SD Eibar vs Las Palmas preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa Sun, 29 Mar - 12:00 PM
La Liga 2
SD Eibar EIB
Las Palmas LPA
KICKOFF : Sun, 29 Mar - 12:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

SD Eibar host Las Palmas in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa. Domestically, SD Eibar sit 9th in the table while Las Palmas are 5th. Power ranking favours SD Eibar by 5.8 points heading into this fixture. SD Eibar's recent form reads W4 D1 L1 from 6 matches; Las Palmas's form is W3 D2 L1 from 6 matches. In their last outing, SD Eibar Win away against Leganés. Las Palmas last played at home versus Sporting Gijón, finishing with a Win.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SD Eibar hold a +5.8 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: SD Eibar sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: SD Eibar show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: SD Eibar have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: SD Eibar carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: SD Eibar hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: SD Eibar 37.7% (Δ+1.4%) | Draw 31.7% (Δ+0.1%) | Las Palmas 30.7% (Δ-1.5%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
VS
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 66 W
Cádiz Rank: 62 W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 L
Racing Santander Rank: 71 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Albacete Rank: 63 L
Ceuta Rank: 63 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 60 W
Castellón Rank: 66 D
Mirandés Rank: 59 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SD Eibar
37.65%
Draw
31.67%
Away Las Palmas
30.68%

Movement

Changes since opening
SD Eibar
+1.42%
Draw
+0.06%
Las Palmas
-1.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.55
62.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SD Eibar
Las Palmas
Power Score
68.55
62.73
League Position
9
5
Global Rank
232
202

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SD Eibar Las Palmas

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SD Eibar EIB Home
19 matches
Las Palmas LPA Away
Match Record
6
Wins
9
4
Draws
4
9
Losses
6
Goals
22
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
22
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-26T00:04:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Magunagoitia Blasco
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
S. Cubero Ezcurra
2 S. Cubero Ezcurra
P. Nolaskoain Esnal
8 P. Nolaskoain Esnal
J. Amador Silos
15 J. Amador Silos
A. Arbilla Zabala
23 A. Arbilla Zabala
S. Álvarez Díaz
6 S. Álvarez Díaz
L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
14 L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
M. Ares Djalo
18 M. Ares Djalo
J. Martón Ansó
20 J. Martón Ansó
J. Corpas Serna
17 J. Corpas Serna
J. Bautista Orgilles
9 J. Bautista Orgilles
D. Horkaš
1 D. Horkaš
E. Clemente Maza
5 E. Clemente Maza
M. Marmol Medina
3 M. Marmol Medina
S. Barcia Laranxeira
6 S. Barcia Laranxeira
V. Álvarez Rozada
17 V. Álvarez Rozada
E. Loiodice
12 E. Loiodice
K. Rodríguez Concepción
20 K. Rodríguez Concepción
P. García Mejías
22 P. García Mejías
M. Fuster Lázaro
14 M. Fuster Lázaro
T. Miyashiro
18 T. Miyashiro
J. Rodríguez Ruiz
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 29, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
Capacity
8164
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper
9
Jon Bautista
Jon Bautista Centre Forward
6
Sergio Álvarez
Sergio Álvarez Defensive Midfield
2
Sergio Cubero
Sergio Cubero Right Back
8
Peru Nolaskoain
Peru Nolaskoain Right Back
15
Jair Amador
Jair Amador Left Back
14
Lander Olaetxea
Lander Olaetxea Defensive Midfield
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Left Wing
18
Adu Ares
Adu Ares Right Wing
20
Javi Martón
Javi Martón Attacking Midfield
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Anaitz Arbilla Left Back

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
10
Jesé
Jesé Centre Forward
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Left Back
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente Left Back
6
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Right Back
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez Defensive Midfield
22
Ale García
Ale García Left Wing
18
Taisei Miyashiro
Taisei Miyashiro Right Wing
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster Attacking Midfield
17
Viti Rozada
Viti Rozada Right Back
12
Enzo Loiodice
Enzo Loiodice Defensive Midfield

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward SD Eibar holding the stronger pre-match profile. The power-ranking gap of 5.8 points supports that view. Market sentiment broadly aligns with the underlying data —SD Eibar at 36.2%, draw at 31.6%, Las Palmas at 32.2%— leaving the balance of play dependent on execution, set pieces, and transitions rather than variance alone. Both sides will need to convert their chances to decide the outcome.