Cincinnati vs New York City preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
TQL Stadium Wed, 19 Aug - 11:30 PM
Major League Soccer
KICKOFF : Wed, 19 Aug - 11:30 PM
Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cincinnati welcome New York City to TQL Stadium for a Major League Soccer regular season encounter in 2026. The hosts carry a narrow power advantage of 0.3 points and are identified as the stronger side overall. League positions place Cincinnati sixth and New York City fifth in the domestic standings, underlining the fine margins between the two teams. Form scores favor the home side at 31.67 against 21.61 for the visitors, suggesting recent momentum lies with Cincinnati. Both clubs operate in a tightly balanced environment where small details could decide the outcome. The match offers a platform for the hosts to build on their slight edge while New York City seek to close the gap through disciplined execution. This setup points to an even contest shaped by positional proximity and modest metric differences.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Cincinnati hold a slight power advantage of 0.3 points over New York City.
  • Form: Cincinnati enter with a superior form score of 31.67 compared to New York City's 21.61.
  • Squad: Cincinnati sit sixth and New York City fifth in the domestic league table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams ahead of the fixture.
  • Transition: Transition data shows no detailed metrics available for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence with proxy data applied to both teams.
  • xVariable: The minimal power differential indicates a closely matched encounter.
  • Market: Projection split: Cincinnati 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | New York City 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cincinnati P. Noonan
P. Noonan
VS
New York City P. Jansen
P. Jansen
1.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.42
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Orlando City Rank: 66 D
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 67 W
Columbus Crew Rank: 65 L
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 73 W
Orlando City Rank: 66 W
San Diego Rank: 68 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Philadelphia Union Rank: 65 D
Toronto Rank: 60 D
Chicago Fire Rank: 66 W
Columbus Crew Rank: 65 W
Nashville SC Rank: 73 L
New York RB Rank: 62 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.6
69.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cincinnati
New York City
Power Score
69.6
69.31
League Position
6
5
Global Rank
301
312

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Cincinnati Opponent-weighted form score
New York City Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cincinnati New York City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cincinnati CIN Home
8 matches
New York City NYC Away
Match Record
2
Wins
4
2
Draws
2
4
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
9
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:33:47+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 19, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
TQL Stadium
Capacity
26000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

13
Evan Louro
Evan Louro Goalkeeper
93
Fabian Mrozek
Fabian Mrozek Goalkeeper
18
Roman Celentano
Roman Celentano Goalkeeper
21
Matt Miazga
Matt Miazga Defender
4
Nick Hagglund
Nick Hagglund Defender
2
Alvas Elvis Powell
24
Kyle Smith
Kyle Smith Defender
12
Miles Robinson
Miles Robinson Defender
88
Andrei Chirila
Andrei Chirila Defender
55
Ayoub Lajhar
Ayoub Lajhar Defender
27
Brian Anunga
Brian Anunga Midfielder
5
Obinna Nwobodo
Obinna Nwobodo Midfielder
20
Pavel Bucha
Pavel Bucha Midfielder
22
Gerardo Valenzuela
Gerardo Valenzuela Midfielder
11
Samuel Gidi
Samuel Gidi Midfielder
37
Stiven Jimenez
Stiven Jimenez Midfielder
30
Ademar Chavez
Ademar Chavez Midfielder
9
Ahoueke Denkey
Ahoueke Denkey Attacker
16
Tom Barlow
Tom Barlow Attacker
99
Ayoub Jabbari
Ayoub Jabbari Attacker
14
Kristian Fletcher
19
Stefan Chirila
Stefan Chirila Attacker
17
Kenji Mboma Dem
Kenji Mboma Dem Attacker

Squad

18
Greg Ranjitsingh
Greg Ranjitsingh Goalkeeper
30
Tomas Lían Romero Keubler
Tomas Lían Romero Keubler Goalkeeper
49
Freese Matthew
Freese Matthew Goalkeeper
70
Maclean Learned
Maclean Learned Goalkeeper
13
Thiago Martins Bueno
Thiago Martins Bueno Defender
22
Kevin O'Toole
Kevin O'Toole Defender
34
Raul Gustavo Pereira Bicalho
Raul Gustavo Pereira Bicalho Defender
24
Tayvon Gray
Tayvon Gray Defender
45
Kamran Acito
Kamran Acito Defender
38
Andrew Baiera
Andrew Baiera Defender
2
Nico Cavallo
Nico Cavallo Defender
23
Maxwell Murray
Maxwell Murray Defender
21
Aiden Connor O'Neill
10
Maximiliano Nicol Moralez
Maximiliano Nicol Moralez Midfielder
55
Keaton Alexander Parks
Keaton Alexander Parks Midfielder
8
Andrés Felipe Perea Castañeda
Andrés Felipe Perea Castañeda Midfielder
6
James Sands
James Sands Midfielder
5
Kai Trewin
Kai Trewin Midfielder
27
Cooper Flax
Cooper Flax Midfielder
35
Mitja Ilenič
Mitja Ilenič Midfielder
29
Maximo Augusto Carrizo Ballesteros
Maximo Augusto Carrizo Ballesteros Midfielder
32
Jonathan Shore
Jonathan Shore Midfielder
47
Jacob Arroyave
Jacob Arroyave Midfielder
71
Peter Molinari
Peter Molinari Midfielder
15
Kevin Gabriel Pierre Jr.
Kevin Gabriel Pierre Jr. Midfielder
17
Hannes Wolf
Hannes Wolf Attacker
7
Nicolás Fernández Mercau
Nicolás Fernández Mercau Attacker
16
Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista
Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista Attacker
11
Talles Magno Bacelar Martins
Talles Magno Bacelar Martins Attacker
9
Bénie Traore
Bénie Traore Attacker
26
Agustin Ojeda
Agustin Ojeda Attacker
87
Arnau Farnós Olive
Arnau Farnós Olive Attacker
20
Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos
Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos Attacker
88
Malachi Jones
Malachi Jones Attacker
99
Seymour Garfield-Reid
Seymour Garfield-Reid Attacker

CONCLUSION

Cincinnati and New York City meet in a fixture defined by narrow margins across key indicators. The home side's modest power lead and stronger form score provide a platform to dictate early tempo at TQL Stadium. New York City remain well placed in the standings and will look to exploit any lapses through structured play. Both teams occupy similar league positions, which adds to the expectation of a measured contest rather than an open affair. Set piece insights remain limited, shifting focus toward open play execution and individual contributions. The overall balance suggests the outcome will hinge on fine details and sustained concentration rather than outright dominance. Viewers can anticipate a tactical battle where small adjustments determine the final result.