Chapecoense vs São Paulo preview
2026 Serie A, Brazil
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Chapecoense hosted São Paulo in a match that ended with a 1-0 victory for the home side after leading 1-0 at halftime. Despite recording just 23 percent possession and an expected goals figure of 0.89 against São Paulo's 2.57, Chapecoense held firm to claim the points. The stronger side on paper dominated territory and created more opportunities but could not convert their superiority into a goal. No red cards were shown and the game remained eleven versus eleven throughout both halves. The single goal arrived before the interval and proved enough to secure the result in a low-scoring encounter. This outcome underscored how clinical finishing can outweigh overall control on the day.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Chapecoense 1-0 São Paulo. Chapecoense showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall match dynamics.
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xG alignment: The final result did not align with the xG values as the home side prevailed.
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Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with pre-match expectations.
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xG expectations: São Paulo generated substantially higher expected goals but failed to score.
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Event impact: The early goal proved decisive in determining the match winner.
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Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from disciplinary actions occurred.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
47.67
62.8
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Chapecoense
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Chapecoense
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Chapecoense
São Paulo
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SAO had peak pressure around 84'.
- SAO started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-08-23T19:30:22+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
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Kickoff: Sun, 30 Aug - 9:30 PM
Venue: Arena do Grêmio
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Bragantino
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sat, 29 Aug - 11:00 PM
Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼


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Match Commentary