Arsenal vs Sporting CP preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Champions League, Europe
Emirates Stadium Wed, 15 Apr - 7:00 PM
Champions League
Arsenal ARS
Sporting CP SCP
KICKOFF : Wed, 15 Apr - 7:00 PM
Quarter Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 0

CONTEXT

Arsenal hosts Sporting CP at the Emirates Stadium for the Quarter-finals of the Champions League. This match represents Leg 2 of 2 in their knockout tie. Arsenal enters this fixture holding a 1 - 0 aggregate lead. The first leg, played 8 days ago, featured Sporting CP vs Arsenal and concluded with a 0-1 scoreline. In the competition standings, Arsenal currently holds the 1st position, while Sporting CP sits in 7th place. Arsenal's season form reads W5 D1 L0 from 6 matches. In comparison, Sporting CP's season form reads W3 D0 L3 from 6 matches. Looking at their most recent performances, Arsenal's last match was an away fixture against Sporting CP, which ended in a Win. Conversely, Sporting CP's last outing was a home fixture against Arsenal, resulting in a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Arsenal hold a +10.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Arsenal sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Arsenal show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Arsenal have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Arsenal carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Arsenal hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Arsenal 66.9% | Draw 19.7% | Sporting CP 13.4%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Arsenal M. Arteta
M. Arteta
VS
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
2.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.78
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting CP Rank: 89 W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 89 W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 89 D
Kairat Rank: W
Inter Rank: 90 W
Club Brugge Rank: 84 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arsenal Rank: 99 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 84 L
Athletic Club Rank: 77 W
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 93 W
FC Bayern München Rank: 100 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Arsenal
66.9%
Draw
19.72%
Away Sporting CP
13.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
99.09
88.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arsenal
Sporting CP
Power Score
99.09
88.73
League Position
1
7
Global Rank
2
17

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Arsenal — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting CP — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arsenal Sporting CP

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Arsenal ARS Home
6 matches
Sporting CP SCP Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
3
Draws
3
0
Losses
3
Goals
10
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
10
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T02:03:44+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 15, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Champions League, Europe · Quarter Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 0
Stadium
Emirates Stadium
Capacity
60704
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
David Raya Martin
David Raya Martin Goalkeeper
13
Kepa Arrizabalaga Revuelta
Kepa Arrizabalaga Revuelta Goalkeeper
4
Ben White
Ben White Defender
6
Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães
Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães Defender
12
Jurriën Maduro
Jurriën Maduro Defender
2
William Saliba
William Saliba Defender
33
Riccardo Calafiori
Riccardo Calafiori Defender
5
Piero Martín Hincapié Reyna
Piero Martín Hincapié Reyna Defender
49
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Myles Lewis-Skelly Defender
3
Cristhian Andrey Mosquera Ibarguen
Cristhian Andrey Mosquera Ibarguen Defender
41
Declan Rice
Declan Rice Midfielder
10
Eberechi Eze
Eberechi Eze Midfielder
8
Martin Ødegaard
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder
16
Christian Nørgaard
Christian Nørgaard Midfielder
23
Mikel Merino Zazón
Mikel Merino Zazón Midfielder
36
Martín Zubimendi Ibáñez
Martín Zubimendi Ibáñez Midfielder
9
Gabriel Fernando de Jesus
Gabriel Fernando de Jesus Attacker
29
Kai Havertz
Kai Havertz Attacker
19
Leandro Trossard
Leandro Trossard Attacker
14
Viktor Gyökeres
Viktor Gyökeres Attacker
11
Gabriel Teodoro Martinelli Silva
Gabriel Teodoro Martinelli Silva Attacker
7
Bukayo Saka
Bukayo Saka Attacker
20
Chukwunonso Madueke
Chukwunonso Madueke Attacker
56
Max Dowman
Max Dowman Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Rui Tiago Dantas da Silva
Rui Tiago Dantas da Silva Goalkeeper
12
João Manuel Neves Virginia
João Manuel Neves Virginia Goalkeeper
11
Nuno Miguel Gomes dos Santos
Nuno Miguel Gomes dos Santos Defender
91
Ricardo Luís Chaby Mangas
Ricardo Luís Chaby Mangas Defender
20
Maximiliano Javier Araújo Vilches
Maximiliano Javier Araújo Vilches Defender
72
Eduardo Filipe Quaresma Coimbra Simões
Eduardo Filipe Quaresma Coimbra Simões Defender
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
Georgios Vagiannidis Defender
6
Zeno Debast
Zeno Debast Defender
25
Gonçalo Bernardo Inácio
Gonçalo Bernardo Inácio Defender
22
Iván Fresneda Corraliza
Iván Fresneda Corraliza Defender
26
Ousmane Diomande
Ousmane Diomande Defender
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili
Giorgi Kochorashvili Midfielder
17
Francisco António Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
Francisco António Machado Mota de Castro Trincão Midfielder
42
Morten Hjulmand
Morten Hjulmand Midfielder
23
Daniel Santos Bragança
Daniel Santos Bragança Midfielder
5
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita Midfielder
52
João Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simões
João Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simões Midfielder
97
Luis Javier Suárez Charris
Luis Javier Suárez Charris Attacker
8
Pedro António Pereira Gonçalves
Pedro António Pereira Gonçalves Attacker
89
Fotis Ioannidis
Fotis Ioannidis Attacker
10
Geny Cipriano Catamo
Geny Cipriano Catamo Attacker
15
Souleymane Faye
Souleymane Faye Attacker
90
Rafael Ferreira Nel
Rafael Ferreira Nel Attacker
7
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
Geovany Tcherno Quenda Attacker
31
Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos
Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos Attacker

CONCLUSION

Arsenal enters this fixture with the stronger pre-match profile, holding a 10.4-point power advantage over Sporting CP. The structural metrics point to a clear home advantage for this second-leg encounter. The current market probabilities establish Arsenal as the firm leader at 66.9 percent, with the draw at 19.7 percent and a Sporting CP victory at 13.4 percent. As a result, the market and the underlying structural signals align in anticipating a favorable outcome for the hosts. Holding a one-goal aggregate lead from the first match, Arsenal must prioritize disciplined ball circulation to limit offensive transition opportunities for the visitors.