paris Saint Germain have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Paris Saint Germain carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Paris Saint Germain hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Market probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the provided data.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Liverpool A. Slot
A. Slot
VS
Paris Saint Germain L. Martínez García
L. Martínez García
2.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.73
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 93 D
Galatasaray Rank: 89 W
Galatasaray Rank: 88 L
Qarabağ Rank: W
Olympique Marseille Rank: 81 W
Inter Rank: 90 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Liverpool Rank: 92 D
Chelsea Rank: 92 W
Chelsea Rank: 90 W
Monaco Rank: 81 D
Monaco Rank: 81 W
Newcastle United Rank: 89 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Liverpool
0%
Draw
0%
Away Paris Saint Germain
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
92.46
93.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Power Score
92.46
93.46
League Position
3
11
Global Rank
7
5

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Liverpool — Opponent-weighted form score
Paris Saint Germain — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Liverpool Paris Saint Germain

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Liverpool LIV Home
4 matches
Paris Saint Germain PSG Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
5
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:03:28+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 14, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Champions League, Europe · Quarter Finals · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium
Anfield
Capacity
61276
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

28
Freddie Woodman
Freddie Woodman Goalkeeper
1
Alisson Ramsés Becker
Alisson Ramsés Becker Goalkeeper
25
Giorgi Mamardashvili
Giorgi Mamardashvili Goalkeeper
95
Harvey Peter Davies
Harvey Peter Davies Goalkeeper
26
Andrew Robertson
Andrew Robertson Defender
2
Joe Gomez
Joe Gomez Defender
4
Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk Defender
5
Ibrahima Konaté
Ibrahima Konaté Defender
46
Rhys Williams
Rhys Williams Defender
30
Jeremie Frimpong
Jeremie Frimpong Defender
47
Calvin Ramsey
Calvin Ramsey Defender
12
Conor Bradley
Conor Bradley Defender
6
Milos Kerkez
Milos Kerkez Defender
15
Giovanni Leoni
Giovanni Leoni Defender
10
Alexis Mac Allister
Alexis Mac Allister Midfielder
3
Wataru Endo
Wataru Endo Midfielder
8
Dominik Szoboszlai
Dominik Szoboszlai Midfielder
17
Curtis Jones
Curtis Jones Midfielder
38
Ryan Gravenberch
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder
7
Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz Midfielder
43
Stefan Bajcetic Maquieira
Stefan Bajcetic Maquieira Midfielder
42
Trey Nyoni
Trey Nyoni Midfielder
11
Mohamed Salah Ghaly
Mohamed Salah Ghaly Attacker
18
Cody Mathès Gakpo
Cody Mathès Gakpo Attacker
9
Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak Attacker
14
Federico Chiesa
Federico Chiesa Attacker
22
Hugo Ekitike
Hugo Ekitike Attacker
73
Rio Ngumoha
Rio Ngumoha Attacker

Squad ▼

39
Matvey Safonov
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper
30
Lucas Chevalier
Lucas Chevalier Goalkeeper
89
Renato Bellucci Marin
Renato Bellucci Marin Goalkeeper
5
Marcos Aoás Corrêa
Marcos Aoás Corrêa Defender
21
Lucas Hernández Pi
Lucas Hernández Pi Defender
2
Achraf Hakimi Mouh
Achraf Hakimi Mouh Defender
51
William Joel Pacho Tenorio
William Joel Pacho Tenorio Defender
6
Illia Zabarnyi
Illia Zabarnyi Defender
25
Nuno Mendes
Nuno Mendes Defender
4
Lucas Lopes Beraldo
Lucas Lopes Beraldo Defender
8
Fabián Ruiz Peña
Fabián Ruiz Peña Midfielder
17
Vitor Machado Ferreira
Vitor Machado Ferreira Midfielder
87
João Pedro Gonçalves Neves
João Pedro Gonçalves Neves Midfielder
33
Warren Zaire Emery
Warren Zaire Emery Midfielder
24
Senny Mayulu
Senny Mayulu Midfielder
27
Pedro Fernández Sarmiento
Pedro Fernández Sarmiento Midfielder
10
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Attacker
7
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Attacker
19
Kang-In Lee
Kang-In Lee Attacker
9
Goncalo Matias Ramos
Goncalo Matias Ramos Attacker
29
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Attacker
14
Desire Doue
Desire Doue Attacker
47
Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha
Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha Attacker
49
Ibrahim Mbaye
Ibrahim Mbaye Attacker

CONCLUSION

Paris Saint Germain holds a narrow structural advantage entering this Champions League fixture, leading by a margin of 1 power point over Liverpool. However, Liverpool brings a marginally better form rating of 72.22 compared to the visitors' 66.67, having recorded four victories in their last six matches. With market probabilities currently unavailable for this contest, it is insufficient to assess any alignment or divergence between the underlying structural data and external expectations ahead of this quarter-final second leg. Progression to the next stage will ultimately depend on which defensive unit can better manage transitional phases and consistently limit space in the attacking third.