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Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
TQL Stadium
Major League Soccer
CincinnatiCIN
1 – 0
2ND HALF 48
Seattle SoundersSEA
Live : 2nd Half
Regular Season
Evander - 24'
Goal
|

Events

1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Ryan Sailor
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Evander
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
24'

Match Commentary

45
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Ramirez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Paul Rothrock takes a left-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Edson Carli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Tom Barlow's left-footed shot is saved.
40
Attempt Attempt
Brian Anunga takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ryan Sailor receives a yellow card.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Attempt Attempt
Kenji Mboma takes a left-footed shot but misses.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Evander da Silva Ferreira takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
24
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Ramirez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Kenji Mboma takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Ramirez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
16
Update Update
Offside.
16
Update Update
Offside.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Miles Robinson's header is saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Evander da Silva Ferreira takes a right-footed shot but misses.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Attempt Attempt
Ender Echenique takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Drew Fischer.

Statistics

Possession
CIN
66%
SEA
34%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 1
2 Shots 2
24 Dangerous attacks 13
69 Possession 31
4 Corners 1
7 Free kicks 3
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Goal Kicks 6
11 Throwins 0
1 Successful Headers 1
7 Dribble Attempts 6
6 Successful Dribbles 2
86 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

61 Attacks 39
4 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

17 Long Passes 16
379 Passes 165
348 Successful Passes 143
92 Successful Passes Percentage 87
5 Key Passes 1
10 Successful Long Passes 7
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

0 Saves 6
7 Tackles 6
4 Interceptions 4
23 Duels Won 14

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 6
1 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
3 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Drew Fischer

Starting XI β–Ό

18
Roman Celentano
Roman Celentano Goalkeeper
6.91
11
Samuel Gidi
Samuel Gidi Defender
6.72
12
Miles Robinson
Miles Robinson Defender
6.69
88
A. Chirilă
A. Chirilă Defender
10
Evander
Evander Midfielder
8.01
22
Gerardo Valenzuela
Gerardo Valenzuela Midfielder
6.83
27
Tah Anunga
Tah Anunga Midfielder
6.52
29
Bryan RamΓ­rez
Bryan RamΓ­rez Midfielder
6.98
66
Ender Echenique
Ender Echenique Midfielder
6.85
16
Tom Barlow
Tom Barlow Attacker
6.8
17
Kenji Mboma Dem
Kenji Mboma Dem Attacker
6.95
Referee : Drew Fischer

Starting XI β–Ό

26
Andrew Thomas
Andrew Thomas Goalkeeper
6.97
4
Ryan Sailor
Ryan Sailor Defender
7.05
35
Antino Lopez
Antino Lopez Defender
6.77
39
Stuart Hawkins
Stuart Hawkins Defender
6.59
85
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi Defender
14
Paul Rothrock
Paul Rothrock Midfielder
6.93
30
Edson Carli
Edson Carli Midfielder
37
Snyder Brunell
Snyder Brunell Midfielder
6.79
45
Peter Kingston
Peter Kingston Midfielder
6.66
90
Sebastian Gomez
Sebastian Gomez Midfielder
6.35
95
Osaze De Rosario
Osaze De Rosario Attacker
6.61

CONTEXT

In the second half at minute 45, Cincinnati continues to assert dominance over Seattle Sounders through superior ball control and chance creation. The home side holds a significant possession advantage, dictating the tempo and limiting the visitors' opportunities. Expected goals favor Cincinnati substantially, reflecting their clinical approach and sustained pressure. No red cards have disrupted the flow, allowing the match to proceed with consistent intensity. This performance aligns closely with pre-match expectations where Cincinnati was identified as the stronger team, maintaining their qualitative lead without major deviations. The live state shows efficient execution matching structural projections.

TL;DR

  • Live state: Cincinnati maintains qualitative control in the second half at minute 45 through sustained pressure and chance creation.
  • Structural vs live: Live performance stays in line with pre-match structural expectations for the stronger side.
  • Projection vs live: Projection and live alignment remains neutral with no significant deviation observed.
  • xG trend: Cincinnati holds an xG advantage at 0.74 compared to Seattle Sounders at 0.36.
  • Possession profile: Home team dominates possession at 71 percent against the visitors at 29 percent.
  • Event impact: No red cards have occurred so efficiency shift stays in line with pre-match signals.
  • Second-half outlook: Cincinnati is positioned to extend control based on current xG and possession trends.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (β‰₯8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Fischer
D. Fischer
Referee β€’ 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Cincinnati P. Noonan
P. Noonan
VS
Seattle Sounders B. Schmetzer
B. Schmetzer
1.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.26
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
New York City Rank: 67 W
Orlando City Rank: 65 D
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 67 W
Columbus Crew Rank: 64 L
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 72 W
Orlando City Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Austin Rank: 57 L
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 72 L
Portland Timbers Rank: 64 L
Philadelphia Union Rank: 65 L
Austin Rank: 58 L
Portland Timbers Rank: 63 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.63
64.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
Power Score
68.63
64.34
League Position
5
13
Global Rank
296
410

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking β€” based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cincinnati β€” Opponent-weighted form score
Seattle Sounders β€” Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cincinnati Seattle Sounders

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cincinnati

Left / Center / Right β€”
Opposition half density β€”
vs season average β€”

Seattle Sounders

Left / Center / Right β€”
Opposition half density β€”
vs season average β€”
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cincinnati
vs
Seattle Sounders
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cincinnati Seattle Sounders
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
13%
100%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.10 vs -0.36
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cincinnati Seattle Sounders
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
100%
13%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.36 vs -0.10
Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands β€” based on Last 6 matches.

–
Cincinnati
vs
Seattle Sounders
Attack After Winning Possession transition β†’ offence
Cincinnati Seattle Sounders
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
β€”
β€”
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
β€”
β€”
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
β€”
β€”
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Cincinnati 0.00
Seattle Sounders 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss β†’ defensive exposure
Cincinnati Seattle Sounders
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
β€”
β€”
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
β€”
β€”
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
β€”
β€”
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Cincinnati 0.00
Seattle Sounders 0.00
Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CIN had peak pressure around 42'.
  • CIN started the game with stronger pressure.
CIN Pressure SEA Pressure
⚑
Pressure Index: CIN reached the top pressure at 42' (93.90).

PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States Β· Regular Season
Stadium
TQL Stadium
Capacity
26000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
β˜€οΈ 12Β°C, Fair
Referees
Drew Fischer

CONCLUSION

Cincinnati has carried their pre-match strength into the second half at minute 45 by controlling territory and generating the clearer opportunities. Seattle Sounders remain restricted in build-up and struggle to convert limited touches into threats. The absence of disciplinary interruptions supports a steady rhythm that matches earlier projections. With expected goals and possession heavily tilted toward the home side, the pattern suggests continued territorial command. Seattle will need sharper transitions to alter the qualitative balance before the contest concludes.