Chapecoense vs São Paulo preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena Condá
Serie A
Full Time
Round 24 Regular Season
|

CONTEXT

Chapecoense hosted São Paulo in a match that ended with a 1-0 victory for the home side after leading 1-0 at halftime. Despite recording just 23 percent possession and an expected goals figure of 0.89 against São Paulo's 2.57, Chapecoense held firm to claim the points. The stronger side on paper dominated territory and created more opportunities but could not convert their superiority into a goal. No red cards were shown and the game remained eleven versus eleven throughout both halves. The single goal arrived before the interval and proved enough to secure the result in a low-scoring encounter. This outcome underscored how clinical finishing can outweigh overall control on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Chapecoense 1-0 São Paulo. Chapecoense showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: The final result did not align with the xG values as the home side prevailed.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with pre-match expectations.
  • xG expectations: São Paulo generated substantially higher expected goals but failed to score.
  • Event impact: The early goal proved decisive in determining the match winner.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion from disciplinary actions occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Klein
R. Klein
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. da Silva Alves
R. da Silva Alves
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Stanislau
M. Stanislau
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Mota Correia
B. Mota Correia
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
0.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bahia Rank: 63 D
Coritiba Rank: 60 L
Vasco da Gama Rank: 61 D
Santos Rank: 64 D
Flamengo Rank: 76 L
Bahia Rank: 62 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Coritiba Rank: 59 D
Grêmio Rank: 63 L
Santos Rank: 64 D
Flamengo Rank: 76 D
Athletico PR Rank: 65 L
Remo Rank: 57 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.67
62.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Power Score
47.67
62.8
League Position
20
13
Global Rank
798
461

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Chapecoense Opponent-weighted form score
São Paulo Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Chapecoense São Paulo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Chapecoense

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

São Paulo

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Chapecoense
vs
São Paulo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Chapecoense São Paulo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
20%
36%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.18 vs -0.92
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Chapecoense São Paulo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
36%
20%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.92 vs -0.18
Chapecoense
São Paulo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Chapecoense
vs
São Paulo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Chapecoense São Paulo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Chapecoense São Paulo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SAO had peak pressure around 84'.
  • SAO started the game with stronger pressure.
ACF Pressure SAO Pressure
Pressure Index: SAO reached the top pressure at 84' (91.08).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Chapecoense ACF Home
1 matches
São Paulo SAO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T19:30:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Condá
Capacity
21000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Rafael da Silva Alves
Michael Stanislau
Bruno Mota Correia

Statistics

Possession
ACF
30%
SAO
70%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 2
2 Shots 10
25 Dangerous attacks 89
23 Possession 77
7 Corners 3
7 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

13 Goal Kicks 6
5 Substitutions 5
16 Throwins 34
0 Hit Woodwork 1
14 Successful Headers 17
6 Dribble Attempts 13
5 Successful Dribbles 8
83 Successful Dribbles Percentage 62

Attacking

66 Attacks 181
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

61 Long Passes 42
235 Passes 788
167 Successful Passes 706
71 Successful Passes Percentage 90
12 Key Passes 16
25 Successful Long Passes 28
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 67

Defensive

4 Saves 3
15 Tackles 7
12 Interceptions 5
41 Duels Won 48

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 36
5 Accurate Crosses 9

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI

98
Anderson
Anderson Goalkeeper
6.83
3
Doma
Doma Defender
6.69
5
Heitor
Heitor Defender
5.91
26
Everton
Everton
Defender65'
6.47
21
Kauan Faria
Kauan Faria Defender
6.39
91
Bruno Pacheco
Bruno Pacheco Defender
6.64
10
Giovanni Augusto
Giovanni Augusto Midfielder
6.99
16
Bruno Matias
Bruno Matias
Midfielder74'
6.44
27
Camilo
Camilo Midfielder
6.86
88
Yago Felipe
Yago Felipe Midfielder
6.81
12
Fernando
Fernando
Defender74'
6.76
7
Marcinho
Marcinho Attacker
6.69
9
Tulio Eduardo
Tulio Eduardo Attacker
7.17
29
Franco Rossi
Franco Rossi
Attacker74'
6.49
77
Dylan Borrero
Dylan Borrero Attacker
31
Maurício Garcez
Maurício Garcez
Attacker58'
Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI

23
Rafael
Rafael Goalkeeper
6.74
12
Iago
Iago Defender
6.47
19
Lucas Ramon
Lucas Ramon Defender
6.81
28
Newton
Newton
Midfielder65'
6.63
22
Domingos Duarte
Domingos Duarte Defender
7.37
35
Sabino
Sabino Defender
6.96
29
Pablo Maia
Pablo Maia Midfielder
6.77
11
Ferreirinha
Ferreirinha
Attacker66'
6.95
37
Artur
Artur Midfielder
6.92
80
Cauly
Cauly Midfielder
6.82
46
Pedro Ferreira
Pedro Ferreira
Midfielder76'
94
Danielzinho
Danielzinho Midfielder
6.96
8
Marcos Antônio
Marcos Antônio
Midfielder46'
7.01
9
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri Attacker
6.86
43
Gustavo Santana
Gustavo Santana
Attacker31'
10
Luciano
Luciano Attacker
7.04

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
88'
76'
Event
Pedro Ferreira Cauly
10th Substitution
Event
Fernando Yago Felipe
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Bruno Matias  Giovanni Augusto
8th Substitution
74'
Event
Franco Rossi Tulio Eduardo
9th Substitution
74'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
74'
72'
Event
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
66'
Event
Ferreirinha Pablo Maia
6th Substitution
Event
Everton Heitor
4th Substitution
65'
65'
Event
Newton  Lucas Ramon
5th Substitution
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
62'
Event
Maurício Garcez  Dylan Borrero
3rd Substitution
58'
46'
Event
Marcos Antônio Danielzinho
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
31'
Event
Gustavo Santana Jonathan Calleri 
1st Substitution
Event
Header / 1st Goal
26'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Franco Rossi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Camilo receives a yellow card.
83
Attempt Attempt
Newton takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
78
Attempt Attempt
Luciano da Rocha Neves takes a header shot but misses.
77
Attempt Attempt
Artur Victor Guimaraes takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
76
Update Update
Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira is on, and Cauly Oliveira Souza is off.
74
Substitution Substitution
Fernando Bueno is substituted off for Yago Felipe da Costa Rocha.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yago Felipe da Costa Rocha receives a yellow card.
74
Update Update
Bruno Matias dos Santos comes on for Giovanni Augusto Oliveira Cardoso.
74
Update Update
Franco Rossi is on, and Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira is off.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Luciano da Rocha Neves.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Anderson Silva Da Paixao.
71
Attempt Attempt
Artur Victor Guimaraes takes a left-footed shot but misses.
70
Attempt Attempt
Iago Amaral Borduchi takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
68
Attempt Attempt
Cauly Oliveira Souza takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Update Update
Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira is on, and Pablo Maia is off.
65
Update Update
On comes Newton, off goes Lucas Ramon Batista Silva.
65
Update Update
On for Everton, off goes Heitor Rodrigues da Fonseca.
64
Attempt Attempt
Luciano da Rocha Neves takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
62
Attempt Attempt
Heitor Rodrigues da Fonseca takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcinho receives a yellow card.
61
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Santana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Santana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
58
Update Update
Mauricio Garcez de Jesus comes on for Dylan Felipe Borrero Caicedo.
57
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Santana takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Jose Sabino Chagas Monteiro takes a header, but the shot is blocked.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Update Update
Offside.
50
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Maia takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kauan Head Shot Saved
46
Update Update
Marcos Antonio Silva San is on, and Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Domingos Duarte takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Luciano da Rocha Neves takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Maia takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Cauly Oliveira Souza takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Update Update
Offside.
31
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Gustavo Santana comes on for Jonathan Calleri.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Bruno de Jesus Pacheco Head Shot Goal
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bruno de Jesus Pacheco scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Giovanni Augusto Oliveira Cardoso.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Attempt Attempt
Cauly Oliveira Souza takes a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Kauan takes a shot, but it's blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Yago Felipe da Costa Rocha takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Attempt Attempt
Heitor Rodrigues da Fonseca takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
16
Update Update
Gustavo Santana comes on for Jonathan Calleri.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Rafael Rodrigo Klein.

CONCLUSION

Chapecoense produced a resilient display to edge São Paulo 1-0 despite limited possession and lower expected goals. The home side struck once before halftime and defended their lead effectively against sustained pressure. São Paulo enjoyed the majority of the ball yet lacked the finishing touch required to change the scoreline. The result stands as a clear example of how one moment of quality can outweigh territorial dominance. Both teams completed the fixture without any dismissals and the match flowed without major disruptions. Chapecoense will take confidence from this narrow success while São Paulo must reflect on missed opportunities in front of goal.