Odense BK vs Horsens preview
2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark
Nature Energy Park
Sun, 16 Aug - 12:00 PM
Round 4 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 19
CONTEXT
Odense BK hosted Horsens in a competitive fixture that ended 1-2. The halftime score stood at 1-1 with both sides level. Odense BK controlled 59 percent of possession yet could not convert their territorial advantage into a win. Expected goals registered 1.92 for the home side and 2.11 for the visitors, producing a differential of minus 0.19. The stronger pre-match side Odense BK fell to the away team Horsens. No red cards were shown to either side. The result proved consistent with underlying metrics and reflected a significant deviation achieved by the visitors.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Final score: Odense BK 1-2 Horsens. Horsens showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with overall performance indicators.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome aligned closely with the recorded xG figures.
-
Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with available market indicators.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations indicated a narrow edge for the away side.
-
Event impact: No disruptive events altered the match trajectory substantially.
-
Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued and no distortion occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Kehlet
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
D. Rasmussen
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
A. Randrup Christensen
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
S. Aagerup
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
1.2
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.33
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Silkeborg IF
Rank: 61
L
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Rank: 65
W
Viborg FF
Rank: 65
L
Vejle Boldklub
Rank: 53
L
Randers FC
Rank: 60
D
Silkeborg IF
Rank: 60
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brøndby IF
Rank: 69
L
FC Midtjylland
Rank: 80
L
Nordsjælland
Rank: 70
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.33
41.08
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Odense BK
Horsens
Power Score
58.33
41.08
League Position
9
6
Global Rank
609
835
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Odense BK
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Horsens
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Odense BK Horsens
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Odense BK
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Horsens
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Odense BK
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Horsens
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.10
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Odense BK
-0.23
Efficiency Index
vs
Horsens
+0.23
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Odense BK
Horsens
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Odense BK
vs
Horsens
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Odense BK
Horsens
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
18%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.35
vs
-0.29
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Odense BK
Horsens
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
14%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.29
vs
-0.35
Odense BK
Horsens
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Odense BK
vs
Horsens
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Odense BK
Horsens
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Odense BK
0.20
Horsens
0.36
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Odense BK
Horsens
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Odense BK
0.06
Horsens
0.01
Odense BK
Horsens
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ODE had peak pressure around 56'.
- ODE started the game with stronger pressure.
ODE Pressure
ACH Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
ODE reached the top pressure at 56' (85.76).
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-4-2
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
General Information
Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nature Energy Park
Capacity
15790
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jakob Kehlet
Dennis Wollenberg Rasmussen
Anders Randrup Christensen
Sebastian Friis Aagerup
Next Match
Odense BK
vs
AGF
League: Superliga
Kickoff: Sun, 23 Aug - 12:00 PM
Venue: Vejlby Stadion
Horsens
vs
Lyngby Boldklub
League: Superliga
Kickoff: Sun, 23 Aug - 2:00 PM
Venue: Hybel Arena Horsens
Statistics
Possession
ODE
57%
ACH
43%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
2
1
Big Chances Created
2
8
Shots
4
81
Dangerous attacks
36
59
Possession
41
9
Corners
3
11
Free kicks
11
1
Yellow Cards
0
Match Overview
66
Ball Safe
94
5
Goal Kicks
16
7
Goal Attempts
8
3
Substitutions
4
20
Throwins
22
0
Hit Woodwork
1
0
Assists
2
0
Injuries
2
21
Dribble Attempts
14
10
Successful Dribbles
5
48
Successful Dribbles Percentage
36
Attacking
147
Attacks
73
1
Big Chances Missed
1
2
Counter Attacks
3
Possession
49
Long Passes
54
589
Passes
428
519
Successful Passes
353
88
Successful Passes Percentage
82
10
Key Passes
8
23
Successful Long Passes
15
47
Successful Long Passes Percentage
28
Defensive
4
Saves
1
19
Tackles
22
4
Interceptions
8
56
Duels Won
52
Build-up
39
Total Crosses
12
6
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
0
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
11
Lineup
Referee :
Jakob Kehlet
Manager ▼
T. Thomasberg
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Martin Hansen
Goalkeeper
25
Adam Amrani
Defender
19
Nikolaj Juul-Sandberg
Midfielder
21
Vitus Friis
Midfielder
40
Noah Lassen
Midfielder
26
Lasse Legolas
Attacker
Referee :
Jakob Kehlet
Manager ▼
N. Dige Zimling
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
31
Anders Hoff
Goalkeeper
4
Sebastian Hausner
Defender
30
Seniko Doua
Defender
29
Frederik Brandhof
Midfielder
18
Julius Körkkö
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
88'
7th Substitution
6th Substitution
81'
5th Substitution
70'
69'
2nd Substitution
69'
3rd Substitution
69'
4th Substitution
65'
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
45'
38'
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
3'
CONCLUSION
Horsens claimed a 1-2 victory away at Odense BK after a balanced first half that finished 1-1. Despite trailing in possession the visitors generated slightly higher expected goals and converted their opportunities efficiently. The absence of red cards allowed both teams to maintain full squads throughout the contest. Odense BK created chances but fell short in finishing while Horsens capitalised on their moments. The outcome matched the xG profile and confirmed the away side as deserved winners on the day. This result highlighted Horsens ability to overcome pre-match perceptions through disciplined execution.
Match Commentary