Santos vs Mirassol preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Serie A
SantosSTS
1 – 1
MirassolMIR
Full Time
Round 24 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Eduardo  - 36'
|
Red Card Wallisson 73'

CONTEXT

Santos hosted Mirassol and the match finished 1-1. The visitors led 0-1 at halftime after an early goal. Santos controlled 64 percent of possession and created 2.08 expected goals while Mirassol registered just 0.29 expected goals. Despite the statistical dominance from the stronger side, the home team could not convert their chances into a win. A red card issued to Mirassol altered the second half flow and contributed to the final outcome. The draw occurred even though Santos generated the majority of opportunities throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Santos recorded a significant deviation as the stronger team in a 1-1 draw.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: The final result was not consistent with the expected goals.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Santos produced 2.08 xG against Mirassol's 0.29 xG.
  • Event impact: A red card to the away team shaped the second half.
  • Red card distortion: The red card introduced distortion through second half adjustments.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Alves Batista
E. Alves Batista
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Back
N. Back
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Bevilaqua Costa
F. Bevilaqua Costa
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Pfleger
J. Pfleger
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Santos A. Stival
A. Stival
VS
Mirassol R. Silva Guanaes
R. Silva Guanaes
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vasco da Gama Rank: 62 W
Athletico PR Rank: 65 L
São Paulo Rank: 63 D
Chapecoense Rank: 52 D
Botafogo Rank: 65 L
Vitória Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Flamengo Rank: 75 L
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 L
Remo Rank: 57 W
Vasco da Gama Rank: 61 D
Grêmio Rank: 62 W
Athletico PR Rank: 65 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.25
63.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Santos
Mirassol
Power Score
64.25
63.01
League Position
14
17
Global Rank
406
452

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Santos — Opponent-weighted form score
Mirassol — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Santos Mirassol

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Santos

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Mirassol

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Santos
vs
Mirassol
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Santos Mirassol
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
60%
20%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-1.24 vs -0.06
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Santos Mirassol
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
20%
60%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.06 vs -1.24
Santos
Mirassol
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Santos
vs
Mirassol
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Santos Mirassol
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Santos 0.00
Mirassol 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Santos Mirassol
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Santos 0.00
Mirassol 0.00
Santos
Mirassol
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • STS had peak pressure around 100'.
  • STS started the game with stronger pressure.
STS Pressure MIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: STS reached the top pressure at 100' (71.08).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Santos STS Home
3 matches
Mirassol MIR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
3
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T19:30:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Capacity
16798
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Edina Alves Batista
Neuza Ines Back
Fabrini Bevilaqua Costa
Julio Cesar Pfleger

Statistics

Possession
STS
61%
MIR
39%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
7 Shots 2
63 Dangerous attacks 16
64 Possession 36
10 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Goal Kicks 10
5 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 24
4 Successful Headers 14
1 Assists 0
14 Dribble Attempts 31
7 Successful Dribbles 16
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52

Attacking

161 Attacks 78
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

34 Long Passes 60
576 Passes 332
499 Successful Passes 246
87 Successful Passes Percentage 74
12 Key Passes 4
17 Successful Long Passes 20
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

Defensive

2 Saves 6
26 Tackles 17
24 Interceptions 18
51 Duels Won 56

Build-up

28 Total Crosses 4
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

9 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Edina Alves Batista

Starting XI ▼

77
Gabriel Brazão
Gabriel Brazão Goalkeeper
6.71
14
Luan Peres
Luan Peres Defender
6.67
15
Willian Arão
Willian Arão Defender
6.83
18
Igor Vinícius
Igor Vinícius Defender
6.69
27
Davi Costa Vidinho
Davi Costa Vidinho
Attacker82'
31
Gonzalo Escobar
Gonzalo Escobar Defender
6.83
5
João Schmidt
João Schmidt Midfielder
6.82
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
Benjamín Rollheiser
Attacker61'
6.9
10
Neymar
Neymar Midfielder
7.47
11
Rony
Rony Midfielder
6.72
8
Gabriel Bontempo
Gabriel Bontempo
Midfielder46'
22
Álvaro Barreal
Álvaro Barreal Midfielder
6.91
16
Thaciano
Thaciano
Midfielder74'
6.74
48
Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique Midfielder
6.63
9
Gabriel Barbosa
Gabriel Barbosa Attacker
7.02
17
Gustavo Caballero
Gustavo Caballero
Attacker82'
6.78
Referee : Edina Alves Batista

Starting XI ▼

22
Walter
Walter Goalkeeper
6.74
3
Willian Machado
Willian Machado Defender
7.05
6
Reinaldo
Reinaldo Defender
6.91
32
Igor Formiga
Igor Formiga Defender
6.96
34
João Victor
João Victor Defender
6.94
25
Neto Moura
Neto Moura Midfielder
6.8
33
Eduardo
Eduardo Midfielder
6.63
5
Japa
Japa
Midfielder61'
6.44
44
Gabriel
Gabriel Midfielder
6.86
2
Lucas Oliveira
Lucas Oliveira
Defender28'
6.7
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
Gustavo Cazonatti Midfielder
6.78
80
Wallisson
Wallisson
Midfielder61'
6.55
77
Alesson
Alesson Midfielder
6.8
17
Fernandinho
Fernandinho
Attacker78'
6.62
30
Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos Attacker
6.68
96
Carlos Eduardo
Carlos Eduardo
Attacker78'
6.65

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Neymar 
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Gustavo Caballero → Gabriel Barbosa
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Davi Costa Vidinho → Igor Vinícius
10th Substitution
82'
78'
Event
Carlos Eduardo → Bruno Santos
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Fernandinho → Alesson
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Igor Formiga
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Thaciano → Álvaro Barreal
6th Substitution
74'
73'
Event
Wallisson
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
70'
Event
Wallisson
Card adjusted
Event
Álvaro Barreal
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
68'
Event
Benjamín Rollheiser → João Schmidt
5th Substitution
61'
61'
Event
Japa → Eduardo 
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Wallisson → Gustavo Cazonatti
4th Substitution
Event
Gabriel Bontempo → Rony
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
36'
Event
Eduardo 
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
28'
Event
Lucas Oliveira → Gabriel
1st Substitution
24'
Event
Neto Moura
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
24'
Event
Orlando Neto
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
22'
Event
Gabriel
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
João Schmidt
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
20'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Neymar da Silva Santos Junior takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Willian Souza Arao da Silva takes a header, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Thaciano Mickael da Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Rollheiser takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Neymar da Silva Santos Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Neymar da Silva Santos Junior.
87
Attempt Attempt
Neymar da Silva Santos Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Update Update
Gustavo Caballero replaces Gabriel Barbosa.
82
Update Update
On comes Davizinho, and off goes Igor Vinicius de Souza.
82
Attempt Attempt
Luan Peres Petroni takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Eduardo Ferreira de Souza takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Fernando José Marques Maciel comes on for Alesson Dos Santos Batista.
78
Update Update
Carlos Eduardo Ferreira de Souza is on, and Bruno Santos is off.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Igor Marques.
74
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Barbosa takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
74
Update Update
Thaciano Mickael da Silva is on, and Alvaro Barreal is off.
73
Update Update
VAR decision results in a change of card for Wallisson Luiz.
70
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued to Wallisson Luiz.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Wallisson Luiz.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Wallisson Luiz.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Alvaro Barreal scores with a left-footed shot.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alvaro Barreal scores to make it 1-1.
65
Attempt Attempt
Neymar da Silva Santos Junior takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Update Update
Joao Wellington Gadelha Melo de Oliveira comes on for Carlos Eduardo De Oliveira Alves.
61
Update Update
Wallisson Luiz comes on for Gustavo Cazonatti.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Benjamin Rollheiser comes on for Joao Schmidt Urbano.
58
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Barreal's left-footed shot is blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Neymar da Silva Santos Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
55
Attempt Attempt
Joao Schmidt Urbano takes a left-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Barreal takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Gabriel Bontempo replaces Ronielson da Silva Barbosa.
45
Update Update
Willian Souza Arao da Silva's header is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Neymar da Silva Santos Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Lucas da Cruz Oliveira is saved.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Carlos Eduardo De Oliveira Alves scores with a left-footed shot.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Carlos Eduardo De Oliveira Alves scores to make it 0-1.
36
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Francisco Moura Neto takes a right-footed shot but misses.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Barbosa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
29
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Barreal takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
28
Substitution Substitution
Lucas da Cruz Oliveira is substituted off for Gabriel Knesowitsch.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Antonio Francisco Moura Neto.
23
Attempt Attempt
Neymar da Silva Santos Junior takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Gabriel Knesowitsch.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Antonio Francisco Moura Neto.
4
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Gabriel Knesowitsch.
4
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Edina Batista.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Santos 1-1 Mirassol. Structural assessment: Santos exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.