Castellón vs Almería preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Nou Estadi Castalia Thu, 2 Apr - 6:00 PM
La Liga 2
Castellón Castellón
Almería ALM
KICKOFF : Thu, 2 Apr - 6:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Castellón host Almería in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Nou Estadi Castalia. Domestically, Castellón sit 6th in the table while Almería are 2th. Power ranking favours Almería by 4.7 points heading into this fixture. Castellón's recent form reads W1 D2 L3 from 6 matches; Almería's form is W4 D1 L1 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Castellón Draw at home against Cultural Leonesa. Almería last played away versus Real Zaragoza, finishing with a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Almería hold a +4.7 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Almería sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Castellón show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Almería have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Almería carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Almería hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Castellón 0% | Draw 0% | Almería 0%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Castellón J. Plat
J. Plat
VS
Almería J. Ferrer Sicilia
J. Ferrer Sicilia
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.78
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 59 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 L
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
Las Palmas Rank: 70 D
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: 57 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 59 W
Albacete Rank: 67 D
Córdoba Rank: 62 W
FC Andorra Rank: 61 W
Cádiz Rank: 61 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Castellón
0%
Draw
0%
Away Almería
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.66
70.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Castellón
Almería
Power Score
65.66
70.39
League Position
6
2
Global Rank
310
187

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Castellón — Opponent-weighted form score
Almería — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Castellón Almería

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Castellón Castellón Home
9 matches
Almería ALM Away
Match Record
3
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
3
Goals
16
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
16
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-26T00:06:06+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 02, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nou Estadi Castalia
Capacity
15500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Amir Abedzadeh
Amir Abedzadeh Goalkeeper
13
Romain Matthys
Romain Matthys Goalkeeper
3
Fabrizio Brignani
Fabrizio Brignani Defender
17
Salvador Ruiz Rodríguez
Salvador Ruiz Rodríguez Defender
5
Alberto Jiménez Benítez
Alberto Jiménez Benítez Defender
22
Jérémy Mellot
Jérémy Mellot Defender
4
Agustín Sienra
Agustín Sienra Defender
12
Lucas Alcázar Moreno
Lucas Alcázar Moreno Defender
2
Martín Conde Gómez
Martín Conde Gómez Defender
25
Ronaldo Pompeu da Silva
Ronaldo Pompeu da Silva Midfielder
10
Israel Suero Fernández
Israel Suero Fernández Midfielder
8
Diego Hernández Barriuso
Diego Hernández Barriuso Midfielder
6
Marc Olivier Doue
Marc Olivier Doue Midfielder
21
Alex Calatrava Torrado
Alex Calatrava Torrado Midfielder
15
Beñat Gerenabarrena Zendoia
Beñat Gerenabarrena Zendoia Midfielder
7
Awer Mabil
Awer Mabil Attacker
11
Douglas Aurélio
Douglas Aurélio Attacker
14
Raúl Sánchez Sánchez
Raúl Sánchez Sánchez Attacker
19
Adam Jakobsen
Adam Jakobsen Attacker
9
Ousmane Camara
Ousmane Camara Attacker
29
Tommaso De Nipoti
Tommaso De Nipoti Attacker
16
Brian Kibambe Cipenga
Brian Kibambe Cipenga Attacker
18
Pablo Santiago López
Pablo Santiago López Attacker
23
Álvaro García Arana
Álvaro García Arana Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Andrés Eduardo Fernández Moreno
Andrés Eduardo Fernández Moreno Goalkeeper
13
Fernando Martínez Rubio
Fernando Martínez Rubio Goalkeeper
31
Bruno Iribarne Aleman
Bruno Iribarne Aleman Goalkeeper
5
Rodrigo Ely
Rodrigo Ely Defender
4
Nélson Macedo Monte
Nélson Macedo Monte Defender
3
Alejandro José Muñoz Miguel
Alejandro José Muñoz Miguel Defender
21
Juan Brandariz Movilla
Juan Brandariz Movilla Defender
20
Alejandro Centelles Plaza
Alejandro Centelles Plaza Defender
18
Federico Bonini
Federico Bonini Defender
16
Marcos Luna Marcos Ruiz
Marcos Luna Marcos Ruiz Defender
22
D. Chirino
D. Chirino Defender
32
Pedro Fidel
Pedro Fidel Defender
6
André Filipe Luz Horta
André Filipe Luz Horta Midfielder
14
Iddrisu Baba Mohammed
Iddrisu Baba Mohammed Midfielder
2
Arnau Puigmal Martínez
Arnau Puigmal Martínez Midfielder
10
Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo
Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo Midfielder
17
Dion Lopy
Dion Lopy Midfielder
11
Sergio Arribas Calvo
Sergio Arribas Calvo Midfielder
8
Guilherme Borges Guedes
Guilherme Borges Guedes Midfielder
29
Stefan Dzodic
Stefan Dzodic Midfielder
12
Leonardo Carrilho Baptistão
Leonardo Carrilho Baptistão Attacker
23
Adrián Embarba Blázquez
Adrián Embarba Blázquez Attacker
24
Miguel De la Fuente Escudero
Miguel De la Fuente Escudero Attacker
19
Serge Patrick Njoh Soko
Serge Patrick Njoh Soko Attacker
—
Ibrahima Koné
Ibrahima Koné Attacker
7
Jon Morcillo Conesa
Jon Morcillo Conesa Attacker
9
Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo
Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Almería holding the stronger pre-match profile. The power-ranking gap of 4.7 points supports that view. Market sentiment broadly aligns with the underlying data —Castellón at 0%, draw at 0%, Almería at 0%— leaving the balance of play dependent on execution, set pieces, and transitions rather than variance alone. Both sides will need to convert their chances to decide the outcome.