Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Allianz Parque
Serie A
PalmeirasPAL
4 1
Vasco da GamaVAG
Full Time
Round 24 Regular Season
José Manuel López - 47', 89'
Vitor Roque - 51' (P)
Mauricio - 56'
Goal
|
Goal
Facundo Colidio - 90+4'

CONTEXT

Palmeiras secured a convincing 4-1 victory over Vasco da Gama in a match that remained goalless at halftime. Despite similar expected goals figures of 1.71 and 1.61 respectively, the home side dominated the second half to pull away decisively. Possession was held at 57 percent by Palmeiras compared to 43 percent for the visitors. The game featured no red cards for either team, allowing for uninterrupted play throughout the ninety minutes. This result highlighted Palmeiras' ability to convert opportunities effectively after the break, leading to their status as the stronger team prevailing as winners. The match unfolded with both teams showing balanced approaches in the first half, but Palmeiras adjusted their strategy post interval to create more scoring chances. Vasco da Gama struggled to maintain defensive structure as the game progressed. Overall, the performance underscored the importance of second half adjustments in determining the final outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Palmeiras 4-1 Vasco da Gama. Palmeiras showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with expected goals figures.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals stood at 1.71 for Palmeiras and 1.61 for Vasco da Gama.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the standard flow of play.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so match dynamics faced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. da Silva Machado
B. da Silva Machado
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
T. Americano Labes
T. Americano Labes
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. dos Santos
A. dos Santos
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Mendonça da Silva Jr.
J. Mendonça da Silva Jr.
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Palmeiras A. Moreira Ferreira
A. Moreira Ferreira
VS
Vasco da Gama P. dos Santos Martins Silva
P. dos Santos Martins Silva
2.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fluminense Rank: 67 L
Internacional Rank: 64 D
Vitória Rank: 60 W
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 66 L
Coritiba Rank: 59 W
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Santos Rank: 63 L
Bahia Rank: 64 D
Chapecoense Rank: 53 D
Mirassol Rank: 63 D
Vitória Rank: 60 L
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 66 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.78
60.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama
Power Score
74.78
60.22
League Position
1
19
Global Rank
139
532

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Palmeiras — Opponent-weighted form score
Vasco da Gama — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Palmeiras Vasco da Gama

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Palmeiras

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vasco da Gama

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Palmeiras ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vasco da Gama
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.58
31.40
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.40
26.58
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Palmeiras -0.40 Efficiency Index
vs
Vasco da Gama +0.40 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Palmeiras
vs
Vasco da Gama
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Palmeiras Vasco da Gama
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
60%
13%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.02 vs -0.20
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Palmeiras Vasco da Gama
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
13%
60%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.20 vs -0.02
Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Palmeiras
vs
Vasco da Gama
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Palmeiras Vasco da Gama
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Palmeiras 0.30
Vasco da Gama 0.40
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Palmeiras Vasco da Gama
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Palmeiras 0.03
Vasco da Gama 0.09
Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PAL had peak pressure around 55'.
  • PAL started the game with stronger pressure.
PAL Pressure VAG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: PAL reached the top pressure at 55' (82.76).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Palmeiras PAL Home
5 matches
Vasco da Gama VAG Away
Match Record
4
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
4
Goals
8
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
8
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-24T00:19:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Allianz Parque
Capacity
43713
Attendance
36382
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Braulio da Silva Machado
Thiago Americano Labes
Alex dos Santos
José Mendonça da Silva Jr.

Statistics

Possession
PAL
56%
VAG
44%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 3
4 Shots 5
43 Dangerous attacks 30
57 Possession 43
5 Corners 3
20 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
9 Goal Kicks 8
5 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 19
1 Hit Woodwork 0
10 Successful Headers 13
3 Assists 0
17 Dribble Attempts 22
8 Successful Dribbles 8
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

Attacking

112 Attacks 99
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

45 Long Passes 35
543 Passes 404
473 Successful Passes 349
87 Successful Passes Percentage 86
16 Successful Long Passes 12
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34

Defensive

3 Saves 1
20 Tackles 23
10 Interceptions 7
58 Duels Won 51

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 12
1 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
8 Fouls 21

Lineup

Referee : Braulio da Silva Machado

Starting XI ▼

1
Carlos Miguel
Carlos Miguel Goalkeeper
6.64
2
Alexander Barboza
Alexander Barboza Defender
6.8
26
Murilo
Murilo
Defender46'
6.7
4
Agustín Giay
Agustín Giay Defender
7.29
12
Khellven
Khellven
Defender83'
6.16
15
Gustavo Gómez
Gustavo Gómez (C) Defender
6.66
8
Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira Midfielder
7.37
17
Marlon Freitas
Marlon Freitas Midfielder
6.64
32
Emiliano Martínez
Emiliano Martínez
Midfielder71'
6.75
40
Allan
Allan Midfielder
6.74
7
Felipe Anderson
Felipe Anderson
Midfielder71'
6.92
56
Arthur Gabriel
Arthur Gabriel Midfielder
6.76
9
Vitor Roque
Vitor Roque Attacker
7.59
11
Jhon Arias
Jhon Arias
Midfielder71'
6.72
18
Mauricio
Mauricio Attacker
7.2
42
José Manuel López
José Manuel López Attacker
2
8.79
Referee : Braulio da Silva Machado

Starting XI ▼

1
Léo Jardim
Léo Jardim Goalkeeper
5.81
30
Robert Renan
Robert Renan Defender
6.42
46
Carlos Cuesta
Carlos Cuesta Defender
5.69
66
Cuiabano
Cuiabano Defender
6.05
82
Riquelme Avellar
Riquelme Avellar
Defender58'
6.68
96
Paulo Henrique
Paulo Henrique Defender
6.22
3
Tchê Tchê
Tchê Tchê Midfielder
6.26
5
Santiago Sosa
Santiago Sosa Midfielder
6.56
11
Andrés Gómez
Andrés Gómez Midfielder
6.27
18
Marino Hinestroza
Marino Hinestroza
Attacker72'
6.58
23
Thiago Mendes
Thiago Mendes (C) Midfielder
6.51
83
Ramon Rique Santos de Souza Barros
Ramon Rique Santos de Souza Barros
Midfielder58'
6.63
28
Adson
Adson Midfielder
6.84
17
Nuno Moreira
Nuno Moreira
Midfielder65'
6.51
7
David
David Attacker
6.55
9
Facundo Colidio
Facundo Colidio
Attacker65'
7.34

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Facundo Colidio
Header / 4th Goal
Event
José Manuel López
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
89'
Event
Khellven  → Agustín Giay
10th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Robert Renan
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Marino Hinestroza → Andrés Gómez
9th Substitution
Event
Felipe Anderson → Allan
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Jhon Arias → Vitor Roque
7th Substitution
71'
Event
Emiliano Martínez → Marlon Freitas
8th Substitution
71'
65'
Event
Facundo Colidio → David
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Nuno Moreira → Adson
5th Substitution
58'
Event
Riquelme Avellar → Cuiabano
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Ramon Rique Santos de Souza Barros → Thiago Mendes 
3rd Substitution
Event
Mauricio
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
56'
Event
Vitor Roque
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
51'
50'
Event
Thiago Mendes 
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
José Manuel López
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
47'
Event
Murilo → Alexander Barboza
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Andrés Gómez
Persistent fouling / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Marlon Freitas
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
9'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 4-1.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Facundo Colidio Head Shot Goal
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Facundo Colidio scores, making it 4-1.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Jose Manuel Lopez scores with a left-footed shot.
87
Attempt Attempt
Riquelme Avellar takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
83
Update Update
Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira is on, and Agustin Giay is off.
83
Attempt Attempt
Riquelme Avellar takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Riquelme Avellar takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Robert Renan receives a yellow card.
79
Attempt Attempt
Jose Manuel Lopez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
79
Attempt Attempt
Facundo Colidio takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Nuno Moreira's right-footed shot is saved.
71
Update Update
Emiliano Martinez comes on, replacing Marlon Rodrigues de Freitas.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Jhon Arias comes on for Allan.
71
Update Update
Emiliano Martinez comes on for Marlon Rodrigues de Freitas.
71
Update Update
Jhon Arias comes on for Allan.
71
Update Update
On Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes, off Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-0.
70
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Magalhaes Prado takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
69
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Magalhaes Prado takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
67
Attempt Attempt
Facundo Colidio attempts a header but misses the shot.
67
Attempt Attempt
Santiago Sosa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Facundo Colidio attempts a header but misses the shot.
65
Update Update
Facundo Colidio comes on for David Correa da Fonseca.
65
Update Update
Nuno Moreira comes on for Adson Ferreira Soares.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Update Update
On comes Ramon Rique, and off goes Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro.
58
Update Update
On Riquelme Avellar, off Cuiabano.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mauricio Magalhaes Prado scores with a right-footed shot.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mauricio Magalhaes Prado scores, making it 3-0.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira scores a penalty, making it 2-0.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro.
49
Attempt Attempt
Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira attempts a header, but the shot is blocked.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Jose Manuel Lopez scores with a left-footed shot.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
46
Update Update
Murilo Cerqueira Paim comes on for Alexander Nahuel Barboza Ullua.
45
Update Update
Offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Allan takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Attempt Attempt
Allan takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 0-0.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Attempt Attempt
Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
29
Attempt Attempt
Danilo das Neves Pinheiro Tche Tche takes a right-footed shot but misses.
29
Attempt Attempt
Agustin Giay attempts a right-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Magalhaes Prado attempts a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Danilo das Neves Pinheiro Tche Tche takes a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Update Update
Offside.
9
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Marlon Rodrigues de Freitas.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Braulio da Silva Machado.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion the 4-1 scoreline reflected Palmeiras superior second half performance despite close xG values. The absence of red cards ensured a fair contest without distortions. Efficiency remained in line with expectations and the outcome aligned consistently with pre match projections. This victory reinforces Palmeiras position while Vasco da Gama will need to address defensive vulnerabilities exposed in the latter stages. The significant deviation by the winners points to their capacity for explosive periods of play. Fans witnessed a game that shifted dramatically after the interval culminating in a comprehensive win for the home side. Further analysis may reveal key tactical decisions that influenced the result positively for Palmeiras.