Country 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio La Rosaleda Sat, 28 Mar - 5:30 PM
La Liga 2
Málaga MLA
VS
Leganés LEG
KICKOFF : Sat, 28 Mar - 5:30 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Málaga host Leganés in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio La Rosaleda. Domestically, Málaga sit 4th in the table while Leganés are 17th. Power ranking favours Málaga by 8.4 points heading into this fixture. Málaga's recent form reads W3 D1 L2 from 6 matches; Leganés's form is W1 D2 L3 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Málaga Draw at home against Real Valladolid. Leganés last played at home versus SD Eibar, finishing with a Loss.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Málaga hold a +8.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Málaga sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Málaga show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Málaga have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Málaga carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Málaga hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Málaga 48.1% | Draw 27.1% | Leganés 24.8%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Málaga J. Funes Arjona
J. Funes Arjona
VS
Leganés I. Oca Pulido
I. Oca Pulido
1.74
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Valladolid Rank: 59 D
Granada Rank: 67 W
Albacete Rank: 67 W
Real Sociedad II Rank: 63 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 59 W
Mirandés Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SD Eibar Rank: 66 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 59 D
Córdoba Rank: 62 L
Granada Rank: 67 W
Burgos Rank: 67 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Málaga
48.06%
Draw
27.14%
Away Leganés
24.8%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.84
60.42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Málaga
Leganés
Power Score
68.84
60.42
League Position
4
17
Global Rank
221
287

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Málaga — Opponent-weighted form score
Leganés — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Málaga Leganés

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Málaga MLA Home
11 matches
Leganés LEG Away
Match Record
3
Wins
7
1
Draws
1
7
Losses
3
Goals
10
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
10
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-26T00:04:26+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Herrero Peinador
1 A. Herrero Peinador
C. Puga Medina
3 C. Puga Medina
D. Murillo Dominguez
16 D. Murillo Dominguez
F. Montero Rubio
20 F. Montero Rubio
D. Rodríguez Sánchez
18 D. Rodríguez Sánchez
D. Larrubia Romano
10 D. Larrubia Romano
I. Merino Rodríguez
23 I. Merino Rodríguez
D. Lorenzo Guerrero
22 D. Lorenzo Guerrero
J. Muñoz Benavides
11 J. Muñoz Benavides
E. Jauregi Escobar
17 E. Jauregi Escobar
C. Ruiz Rubio
9 C. Ruiz Rubio
J. Soriano Oropesa
1 J. Soriano Oropesa
E. Franquesa Dolz
15 E. Franquesa Dolz
M. Antolín Garzón
2 M. Antolín Garzón
I. Miquel i Pons
5 I. Miquel i Pons
G. Aguilar López
6 G. Aguilar López
C. Guirao Mora
26 C. Guirao Mora
S. Cisse
8 S. Cisse
A. Diawara
24 A. Diawara
J. Díaz Espósito
10 J. Díaz Espósito
A. Millán Iranzo
23 A. Millán Iranzo
L. Lopes
11 L. Lopes

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 28, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio La Rosaleda
Capacity
30044
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Alfonso Herrero
Alfonso Herrero Goalkeeper
10
David Larrubia
David Larrubia Midfielder
11
Joaquín Muñoz
Joaquín Muñoz Midfielder
17
Eneko Jauregi
Eneko Jauregi Attacker
9
Chupe
Chupe Attacker
3
Carlos Puga
Carlos Puga Right Back
16
Diego Murillo
Diego Murillo Right Back
20
Javi Montero
Javi Montero Left Back
18
Dani Sánchez
Dani Sánchez Left Back
23
Izan Merino
Izan Merino Central Midfield
22
Dani Lorenzo
Dani Lorenzo Central Midfield

Starting XI ▼

1
Juan Soriano
Juan Soriano Goalkeeper
11
Duk
Duk Attacker
23
Álex Millán
Álex Millán Centre Forward
10
Juan Cruz
Juan Cruz Attacker
2
Marvelous Antolín Garzón
Marvelous Antolín Garzón Left Back
15
Enric Franquesa
Enric Franquesa Left Back
6
Lalo Aguilar
Lalo Aguilar Right Back
5
Ignasi Miquel
Ignasi Miquel Right Back
24
Amadou Diawara
Amadou Diawara Central Midfield
8
Seydouba Cissé
Seydouba Cissé Central Midfield
26
Carlos Guirao
Carlos Guirao Central Midfield

CONCLUSION

Málaga enters this La Liga 2 clash boasting a noticeably stronger pre-match profile compared to Leganés. The hosts hold a clear 8.4-point power advantage over their opponents, reflecting their superior overall quality this season. The betting market aligns perfectly with this statistical assessment. Oddsmakers give Málaga a solid 48% probability of securing the victory at Estadio La Rosaleda, while the chances of a draw sit at 27.5%. This leaves Leganés as significant underdogs with just a 24.5% likelihood of an away win. To capitalize on these favorable expectations, Málaga must dictate the tempo early and maintain focus, ensuring their clear on-paper dominance translates into a clinical execution on the pitch.