Panaitolikos vs Asteras Tripolis preview

Greece flag 2026/2027 Super League, Greece
Stadio Panetolikou
Super League
PanaitolikosPanaitolikos
3 1
Asteras TripolisAST
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season
G. Granath - 6'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Panaitolikos hosted Asteras Tripolis in a league encounter that concluded with a 3-1 home victory. The hosts took a 1-0 lead into the break and added two further goals after the interval to seal the points. Despite holding just 40 percent of possession against the visitors 60 percent share the stronger side delivered an efficient display to claim the win. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the ninety minutes. The outcome reflected a significant structural deviation from pre-match patterns for Panaitolikos. Second-half adjustments allowed the home side to stretch their advantage while Asteras Tripolis struggled to convert territorial control into clear chances. The result underlined the hosts ability to capitalize on key moments despite lower ball dominance.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Panaitolikos recorded a significant deviation from expected patterns in securing the 3-1 win.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger home side throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment with the 3-1 score could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result stayed aligned with expectations for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: No xG figures were recorded for either Panaitolikos or Asteras Tripolis.
  • Event impact: Second-half goals proved decisive in extending the home lead after the 1-0 halftime score.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so match dynamics remained undistorted for both sides.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Katopis
E. Katopis
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Fotopoulos
A. Fotopoulos
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Staikos
K. Staikos
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Katsikogiannis
A. Katsikogiannis
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Panaitolikos Y. Anastasiou
Y. Anastasiou
VS
Asteras Tripolis G. Antonopoulos
G. Antonopoulos
1.07
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Asteras Tripolis Rank: 56 L
Panserraikos Rank: 51 D
Larissa Rank: 55 D
Atromitos Rank: 64 W
Kifisia Rank: 58 L
Kifisia Rank: 58 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Panaitolikos Rank: 57 W
Kifisia Rank: 58 D
Panserraikos Rank: 51 W
Larissa Rank: 55 D
Atromitos Rank: 64 W
Atromitos Rank: 64 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.85
56.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Panaitolikos
Asteras Tripolis
Power Score
56.85
56.23
League Position
3
11
Global Rank
637
652

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Panaitolikos — Opponent-weighted form score
Asteras Tripolis — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Panaitolikos Asteras Tripolis

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Panaitolikos

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Asteras Tripolis

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Panaitolikos ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Asteras Tripolis
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
13.25
28.08
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.08
13.25
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Panaitolikos -1.47 Efficiency Index
vs
Asteras Tripolis +1.47 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Panaitolikos
Asteras Tripolis
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Panaitolikos ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Asteras Tripolis
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Panaitolikos Asteras Tripolis
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Panaitolikos Asteras Tripolis
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Panaitolikos
Asteras Tripolis
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Panaitolikos
vs
Asteras Tripolis
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Panaitolikos Asteras Tripolis
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Panaitolikos 0.15
Asteras Tripolis 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Panaitolikos Asteras Tripolis
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Panaitolikos 0.02
Asteras Tripolis 0.12
Panaitolikos
Asteras Tripolis
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AST had peak pressure around 90'.
  • Panaitolikos started the game with stronger pressure.
Panaitolikos Pressure AST Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AST reached the top pressure at 90' (85.17).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Panaitolikos Panaitolikos Home
6 matches
Asteras Tripolis AST Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
1
Goals
7
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
7
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-24T00:15:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-2-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Super League, Greece · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Panetolikou
Capacity
7321
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Eleftherios Katopis
Andreas Fotopoulos
Konstantinos Staikos
Alexandros Katsikogiannis

Statistics

Possession
Panaitolikos
41%
AST
59%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 3
0 Shots 7
26 Dangerous attacks 57
40 Possession 60
1 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 19

Match Overview

13 Goal Kicks 2
5 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 26
3 Assists 1
14 Dribble Attempts 11
9 Successful Dribbles 9
64 Successful Dribbles Percentage 82

Attacking

85 Attacks 113
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

69 Long Passes 69
296 Passes 428
212 Successful Passes 342
72 Successful Passes Percentage 80
4 Key Passes 12
23 Successful Long Passes 34
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49

Defensive

5 Saves 1
10 Tackles 11
7 Interceptions 5
48 Duels Won 68

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 28
1 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
19 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Eleftherios Katopis

Starting XI ▼

99
Yevgeniy Kucherenko
Yevgeniy Kucherenko Goalkeeper
7.07
2
G. Granath
G. Granath Defender
7.49
5
Athanasios Prodromitis
Athanasios Prodromitis
Defender74'
6.16
15
Christian Manrique
Christian Manrique Defender
7.21
35
Charalampos Mavrias
Charalampos Mavrias (C) Defender
6.98
49
Nikola Stajic
Nikola Stajic Defender
7.1
10
Amine Bassi
Amine Bassi Midfielder
6.55
14
Kosta Aleksic
Kosta Aleksic
Attacker65'
7.08
12
Moussa Djenepo
Moussa Djenepo Midfielder
6.33
18
Giannis Satsias
Giannis Satsias Midfielder
6.52
11
Salifou Soumah
Salifou Soumah
Attacker85'
6.74
22
Diego Esteban
Diego Esteban Midfielder
7.16
6
Marvelous Nakamba
Marvelous Nakamba
Midfielder84'
6.52
28
Lazar Kojic
Lazar Kojic Midfielder
7.12
9
Mateo Mejía
Mateo Mejía Attacker
6.4
44
Novica Erakovic
Novica Erakovic
Midfielder74'
6.32
Referee : Eleftherios Katopis

Starting XI ▼

1
Nikolaos Papadopoulos
Nikolaos Papadopoulos Goalkeeper
6.1
6
Konstantinos Chrysopoulos
Konstantinos Chrysopoulos Defender
6.54
16
Franz Brorsson
Franz Brorsson Defender
6.72
8
Giannis Bouzoukis
Giannis Bouzoukis
Midfielder64'
6.55
27
Giannis Kotsiras
Giannis Kotsiras Defender
6.62
20
Nikolaos Kaltsas
Nikolaos Kaltsas
Attacker84'
6.65
28
Alex Méndez
Alex Méndez Defender
6.2
10
Eder González
Eder González Midfielder
6.71
9
Federico Macheda
Federico Macheda
Attacker73'
7.44
11
Ketu Jih Kalvin
Ketu Jih Kalvin Midfielder
6.28
44
Antonis Papakanellos
Antonis Papakanellos
Midfielder64'
6.46
19
Franco Orozco
Franco Orozco Midfielder
7.02
75
B. Kimpioka
B. Kimpioka
Attacker64'
6.59
21
Dimitrios Kourbelis
Dimitrios Kourbelis (C) Midfielder
6.51
7
Julián Bartolo
Julián Bartolo Attacker
7.71
39
Ricardinho
Ricardinho Attacker
7.18

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Salifou Soumah → Giannis Satsias
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Marvelous Nakamba → Diego Esteban
9th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Nikolaos Kaltsas → Giannis Kotsiras 
8th Substitution
Event
Kosta Aleksic
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
80'
78'
Event
Federico Macheda
Header / 3rd Goal
Event
Novica Erakovic → Mateo Mejía
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Athanasios Prodromitis → G. Granath
7th Substitution
74'
73'
Event
Federico Macheda → Eder González
5th Substitution
Event
Kosta Aleksic → Amine Bassi
4th Substitution
65'
64'
Event
Giannis Bouzoukis → Franz Brorsson
1st Substitution
64'
Event
B. Kimpioka → Franco Orozco
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Antonis Papakanellos → Ketu Jih Kalvin
3rd Substitution
Event
Charalampos Mavrias
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
58'
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Ketu Jih Kalvin
Goal disallowed
Event
G. Granath
Header / 1st Goal
6'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Julian Bartolo takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Update Update
Offside.
88
Attempt Attempt
Christian Manrique takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
85
Update Update
Salifou Soumah comes on for Giannis Satsias.
84
Update Update
Marvelous Nakamba comes on for Esteban Diego.
84
Update Update
Nikolaos Kaltsas comes on for Giannis Kotsiras.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Kosta Aleksic takes a right-footed shot and scores.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kosta Aleksic scores to make it 3-1, assisted by Esteban Diego.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Federico Macheda Head Shot Goal
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Federico Macheda scores, making it 2-1.
77
Attempt Attempt
Federico Macheda attempts a header but misses the shot.
77
Attempt Attempt
Julian Bartolo takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Update Update
Novica Erakovic replaces Mateo Mejia.
74
Update Update
On comes Athanasios Prodromitis, while Gustav Granath goes off.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Federico Macheda comes on for Eder Gonzalez.
65
Update Update
Kosta Aleksic comes on for Amine Bassi.
64
Update Update
On Giannis Bouzoukis, off Franz Brorsson.
64
Update Update
On comes Benjamin Mbunga Kimpioka, off goes Franco Orozco.
64
Update Update
Antonis Papakanellos is on, and Kalvin Ketu is off.
63
Update Update
Kosta Aleksic comes on for Amine Bassi.
62
Attempt Attempt
Franco Orozco takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Ricardo Viana Filho attempts a header but misses the shot.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Charis Mavrias scores with a right-footed shot.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Charis Mavrias scores, making it 2-0.
55
Update Update
Offside.
54
Attempt Attempt
Julian Bartolo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Julian Bartolo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
41
Update Update
Offside.
39
Attempt Attempt
Franz Brorsson takes a shot, but it misses the target.
37
Attempt Attempt
Kalvin Ketu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Update Update
Offside.
31
Update Update
Offside.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Kalvin Ketu.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kalvin Ketu scores, making it 1-1.
23
Attempt Attempt
Julian Bartolo takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
15
Attempt Attempt
Dimitrios Kourbelis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Dimitrios Kourbelis takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Attempt Attempt
Ricardo Viana Filho takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gustav Granath scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Christian Manrique.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Offside.

CONCLUSION

Panaitolikos demonstrated composure and clinical finishing to overcome Asteras Tripolis despite conceding the majority of possession. The 3-1 scoreline accurately reflected their ability to convert limited opportunities into goals while maintaining defensive structure after the interval. Asteras Tripolis created pressure through sustained ball control yet lacked the precision needed to breach the home defense consistently. The absence of dismissals allowed both teams to play with full complements and focus on tactical adjustments. This victory reinforced Panaitolikos standing as the stronger side capable of delivering results through efficiency rather than dominance. Future fixtures will test whether they can sustain such performances against varied opposition styles.