New York RB vs Chicago Fire preview
2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 23
Events
Statistics
Possession
NYR
46%
CHI
54%
Top Statistics
0
Goals
1
0
Shots
1
22
Dangerous attacks
22
45
Possession
55
1
Corners
2
3
Free kicks
6
0
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
1
Goal Kicks
2
1
Substitutions
0
7
Throwins
9
1
Successful Headers
1
9
Dribble Attempts
5
4
Successful Dribbles
1
44
Successful Dribbles Percentage
20
Attacking
50
Attacks
39
Possession
10
Long Passes
20
238
Passes
295
204
Successful Passes
263
86
Successful Passes Percentage
89
1
Key Passes
6
7
Successful Long Passes
15
70
Successful Long Passes Percentage
75
Defensive
2
Saves
1
10
Tackles
8
10
Interceptions
9
20
Duels Won
18
Build-up
3
Total Crosses
7
0
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
0
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
3
Lineup
Referee :
Sergii Demianchuk
Manager ▼
M. Bradley
Coach
Starting XI ▼
34
Ethan Horvath
Goalkeeper
6.71 2
Justin Che
Defender
7.02 12
Dylan Nealis
Defender
6.66 14
Julián Bazán
Defender
6.8 56
Matthew Dos Santos
Defender
6.65 10
Emil Forsberg
Midfielder
6.89 15
Adri Mehmeti
Midfielder
6.92 48
Ronald Donkor
Midfielder
6.96 7
Cade Cowell
Attacker
6.86 16
Julian Hall
Attacker
6.98 91
Mijahir Jiménez
Attacker
6.95 Substitutes ▼
77
John McCarthy
Goalkeeper
5.52 3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
Defender
6.59 5
Omar Valencia
Defender
6.28 26
Tim Parker
Defender
6.46 39
Nehuén Benedetti
Midfielder
6.62 11
Jorge Ruvalcaba
Attacker
7.03 13
Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting
Attacker
6.6 17
Cameron Harper
Attacker
6.77 37
Mohammed Sofo
Attacker
6.55
Referee :
Sergii Demianchuk
Manager ▼
G. Berhalter
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
CONTEXT
The match is at half-time between New York RB and Chicago Fire. The halftime score is New York RB 0-1 Chicago Fire. Chicago Fire hold the on-field advantage so far, which reads as in line with the pre-match structural expectation led by Chicago Fire. Chance quality so far shows xG at 0.09 for New York RB versus 0.39 for Chicago Fire. Possession split is approximately 40% to New York RB and 60% to Chicago Fire.
TL;DR
-
Live state: At half-time the scoreline is New York RB 0-1 Chicago Fire.
-
Structural vs live: The live result picture is in line with the pre-match structural edge for Chicago Fire.
-
Projection vs live: Live dynamics are currently neutral with pre-match projection leadership.
-
xG trend: New York RB xG 0.09 vs Chicago Fire xG 0.39.
-
Possession profile: New York RB 40% vs Chicago Fire 60% possession.
-
Event impact: No major structural event distortion currently detected.
-
Second-half outlook: Live efficiency trend is in line with; The next phase depends on whether Chicago Fire can sustain control without conceding high-value chances.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Demianchuk
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.32
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
1.25
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.84
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nashville SC
Rank: 72
L
Atlanta United
Rank: 54
L
Orlando City
Rank: 69
W
Charlotte
Rank: 65
L
Philadelphia Union
Rank: 65
L
Sporting KC
Rank: 51
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Orlando City
Rank: 65
W
Portland Timbers
Rank: 63
W
Charlotte
Rank: 67
W
New York City
Rank: 66
L
Inter Miami
Rank: 75
L
Toronto
Rank: 59
W
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.06
66.56
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
New York RB
Chicago Fire
Power Score
59.06
66.56
League Position
8
3
Global Rank
577
342
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
New York RB
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Chicago Fire
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
New York RB Chicago Fire
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
New York RB
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Chicago Fire
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
New York RB
vs
Chicago Fire
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
New York RB
Chicago Fire
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
38%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.03
vs
+0.00
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
New York RB
Chicago Fire
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00
vs
-0.03
New York RB
Chicago Fire
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
New York RB
vs
Chicago Fire
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
New York RB
Chicago Fire
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
New York RB
0.00
Chicago Fire
0.00
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
New York RB
Chicago Fire
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
New York RB
0.00
Chicago Fire
0.00
New York RB
Chicago Fire
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CHI had peak pressure around 31'.
- CHI started the game with stronger pressure.
NYR Pressure
CHI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
CHI reached the top pressure at 31' (57.35).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
New York RB
NYR
Home
5
matches
Chicago Fire
CHI
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
6
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-08-22T21:30:37+00:00
PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING
Match Formation
4-3-3
Match Formation
4-3-3
34 E. Horvath
12 D. Nealis
2 J. Che
14 J. Bazán Medina
56 M. Dos Santos
48 R. Donkor
15 A. Mehmeti
10 E. Forsberg
7 C. Cowell
91 M. Jiménez Murillo
16 J. Hall
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Capacity
25000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sergii Demianchuk
Next Match
New York RB
vs
Philadelphia Union
League: Major League Soccer
Kickoff: Sat, 29 Aug - 11:30 PM
Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium
Chicago Fire
vs
Seattle Sounders
League: Major League Soccer
Kickoff: Sat, 29 Aug - 8:30 PM
Venue: Seattle Stadium
CONCLUSION
Chicago Fire leads 1-0 at half-time after asserting dominance through 60 percent possession and 0.39 xG against New York RB's 0.09. The visitors who were pregame favorites have translated that edge into a live lead with neutral projection alignment and efficiency in line. Absence of red cards has kept the game structured without major disruptions. New York RB has struggled to create meaningful opportunities in the opening period. The break arrives with Chicago Fire holding qualitative control in chances and territory. Second half developments will likely build on these established patterns of possession and expected goals.
Match Commentary