Biggleswade Town vs Tilbury preview

England flag 2026/2027 FA Cup, England
The Carlsberg Stadium
FA Cup
Full Time
Preliminary Round

CONTEXT

Biggleswade Town defeated Tilbury 1-0 in a match that stayed level at 0-0 through halftime. The home side secured the win with a single goal after the break while both teams maintained full squads with zero red cards issued. No possession or expected goals figures were recorded yet the result matched the pre-match view of Biggleswade Town as the stronger side. A significant structural deviation of 100 percent was noted for the home team. Efficiency remained in line with available indicators and the outcome showed market alignment. The absence of xG metrics limited deeper performance comparisons but the final score reflected the recorded winner without distortion from disciplinary events.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Biggleswade Town recorded a significant 100 percent deviation in the match outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations for the fixture.
  • xG alignment: No xG data existed to evaluate alignment with the 1-0 score.
  • Market alignment: The result proved aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals values were unavailable for both teams.
  • Event impact: The second-half goal produced the final 1-0 outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards occurred and created no match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Biggleswade Town Biggleswade Town
Biggleswade Town
VS
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wormley Rovers Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Biggleswade Town
Tilbury
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Biggleswade Town Opponent-weighted form score
Tilbury Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Biggleswade Town Tilbury

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Biggleswade Town

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Tilbury

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Biggleswade Town ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Tilbury
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Biggleswade Town Tilbury
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Biggleswade Town Tilbury
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Biggleswade Town
Tilbury
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Biggleswade Town
vs
Tilbury
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Biggleswade Town Tilbury
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Biggleswade Town Tilbury
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Biggleswade Town
Tilbury
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 FA Cup, England · Preliminary Round
Stadium
The Carlsberg Stadium
Capacity
3000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

Jack Berman
Jack Berman Goalkeeper
Will Fisher
Will Fisher Goalkeeper
Benjamin Gamage
Benjamin Gamage Goalkeeper
Yoav Sade
Yoav Sade Defender
Callum Wilson
Callum Wilson Defender
Liam Andrews
Liam Andrews Defender
Charlie Briggs
Charlie Briggs Defender
Barsa Mirtahmasebi
Barsa Mirtahmasebi Defender
Joshua Steele
Joshua Steele Defender
Louis-Michel Yamfam
Louis-Michel Yamfam Midfielder
Liam McDevitt
Liam McDevitt Midfielder
Marcus Gouldbourne
Marcus Gouldbourne Midfielder
Marcus Warren
Marcus Warren Midfielder
Nagheeb Ibrahim
Nagheeb Ibrahim Midfielder
Luke Pyman
Luke Pyman Midfielder
Lucas Georgiou
Lucas Georgiou Midfielder

Squad

Connor Wheatley
Connor Wheatley Goalkeeper
Jamie Reynolds
Jamie Reynolds Defender
Luke Reeve
Luke Reeve Defender
Sam Carter
Sam Carter Midfielder
Tyler Forbes
Tyler Forbes Attacker
Jake Forbes
Jake Forbes Attacker

CONCLUSION

The 1-0 victory for Biggleswade Town over Tilbury followed a scoreless first half and unfolded without red cards or advanced metrics. The home side delivered the decisive goal after the interval while the stronger team designation held true. Significant deviation was isolated to the home performance yet efficiency aligned with indicators and market alignment was confirmed. Limited data prevented xG based conclusions but the recorded result stood without disciplinary influence. Overall the match produced a straightforward outcome consistent with the designated winner and the absence of halftime lead changes.