Südtirol vs Virtus Entella preview

Italy flag 2026/2027 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Marco Druso
Serie B
SüdtirolSUD
1 0
Virtus EntellaENT
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season
Simone Davi - 90'
Goal
|
Giacomo Stabile 44' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Südtirol hosted Virtus Entella in a match that concluded with a 1-0 home victory. The game remained level at 0-0 through halftime. Südtirol held 48 percent possession while Virtus Entella controlled 52 percent. A red card was issued to the home side during the contest. Despite the numerical disadvantage Südtirol secured the winning goal. The stronger team according to pre-match assessment delivered the result. The outcome reflected a significant deviation involving the home side. Second half adjustments centered on the red card effect. Possession balance did not translate into an away equalizer. The final score stood at 1-0 after full time.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Südtirol exhibited significant structural deviation in achieving the 1-0 result.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with observed team performance.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be evaluated due to missing expected goals figures.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed undetermined without available data inputs.
  • Event impact: The decisive goal occurred after halftime in the 1-0 contest.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion influenced Südtirol after the interval in the second half.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Ferrieri Caputi
M. Ferrieri Caputi
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
G. Mokhtar
G. Mokhtar
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Biffi
S. Biffi
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Zanotti
A. Zanotti
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Südtirol D. Possanzini
D. Possanzini
VS
Virtus Entella A. Chiappella
A. Chiappella
0.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.42
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bari 1908 Rank: 54 D
Bari 1908 Rank: 54 D
Juve Stabia Rank: 59 D
Sampdoria Rank: 55 L
Mantova Rank: 59 L
Spezia Rank: 55 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Carrarese Rank: 55 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 54 L
Calcio Padova Rank: 54 W
Empoli Rank: 59 D
Venezia Rank: 76 D
Mantova Rank: 59 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.09
51.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Südtirol
Virtus Entella
Power Score
55.09
51.63
League Position
6
18
Global Rank
687
806

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Südtirol — Opponent-weighted form score
Virtus Entella — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Südtirol Virtus Entella

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Südtirol

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Virtus Entella

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Südtirol ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Virtus Entella
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
18.13
35.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.00
18.13
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Südtirol -1.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Virtus Entella +1.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Südtirol
Virtus Entella
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Südtirol ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Virtus Entella
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Südtirol Virtus Entella
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Südtirol Virtus Entella
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Südtirol
Virtus Entella
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Südtirol
vs
Virtus Entella
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Südtirol Virtus Entella
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Südtirol 0.57
Virtus Entella 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Südtirol Virtus Entella
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Südtirol 0.00
Virtus Entella 0.07
Südtirol
Virtus Entella
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ENT had peak pressure around 90'.
  • ENT started the game with stronger pressure.
SUD Pressure ENT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ENT reached the top pressure at 90' (81.02).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Südtirol SUD Home
2 matches
Virtus Entella ENT Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T00:46:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Serie B, Italy · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Marco Druso
Capacity
5539
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi
Gamal Mokhtar
Simone Biffi
Andrea Zanotti

Statistics

Possession
SUD
48%
ENT
52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 10
14 Dangerous attacks 64
48 Possession 52
1 Corners 5
18 Free kicks 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

76 Ball Safe 58
12 Goal Kicks 3
4 Goal Attempts 10
4 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 22
1 Injuries 0
15 Dribble Attempts 9
7 Successful Dribbles 3
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

63 Attacks 109
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

62 Long Passes 37
397 Passes 403
323 Successful Passes 328
81 Successful Passes Percentage 81
5 Key Passes 12
26 Successful Long Passes 15
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

3 Saves 1
10 Tackles 16
5 Interceptions 7
39 Duels Won 50

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 36
2 Accurate Crosses 12

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi

Starting XI ▼

22
Alessandro Plizzari
Alessandro Plizzari Goalkeeper
7.4
4
Riccardo Stivanello
Riccardo Stivanello Defender
6.69
20
Bjarki Bjarkason
Bjarki Bjarkason Defender
6.95
24
Simone Davi
Simone Davi
Defender83'
7.3
27
Giacomo Stabile
Giacomo Stabile Defender
5.58
55
Andrea Giorgini
Andrea Giorgini Defender
6.94
79
Salvatore Molina
Salvatore Molina (C) Defender
6.95
5
Simone Tronchin
Simone Tronchin Midfielder
6.82
8
Niklas Pyyhtiä
Niklas Pyyhtiä Midfielder
6.73
3
Davide Veroli
Davide Veroli
Defender46'
6.95
11
Vasco Lopes
Vasco Lopes Midfielder
6.25
9
Rareș Burnete
Rareș Burnete
Attacker57'
6.04
14
Aljosa Vasic
Aljosa Vasic Midfielder
6.28
10
Fabio Rispoli
Fabio Rispoli
Midfielder46'
6.74
33
Silvio Merkaj
Silvio Merkaj Attacker
6.93
Referee : Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi

Starting XI ▼

22
Federico Del Frate
Federico Del Frate Goalkeeper
6.43
3
Nicolas Previtali
Nicolas Previtali Defender
6.91
6
Andrea Tiritiello
Andrea Tiritiello Defender
6.88
23
Luca Parodi
Luca Parodi (C) Defender
7.03
15
Ivan Marconi
Ivan Marconi
Defender87'
26
Stefano Di Mario
Stefano Di Mario Defender
7.1
27
Mattia Alborghetti
Mattia Alborghetti Defender
7.52
5
Niccolò Squizzato
Niccolò Squizzato Midfielder
7.01
55
Lucas Felippe
Lucas Felippe
Midfielder61'
6.8
11
Bernat Guiu
Bernat Guiu Midfielder
7.04
28
Mattia Valori
Mattia Valori
Midfielder88'
6.4
18
Tommaso Annoni
Tommaso Annoni Midfielder
6.56
17
Mattia Tirelli
Mattia Tirelli
Attacker77'
6.45
24
Andrea Franzoni
Andrea Franzoni Midfielder
6.74
32
Francesco Forte
Francesco Forte Attacker
6.66
9
Giacomo Corona
Giacomo Corona
Attacker77'
6.36

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Simone Davi
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
90'
Event
Simone Davi
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90'
88'
Event
Mattia Valori → Bernat Guiu
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Ivan Marconi → Luca Parodi 
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Bernat Guiu
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Simone Davi → Bjarki Bjarkason
7th Substitution
83'
77'
Event
Giacomo Corona → Francesco Forte
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Mattia Tirelli → Tommaso Annoni
6th Substitution
Event
Silvio Merkaj
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
68'
61'
Event
Lucas Felippe → Niccolò Squizzato
4th Substitution
Event
Davide Possanzini
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
60'
Event
Rareș Burnete → Vasco Lopes
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Fabio Rispoli → Aljosa Vasic
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Davide Veroli → Niklas Pyyhtiä
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Giacomo Stabile
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
44'
Event
Aljosa Vasic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
30'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Stefano Di Mario takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Franzoni takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Simone Tronchin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Tiritiello takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Simone Davi.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Simone Davi receives a yellow card.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Simone Davi scores with a left-footed shot.
88
Attempt Attempt
Simone Davi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Simone Davi scores to make it 1-0.
87
Update Update
Offside.
85
Update Update
Mattia Valori comes on for Bernat Guiu.
83
Update Update
Mattia Valori comes on for Bernat Guiu.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Ivan Marconi comes on for Luca Parodi.
80
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Franzoni takes a shot with his head but misses.
77
Update Update
Mattia Tirelli comes on for Tommaso Annoni.
77
Update Update
Giacomo Corona comes on for Francesco Forte.
76
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Franzoni takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
70
Attempt Attempt
Martin Previtali takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Silvio Merkaj.
67
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Franzoni takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
65
Attempt Attempt
Rares Burnete takes a left-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Rares Burnete takes a left-footed shot but misses.
61
Update Update
Lucas Felippe replaces Niccolo Squizzato.
60
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Franzoni attempted a header but missed the shot.
58
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Tiritiello attempts a header but misses the shot.
57
Update Update
Lucas Felippe replaces Niccolo Squizzato.
56
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Franzoni takes a shot with his head but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Tiritiello attempts a header but misses the shot.
46
Update Update
Davide Veroli comes on for Niklas Pyyhtia.
46
Update Update
Fabio Rispoli comes on for Aljosa Vasic.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 0-0.
44
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card for Giacomo Stabile.
43
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Giacomo Stabile.
43
Update Update
Offside.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Attempt Attempt
Mattia Alborghetti takes a shot with his head, but it is saved.
16
Update Update
Offside.
14
Attempt Attempt
Niccolo Squizzato takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Niccolo Squizzato takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bernat Guiu Head Shot Missed
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi.

CONCLUSION

Südtirol claimed a narrow 1-0 win over Virtus Entella despite receiving a red card. The match stayed scoreless at halftime before the home side found the winner. Possession favored the visitors yet produced no goals. The significant deviation by the stronger team shaped the outcome. Efficiency stayed consistent with overall play patterns. Event impact from the red card altered second half flow without preventing the result. Red card distortion tested home resilience but did not derail the victory. The aligned market outcome confirmed the expected winner prevailed under constrained conditions. Südtirol advanced their standing through disciplined execution after the numerical setback.