Tromsø vs Lillestrøm preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Alfheim Stadion Wed, 15 Apr - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Tromsø Tromsø
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm
KICKOFF : Wed, 15 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 15 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Tromsø host Lillestrøm in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Alfheim Stadion. Domestically, Tromsø sit 1th in the table while Lillestrøm are 3th. Power ranking favours Tromsø by 21.3 points heading into this fixture. Tromsø's recent form reads W5 D1 L0 from 6 matches; Lillestrøm's form is W2 D1 L0 from 3 matches. In their last outing, Tromsø Draw at home against Kristiansund. Lillestrøm last played at home versus Start, finishing with a Draw.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Tromsø hold a +21.3 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Tromsø sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Tromsø show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Tromsø have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Tromsø carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Tromsø hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Market probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the provided data.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Tromsø J. Vik
J. Vik
VS
Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
2.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.33
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kristiansund Rank: 55 D
Rosenborg Rank: 61 W
Brann Rank: 68 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 62 W
Kristiansund Rank: 55 W
Rosenborg Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start Rank: 50 D
Molde Rank: 64 W
Aalesund Rank: 41 W
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 9 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tromsø
0%
Draw
0%
Away Lillestrøm
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.09
46.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tromsø
Lillestrøm
Power Score
68.09
46.78
League Position
1
3
Global Rank
227
678

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Tromsø Opponent-weighted form score
Lillestrøm Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tromsø Lillestrøm

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tromsø Tromsø Home
36 matches
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Away
Match Record
15
Wins
12
9
Draws
9
12
Losses
15
Goals
53
Goals Scored
49
49
Goals Conceded
53
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:03:40+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 15, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 15 · Regular Season
Stadium
Alfheim Stadion
Capacity
6687
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Jakob Haugaard
Jakob Haugaard Goalkeeper
12
Ole Kristian Gjefle Lauvli
Ole Kristian Gjefle Lauvli Goalkeeper
50
Abderrahmane Sarr
Abderrahmane Sarr Goalkeeper
24
Jens Berland Husebø
Jens Berland Husebø Defender
2
Leo Erik Jean Cornic
Leo Erik Jean Cornic Defender
4
Vetle Skjærvik
Vetle Skjærvik Defender
30
Isak Vådebu
Isak Vådebu Defender
21
Tobias Kvalvågnes Guddal
Tobias Kvalvågnes Guddal Defender
37
Sander Håvik Innvær
Sander Håvik Innvær Defender
3
Mathias Tønnessen
Mathias Tønnessen Defender
25
Abubacarr Sedi Kinteh
Abubacarr Sedi Kinteh Defender
27
Mads Mikkelsen
Mads Mikkelsen Defender
11
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen Midfielder
5
David Edvardsson
David Edvardsson Midfielder
8
Jesper Andreas Grundt
Jesper Andreas Grundt Midfielder
22
Heine Larsen
Heine Larsen Midfielder
6
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
Jens Hjertø-Dahl Midfielder
10
Troy Engseth Nyhammer
Troy Engseth Nyhammer Midfielder
29
Alexander Warneryd
Alexander Warneryd Midfielder
92
Johan Solstad-Nøis
Johan Solstad-Nøis Midfielder
7
Lars Olden Larsen
Lars Olden Larsen Attacker
15
Viktor Ekblom
Viktor Ekblom Attacker
9
Daniel Braut
Daniel Braut Attacker

Squad

1
Stefan Hagerup
Stefan Hagerup Goalkeeper
12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
28
Lunan Ruben Gabrielsen
Lunan Ruben Gabrielsen Defender
22
John Kitolano
John Kitolano Defender
23
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen Defender
4
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås Defender
5
Sander Moen Foss
Sander Moen Foss Defender
2
Lars Mogstad Ranger
Lars Mogstad Ranger Defender
26
Yaw Paintsil
Yaw Paintsil Defender
3
Sturla Ottesen
Sturla Ottesen Defender
11
Frederik Elkær
Frederik Elkær Defender
30
Lucas Svenningsen
Lucas Svenningsen Defender
18
Kevin Martin Krygård
Kevin Martin Krygård Midfielder
29
Yildren Ibrahimaj
Yildren Ibrahimaj Midfielder
17
Eric Bugale Kitolano
Eric Bugale Kitolano Midfielder
8
Markus Seehusen Karlsbakk
Markus Seehusen Karlsbakk Midfielder
14
Gustav Kjølstad Nyheim
Gustav Kjølstad Nyheim Midfielder
21
Efe Kegbe Lucky
Efe Kegbe Lucky Midfielder
6
Harald Woxen
Harald Woxen Midfielder
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Thomas Lehne Olsen Attacker
20
Vladimiro Etson António Félix
Vladimiro Etson António Félix Attacker
19
Camil Jebara
Camil Jebara Attacker
15
Salieu Drammeh
Salieu Drammeh Attacker
7
Karl Linus Alperud
Karl Linus Alperud Attacker
27
Markus Edner Wæhler
Markus Edner Wæhler Attacker
9
Kparobo Nathaniel Arierhi
Kparobo Nathaniel Arierhi Attacker

CONCLUSION

Tromsø holds the stronger pre-match profile heading into this Eliteserien fixture, carrying a distinct structural advantage of 21.3 points over Lillestrøm. Because the probabilities for a home victory, draw, and away win all currently sit at zero, market data is unavailable and insufficient for analysis. Therefore, it is not possible to establish any alignment or divergence between external indicators and the core structural metrics. Both sides enter the contest following recent draws, confirming their overall resilience. To secure a positive result, Lillestrøm must maintain a disciplined defensive shape and execute efficient transitions to navigate the established statistical gap.