PAOK vs Brann preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadio Toumbas
Europa Conference League
PAOKPKT
1 – 1
BrannSKB
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. PAOK 1–1 Brann. The match ended in a draw. PAOK showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished PAOK 2.1 – 1.2 Brann. Possession was 43%–57%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: PAOK 1-1 Brann. PAOK showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Siebert
D. Siebert
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Schaal
D. Schaal
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Wessel
R. Wessel
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Reichel
T. Reichel
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
PAOK A. Lisci
A. Lisci
VS
Brann E. Horneland
E. Horneland
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
Apollon Rank: W
Apollon Rank: L
Universitatea Cluj Rank: 72 W
Universitatea Cluj Rank: 71 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home PAOK
6.12%
Draw
89.06%
Away Brann
4.83%

Movement

Changes since opening
PAOK
-4.54%
Draw
+6.69%
Brann
-2.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.29
71.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
PAOK
Brann
Power Score
79.29
71.01
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
81
226

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
PAOK — Opponent-weighted form score
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) PAOK Brann

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

PAOK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

PAOK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
60.58
15.18
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.18
60.58
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
PAOK +3.53 Efficiency Index
vs
Brann -3.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
PAOK
Brann
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

PAOK
vs
Brann
Created Set-piece attacking threat
PAOK Brann
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
27%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.56 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
PAOK Brann
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
27%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.56
PAOK
Brann
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
PAOK
vs
Brann
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
PAOK Brann
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
PAOK 0.38
Brann 0.11
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
PAOK Brann
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
PAOK 0.02
Brann 0.02
PAOK
Brann
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PKT had peak pressure around 20'.
  • PKT started the game with stronger pressure.
PKT Pressure SKB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: PKT reached the top pressure at 20' (95.20).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

PAOK PKT Home
1 matches
Brann SKB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-21T00:05:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadio Toumbas
Capacity
28703
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniel Siebert
Dominik Schaal
Robert Edgar Wessel
Tobias Reichel

Statistics

Possession
PKT
48%
SKB
52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 2
11 Shots 1
61 Dangerous attacks 53
43 Possession 57
8 Corners 3
11 Free kicks 5
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

4 Goal Kicks 9
10 Substitutions 3
25 Throwins 27
1 Assists 1
22 Dribble Attempts 17
12 Successful Dribbles 7
55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 41

Attacking

98 Attacks 123
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

67 Long Passes 52
346 Passes 478
267 Successful Passes 400
77 Successful Passes Percentage 84
18 Key Passes 5
35 Successful Long Passes 19
52 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

Defensive

0 Saves 6
23 Tackles 16
7 Interceptions 9

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 11
7 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
5 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Daniel Siebert

Starting XI ▼

1
Jiri Pavlenka
Jiri Pavlenka Goalkeeper
6.25
3
Jonjoe Kenny
Jonjoe Kenny Defender
6.81
4
Bojan Golubovic
Bojan Golubovic Defender
6.69
6
Aritz Elustondo
Aritz Elustondo Defender
7.39
13
Dimitrios Giannoulis
Dimitrios Giannoulis Defender
6.93
21
Abdul Rahman Baba
Abdul Rahman Baba
Defender65'
7.6
2
Mady Camara
Mady Camara Midfielder
7.02
47
Shola Shoretire
Shola Shoretire
Attacker77'
6.54
7
Baptiste Santamaria
Baptiste Santamaria Midfielder
7.16
32
Greg Taylor
Greg Taylor
Defender66'
6.57
11
Taison
Taison (C) Midfielder
6.75
23
Tom Louchet
Tom Louchet
Midfielder66'
6.83
20
Christos Zafeiris
Christos Zafeiris Midfielder
7.32
52
Dimitrios Chatsidis
Dimitrios Chatsidis Midfielder
7.16
56
Anestis Mythou
Anestis Mythou Attacker
7.01
27
Cherif Ndiaye
Cherif Ndiaye
Attacker56'
6.42
Referee : Daniel Siebert

Starting XI ▼

1
Mathias Dyngeland
Mathias Dyngeland Goalkeeper
7.54
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (C) Defender
7.62
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
6.65
20
Vetle Dragsnes
Vetle Dragsnes Defender
6.81
21
Denzel De Roeve
Denzel De Roeve Defender
6.65
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Jacob Lungi Sørensen Midfielder
6.43
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Midfielder
6.88
7
Kjartan Már Kjartansson
Kjartan Már Kjartansson
Midfielder86'
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Midfielder
6.35
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne Attacker
6.62
41
Lars Remmem
Lars Remmem
Midfielder90+3'
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen Attacker
7.51
19
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson Attacker
7

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Bojan Golubovic
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+3'
90+3'
Event
Lars Remmem → Bård Finne
7th Substitution
86'
Event
Kjartan Már Kjartansson → Thore Pedersen
6th Substitution
Event
Abdul Rahman Baba
Header / 2nd Goal
80'
Event
Shola Shoretire → Mady Camara
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Tom Louchet → Taison
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Greg Taylor → Baptiste Santamaria
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Abdul Rahman Baba → Dimitrios Giannoulis 
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Christos Zafeiris
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
63'
62'
Event
Joachim Soltvedt
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
58'
Event
Bård Finne
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
57'
Event
Kristian Eriksen
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Cherif Ndiaye → Anestis Mythou
1st Substitution
56'
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen 
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Pantelis Hatzidiakos.
90
Update Update
On comes Lars Remmem, off goes Bard Finne.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Cherif Ndiaye takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
87
Attempt Attempt
Cherif Ndiaye takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
86
Substitution Substitution
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson is substituted for Thore Pedersen.
85
Attempt Attempt
Jonjoe Kenny takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Abdul Rahman Baba with a header results in a goal.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Abdul Rahman Baba scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Tom Louchet.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Abdul Rahman Baba scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Tom Louchet.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Update Update
Offside.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Update Update
Offside.
69
Update Update
Offside.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Substitution Substitution
Greg Taylor is substituted off for Santamaria Baptiste.
66
Update Update
On comes Tom Louchet, and off goes Barcellos Freda Taison.
65
Update Update
Abdul Rahman Baba is on, and Dimitris Giannoulis is off.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Christos Zafeiris.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Joachim Soltvedt.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bard Finne receives a yellow card.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Kristian Eriksen with his left foot results in a goal.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kristian Eriksen scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Joachim Soltvedt.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Kristian Eriksen with his left foot results in a goal.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kristian Eriksen scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Joachim Soltvedt.
55
Substitution Substitution
Cherif Ndiaye is substituted off for Anestis Mythou.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kristian Eriksen scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Joachim Soltvedt.
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Taison of Barcellos Freda with his right foot, but it's saved.
48
Update Update
Offside.
45
Update Update
Offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Mady Camara attempts a header but misses the shot.
43
Attempt Attempt
Bard Finne takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Anestis Mythou takes a shot, but it's saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Jonjoe Kenny takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Fredrik Knudsen.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Update Update
Offside.
33
Attempt Attempt
Santamaria Baptiste takes a header shot but misses.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Jacob Lungi Sorensen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Baptiste Santamaria with his right foot, but it's saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Chatsidis takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
16
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Santamaria Baptiste Head Shot Missed
15
Attempt Attempt
Christos Zafeiris takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Attempt Attempt
Kristian Eriksen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Jonjoe Kenny takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Mady Camara with his right foot, but it misses the target.
6
Update Update
Offside.
4
Attempt Attempt
Anestis Mythou takes a shot, but it is blocked.
4
Update Update
Offside.
3
Attempt Attempt
Anestis Mythou takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Attempt Attempt
Chatsidis takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Antonio Nobre.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: PAOK 1-1 Brann. Structural assessment: PAOK exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.