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Inter Miami vs Toronto preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Chase Stadium
Major League Soccer
0 0
2ND HALF 45
Live : 2nd Half
Regular Season

Events

1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Facundo Mura Gonzalo Luján
1st Substitution
26'

Match Commentary

45
Attempt Attempt
Lionel Andres Messi takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
44
Update Update
Offside.
43
Attempt Attempt
Joshua Sargent's right-footed shot is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Salloi takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
36
Attempt Attempt
German Berterame takes a left-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Henrique Casimiro's header is saved.
26
Update Update
Facundo Mura replaces Gonzalo Lujan Melli.
22
Update Update
Offside.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
German Berterame takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Update Update
Offside.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Ismail Elfath.

Statistics

Possession
MIA
53%
TOR
47%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0
2 Shots 1
9 Dangerous attacks 26
59 Possession 41
1 Corners 2
4 Free kicks 6
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Goal Kicks 5
1 Substitutions 0
9 Throwins 7
1 Successful Headers 2
1 Dribble Attempts 5
0 Successful Dribbles 4
0 Successful Dribbles Percentage 80

Attacking

52 Attacks 44
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

22 Long Passes 26
304 Passes 207
277 Successful Passes 176
91 Successful Passes Percentage 85
4 Key Passes 3
15 Successful Long Passes 14
68 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54

Defensive

0 Saves 1
6 Tackles 4
2 Interceptions 4
11 Duels Won 19

Build-up

3 Total Crosses 13
1 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
6 Fouls 4

Lineup

Referee : Ismail Elfath

Starting XI

97
Dayne St. Clair
Dayne St. Clair Goalkeeper
6.77
2
Gonzalo Luján
Gonzalo Luján Defender
6.64
4
Facundo Mura
Facundo Mura
Defender26'
6.57
3
Sergio Reguilón
Sergio Reguilón Defender
6.54
17
Ian Fray
Ian Fray Defender
6.65
37
Maximiliano Falcón
6.58
5
Casemiro
Casemiro Midfielder
6.67
7
Rodrigo De Paul
Rodrigo De Paul Midfielder
7.58
8
Telasco Segovia
Telasco Segovia Midfielder
6.96
10
Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi Midfielder
8.09
9
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez Attacker
7.42
19
Germán Berterame
Germán Berterame Attacker
Referee : Ismail Elfath

Starting XI

1
Luka Gavran
Luka Gavran Goalkeeper
6.78
12
Zane Monlouis
Zane Monlouis Defender
6.56
13
Benjamín Kuscevic
Benjamín Kuscevic Defender
6.76
22
Richie Laryea
Richie Laryea Defender
6.83
11
Derrick Etienne Jr.
Derrick Etienne Jr. Midfielder
6.65
14
Alonso Coello
Alonso Coello Midfielder
7.25
19
Kobe Franklin
Kobe Franklin Midfielder
6.65
71
Markus Cimermancic
Markus Cimermancic Midfielder
6.6
9
Josh Sargent
Josh Sargent Attacker
6.93
10
Djordje Mihailovic
Djordje Mihailovic Attacker
7.17
20
Dániel Sallói
Dániel Sallói Attacker
6.93

CONTEXT

In the second half at minute 45 Inter Miami and Toronto continue their contest with the home side showing clear qualitative control through sustained possession and superior chance creation. Inter Miami has built an xG advantage that underscores their attacking intent while Toronto remains compact but limited in forward output. The absence of red cards has kept the flow uninterrupted allowing both teams to maintain their structures. Pre-match signals identified Inter Miami as the stronger side and the live phase aligns with that expectation as the visitors struggle to match the territorial dominance. Play flows with Inter Miami probing through midfield transitions while Toronto seeks to absorb pressure and launch occasional breaks. This pattern mirrors the opening period without major deviations in efficiency or momentum.

TL;DR

  • Live state: The second half is at minute 45 with both sides level in a controlled contest.
  • Structural vs live: Inter Miami was the pre-match stronger team and the live draw maintains that structural balance.
  • Projection vs live: Live developments show neutral alignment with pre-match projections for the match.
  • xG trend: Inter Miami leads the xG trend with 0.66 against Toronto's 0.19 reflecting greater chance quality.
  • Possession profile: Inter Miami holds 59 percent possession to Toronto's 41 percent in the ongoing second half.
  • Event impact: No red cards have been shown and efficiency remains in line with pre-match expectations.
  • Second-half outlook: The second half continues with Inter Miami retaining qualitative control consistent with earlier signals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Elfath
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
VS
Toronto R. Fraser
R. Fraser
1.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Philadelphia Union Rank: 65 D
Nashville SC Rank: 71 L
Columbus Crew Rank: 68 D
CF Montréal Rank: 58 W
Chicago Fire Rank: 67 W
Philadelphia Union Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Charlotte Rank: 65 D
New England Rank: 61 W
New York City Rank: 71 D
DC United Rank: 55 L
New England Rank: 61 D
CF Montréal Rank: 58 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.88
58.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Inter Miami
Toronto
Power Score
74.88
58.54
League Position
2
10
Global Rank
149
601

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Inter Miami Opponent-weighted form score
Toronto Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Inter Miami Toronto

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Inter Miami

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Toronto

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Inter Miami
vs
Toronto
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Inter Miami Toronto
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
10%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.07 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Inter Miami Toronto
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
10%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.07
Inter Miami
Toronto
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Inter Miami
vs
Toronto
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Inter Miami Toronto
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Inter Miami Toronto
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Inter Miami
Toronto
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MIA had peak pressure around 34'.
  • TOR started the game with stronger pressure.
MIA Pressure TOR Pressure
Pressure Index: MIA reached the top pressure at 34' (46.43).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Inter Miami MIA Home
5 matches
Toronto TOR Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
3
Goals
10
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
10
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-22T21:30:22+00:00

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
L. Gavran
Canada
1 L. Gavran
B. Kuscevic Jaramillo
Chile
13 B. Kuscevic Jaramillo
Z. Monlouis
England
12 Z. Monlouis
D. Etienne Jr.
Haiti
11 D. Etienne Jr.
M. Cimermancic
Canada
71 M. Cimermancic
A. Coello Camarero
Spain
14 A. Coello Camarero
K. Franklin
Canada
19 K. Franklin
D. Salloi
Hungary
20 D. Salloi
D. Mihailovic
United States
10 D. Mihailovic
J. Sargent
United States
9 J. Sargent

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Chase Stadium
Capacity
21550
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees

CONCLUSION

Inter Miami's edge in territory and expected goals positions them to press for openings as the second half progresses while Toronto must find greater penetration to alter the pattern. The even standing leaves room for either side to shift momentum through set pieces or substitutions yet the underlying metrics favor the home side's approach. Continued possession dominance could stretch Toronto's defense further if Inter Miami sustains their tempo without lapses. Both teams have avoided disciplinary issues which supports an open continuation rather than a fragmented finish. The phase suggests the match will remain competitive with Inter Miami holding the initiative into the closing stages.