Parma vs Cagliari preview

Italy flag 2026/2027 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A
ParmaPRM
0 1
CagliariCAG
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Parma hosted Cagliari in a match that remained scoreless at halftime with both sides unable to break the deadlock in the opening forty five minutes. The second half brought a change as the visitors from Cagliari found the net to claim a narrow 0-1 win. Parma managed 47 percent possession while Cagliari held 53 percent and generated higher expected goals at 1.24 compared to the home side's 0.88. The stronger team according to pre match assessment delivered the result in line with their xG superiority. No dismissals occurred during the ninety minutes allowing both teams to maintain their full squads. The performance highlighted Cagliari's ability to capitalize on limited opportunities effectively. This outcome demonstrated a clear alignment between the underlying metrics and the final scoreline.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Cagliari exhibited a significant structural deviation in their approach against Parma.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for the away side.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with the xG values of 0.88 for Parma and 1.24 for Cagliari.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Cagliari's xG advantage of 0.36 reflected their slight edge in the match.
  • Event impact: The second half goal proved decisive in securing the 0-1 victory for Cagliari.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown, resulting in no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Perenzoni
D. Perenzoni
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
V. Mastrodonato
V. Mastrodonato
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Politi
M. Politi
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Doveri
D. Doveri
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Parma C. Antón Cuesta
C. Antón Cuesta
VS
Cagliari F. Pisacane
F. Pisacane
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sassuolo Rank: 76 W
Como Rank: 85 L
Roma Rank: 85 L
Inter Rank: 92 L
Pisa Rank: 62 W
Udinese Rank: 77 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AC Milan Rank: 84 W
Torino Rank: 76 W
Udinese Rank: 77 L
Bologna Rank: 81 D
Atalanta Rank: 84 W
Inter Rank: 92 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.43
73.97
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Parma
Cagliari
Power Score
73.43
73.97
League Position
18
3
Global Rank
164
158

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Parma — Opponent-weighted form score
Cagliari — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Parma Cagliari

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Parma

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cagliari

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Parma ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cagliari
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.17
30.66
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.66
31.17
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Parma +0.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Cagliari -0.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Parma
Cagliari
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Parma
vs
Cagliari
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Parma Cagliari
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
62%
20%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.54 vs -0.24
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Parma Cagliari
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
20%
62%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.24 vs -0.54
Parma
Cagliari
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Parma
vs
Cagliari
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Parma Cagliari
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Parma 0.39
Cagliari 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Parma Cagliari
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Parma 0.02
Cagliari 0.00
Parma
Cagliari
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CAG had peak pressure around 70'.
  • PRM started the game with stronger pressure.
PRM Pressure CAG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CAG reached the top pressure at 70' (81.19).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Parma PRM Home
4 matches
Cagliari CAG Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
4
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T00:49:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Serie A, Italy · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Capacity
27906
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniele Perenzoni
Vito Mastrodonato
Mattia Politi
Daniele Doveri

Statistics

Possession
PRM
48%
CAG
52%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
10 Shots 6
33 Dangerous attacks 45
47 Possession 53
3 Corners 2
20 Free kicks 6
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

67 Ball Safe 70
5 Goal Kicks 12
12 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 15
0 Hit Woodwork 2
7 Successful Headers 12
0 Assists 1
0 Injuries 1
15 Dribble Attempts 22
9 Successful Dribbles 11
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

85 Attacks 95
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

41 Long Passes 27
443 Passes 496
372 Successful Passes 445
84 Successful Passes Percentage 90
10 Key Passes 12
16 Successful Long Passes 12
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

4 Saves 2
24 Tackles 12
6 Interceptions 14
60 Duels Won 40

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 16
4 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
6 Fouls 20

Lineup

Referee : Daniele Perenzoni

Starting XI ▼

40
Edoardo Corvi
Edoardo Corvi Goalkeeper
7.17
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abdoulaye Ndiaye Defender
6.45
14
Emanuele Valeri
Emanuele Valeri Defender
7.46
15
Enrico Delprato
Enrico Delprato (C) Defender
6.89
37
Mariano Troilo
Mariano Troilo Defender
6.99
8
Benja Cremaschi
Benja Cremaschi
Midfielder84'
6.54
10
Adrián Bernabé
Adrián Bernabé Midfielder
7.17
11
Pontus Almqvist
Pontus Almqvist
Attacker66'
6.45
32
Christian Ordóñez
Christian Ordóñez Midfielder
7.69
47
Abdou-Salam Konate
Abdou-Salam Konate Midfielder
7
23
Nesta Elphege
Nesta Elphege
Attacker85'
6.26
16
Mandela Keita
Mandela Keita Attacker
6.82
80
Rachid Kouda
Rachid Kouda
Midfielder75'
5.42
19
El Bilal Touré
El Bilal Touré Attacker
6.72
76
Simone Lontani
Simone Lontani Attacker
6.92
7
Ousmane Diallo
Ousmane Diallo
Attacker75'
6.47
Referee : Daniele Perenzoni

Starting XI ▼

1
Elia Caprile
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper
7.28
2
Zé Pedro
Zé Pedro Defender
6.17
28
Gabriele Zappa
Gabriele Zappa
Defender66'
6.58
14
Alessandro Deiola
Alessandro Deiola (C) Defender
7.05
15
Juan Rodríguez
Juan Rodríguez Defender
7.23
33
Adam Obert
Adam Obert Defender
7.23
24
Giuseppe Aurelio
Giuseppe Aurelio
Defender87'
4
Alessandro Romano
Alessandro Romano Midfielder
8.21
6
Harry Winks
Harry Winks Midfielder
6.93
8
Michel Adopo
Michel Adopo Midfielder
6.96
10
Jacopo Fazzini
Jacopo Fazzini Midfielder
6.81
17
Mattia Felici
Mattia Felici
Attacker66'
6.36
70
Daniel Maldini
Daniel Maldini Midfielder
6.93
18
Kingstone Mutandwa
Kingstone Mutandwa
Attacker87'
31
Paul Mendy
Paul Mendy Attacker
7.06
29
Gennaro Borrelli
Gennaro Borrelli
Attacker66'
6.77

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Giuseppe Aurelio → Adam Obert
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Kingstone Mutandwa → Daniel Maldini
10th Substitution
Event
Nesta Elphege → Abdou-Salam Konate
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Benja Cremaschi → Mariano Troilo
7th Substitution
84'
79'
Event
Alessandro Romano
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Ousmane Diallo → Simone Lontani
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Rachid Kouda → Mandela Keita
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Pontus Almqvist → Adrián Bernabé
1st Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Gennaro Borrelli → Paul Mendy
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Mattia Felici → Jacopo Fazzini
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Gabriele Zappa → Zé Pedro
4th Substitution
57'
Event
Jacopo Fazzini
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
10'
Event
Zé Pedro
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Nesta Elphege, but he misses with a header.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Enrico Del Prato takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Enrico Del Prato takes a header shot but misses.
87
Update Update
On Kingstone Mutandwa, off Daniel Maldini.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Giuseppe Aurelio comes on for Adam Obert.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Benjamin Cremaschi comes on for Mariano Troilo.
85
Update Update
Nesta Elphege replaces Abdou Konate.
84
Attempt Attempt
Emanuele Valeri takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Alessandro Romano scores with a left-footed shot.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Nesta Elphege, but he misses with a header.
76
Update Update
On for Kingstone Mutandwa, off goes Daniel Maldini.
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Nesta Elphege, but he misses with a header.
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Nesta Elphege with a header, but it misses the target.
73
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gennaro Borrelli Head Shot Missed
69
Attempt Attempt
Harry Winks takes a shot with his right foot, but it misses the target.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
Gennaro Borrelli comes on for Paul Mendy.
66
Update Update
Mattia Felici comes on for Jacopo Fazzini.
66
Update Update
Gabriele Zappa is on, and Pedro Figueiredo is off.
66
Attempt Attempt
Harry Winks takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Harry Winks takes a right-footed shot but misses.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Attempt Attempt
Harry Winks takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Attempt Attempt
Jacopo Fazzini takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Simone Lontani takes a left-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Emanuele Valeri's left-footed shot is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Paul Mendy attempted a header but missed the shot.
44
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 0-0.
42
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Bernabe Garcia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Figueiredo attempted a header but missed the shot.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Attempt Attempt
Paul Mendy's right-footed shot is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Christian Ordonez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Paul Mendy takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
20
Attempt Attempt
Abdou Konate takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Maldini takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Pedro Figueiredo.
7
Attempt Attempt
Abdoulaye Ndiaye attempts a header but misses the shot.
7
Attempt Attempt
Abdoulaye Ndiaye takes a header but misses the shot.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Daniele Perenzoni.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Parma 0-1 Cagliari. Structural assessment: Cagliari exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.