Atlético Madrid vs FC Barcelona preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Champions League, Europe
Riyadh Air Metropolitano Tue, 14 Apr - 7:00 PM
Champions League
Atlético Madrid ATM
FC Barcelona BAR
KICKOFF : Tue, 14 Apr - 7:00 PM
Quarter Finals Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Atlético Madrid host FC Barcelona in Champions League (Quarter-finals) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Domestically, Atlético Madrid sit 14th in the table while FC Barcelona are 5th. Power ranking favours FC Barcelona by 7.3 points heading into this fixture. Atlético Madrid's recent form reads W2 D2 L2 from 6 matches; FC Barcelona's form is W4 D2 L0 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Atlético Madrid Draw away against FC Barcelona. FC Barcelona last played at home versus Atlético Madrid, finishing with a Draw.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC Barcelona hold a +7.3 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: FC Barcelona sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Atlético Madrid show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: FC Barcelona have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: FC Barcelona carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: FC Barcelona hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Market probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the provided data.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Atlético Madrid D. Simeone
D. Simeone
VS
FC Barcelona H. Flick
H. Flick
1.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: 97 D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 83 L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 83 W
Club Brugge Rank: 84 W
Club Brugge Rank: 84 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 84 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 D
Newcastle United Rank: 90 W
Newcastle United Rank: 89 D
FC København Rank: 67 W
Slavia Praha Rank: 79 W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 81 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 11 - 34
34
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Atlético Madrid
0%
Draw
0%
Away FC Barcelona
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
89.25
96.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Atlético Madrid
FC Barcelona
Power Score
89.25
96.6
League Position
14
5
Global Rank
16
4

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Atlético Madrid Opponent-weighted form score
FC Barcelona Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atlético Madrid FC Barcelona

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 56 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atlético Madrid ATM Home
56 matches
FC Barcelona BAR Away
Match Record
11
Wins
34
11
Draws
11
34
Losses
11
Goals
63
Goals Scored
110
110
Goals Conceded
63
-47
Goal Difference
+47
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:03:32+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 14, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Champions League, Europe · Quarter Finals · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Capacity
70460
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

13
Jan Oblak
Jan Oblak Goalkeeper
1
Juan Agustín Musso
Juan Agustín Musso Goalkeeper
15
Clément Lenglet
Clément Lenglet Defender
24
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand
Robin Aime Robert Le Normand Defender
17
Dávid Hancko
Dávid Hancko Defender
2
José María Giménez de Vargas
José María Giménez de Vargas Defender
14
Marcos Llorente Moreno
Marcos Llorente Moreno Defender
16
Nahuel Molina Lucero
Nahuel Molina Lucero Defender
3
Matteo Ruggeri
Matteo Ruggeri Defender
18
M. Pubill Pagès
M. Pubill Pagès Defender
6
Jorge Resurrección Merodio
Jorge Resurrección Merodio Midfielder
5
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso
João Lucas de Souza Cardoso Midfielder
8
Pablo Barrios Rivas
Pablo Barrios Rivas Midfielder
21
Obed Vaargas
Obed Vaargas Midfielder
4
Rodrigo Mendoza Martinez Moya
Rodrigo Mendoza Martinez Moya Midfielder
22
Ademola Lookman
Ademola Lookman Attacker
9
Alexander Sørloth
Alexander Sørloth Attacker
7
Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann Attacker
23
Nicolás Iván González
Nicolás Iván González Attacker
10
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez Attacker
11
Thiago Ezequiel Almada
Thiago Ezequiel Almada Attacker
19
Julián Álvarez
Julián Álvarez Attacker
20
Giuliano Simeone
Giuliano Simeone Attacker

Squad

25
Wojciech Szczęsny
Wojciech Szczęsny Goalkeeper
13
Joan García Pons
Joan García Pons Goalkeeper
31
Diego Kochen
Diego Kochen Goalkeeper
15
Andreas Christensen
Andreas Christensen Defender
2
João Pedro Cavaco Cancelo
João Pedro Cavaco Cancelo Defender
23
Jules Koundé
Jules Koundé Defender
4
Ronald Federico Araújo da Silva
Ronald Federico Araújo da Silva Defender
24
Eric García Martret
Eric García Martret Defender
3
Alejandro Balde Martínez
Alejandro Balde Martínez Defender
18
Gerard Martín Langreo
Gerard Martín Langreo Defender
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
Pau Cubarsí Paredes Defender
21
Frenkie de Jong
Frenkie de Jong Midfielder
20
Daniel Olmo Carvajal
Daniel Olmo Carvajal Midfielder
8
Pedro González López
Pedro González López Midfielder
6
Pablo Martín Paez Gaviria
Pablo Martín Paez Gaviria Midfielder
17
Marc Casadó Torras
Marc Casadó Torras Midfielder
16
Fermín López Marín
Fermín López Marín Midfielder
22
Marc Bernal Casas
Marc Bernal Casas Midfielder
14
Marcus Rashford
Marcus Rashford Attacker
9
Robert Lewandowski
Robert Lewandowski Attacker
11
Raphael Dias Belloli
Raphael Dias Belloli Attacker
7
Ferrán Torres García
Ferrán Torres García Attacker
19
Roony Bardghji
Roony Bardghji Attacker
10
Lamine Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
Lamine Yamal Nasraoui Ebana Attacker

CONCLUSION

Entering this second leg of the Champions League quarter-finals, FC Barcelona holds the stronger pre-match profile over Atlético Madrid. The visitors carry a measurable structural edge, reflected in a 7.3-point power advantage over their hosts. FC Barcelona also brings superior recent form into the fixture, having secured four wins and two draws from their last six outings. Market probabilities are currently unavailable for this match, limiting further comparative analysis. With the teams drawing their previous encounter, success in this deciding tie will likely hinge on midfield control and the ability to maintain defensive discipline against organized transition sequences.