Molde vs Tromsø preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aker Stadion Sun, 16 Aug - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
MoldeMOL
TromsøTIL
KICKOFF : Sun, 16 Aug - 3:00 PM
Round 18 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Molde welcomes Tromsø to Aker Stadion for an Eliteserien regular season clash in 2026. Currently positioned fifth domestically, Molde faces a third-placed Tromsø side that holds the power advantage with a score of 72.58 against the hosts' 67.87. This results in a 4.7 point edge for the visitors. The fixture pits two competitive units against each other in a league known for its intensity. Home support at the stadium could influence proceedings, but Tromsø's superior metrics point to a balanced yet demanding test. Both teams aim to secure valuable points in their respective campaigns. The encounter underscores the importance of execution across various phases of play.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Tromsø holds a 4.7 point power advantage over Molde in this Eliteserien matchup.
  • Form: Tromsø leads in form with a score of 23.17 compared to Molde's 15.67.
  • Squad: Tromsø is identified as the stronger team based on overall power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for either Molde or Tromsø.
  • Transition: Transition phase data is unavailable in the provided analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence and relies on proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power scores indicate Tromsø at 72.58 and Molde at 67.87 for this fixture.
  • Market: Molde 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Tromsø 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Molde S. Tjelmeland
S. Tjelmeland
VS
Tromsø J. Vik
J. Vik
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kristiansund Rank: 56 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 66 D
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Brann Rank: 71 L
Aalesund Rank: 51 D
Sandefjord Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aalesund Rank: 51 W
HamKam Rank: 63 W
Vålerenga Rank: 62 W
KFUM Rank: 61 D
Aalesund Rank: 51 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 86 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.87
72.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
Tromsø
Power Score
67.87
72.58
League Position
5
3
Global Rank
349
220

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Molde — Opponent-weighted form score
Tromsø — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Molde Tromsø

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Molde MOL Home
5 matches
Tromsø TIL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
9
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:24:44+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 18 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

12
P. Lervik
P. Lervik Goalkeeper
6.09
9
Jalal Abdullai
Jalal Abdullai Centre Forward
6.61
4
S. Hansen
S. Hansen Right Back
7.18
5
Eirik Hestad
Eirik Hestad Right Wing
7.32
23
Sondre Granaas
Sondre Granaas Attacking Midfield
7.31
10
Emil Breivik
Emil Breivik Defensive Midfield
7.4
25
Martin Linnes
Martin Linnes Right Back
6.75
26
Samukele Kabini
Samukele Kabini Left Back
6.92
30
Daniel Daga
Daniel Daga Defensive Midfield
7.16
21
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter Left Wing
6.78
33
Birk Risa
Birk Risa Left Back
6.95

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakob Haugaard
Jakob Haugaard Goalkeeper
6.94
29
Alexander Warneryd
Alexander Warneryd Midfielder
6.94
17
Isak Dahlqvist
Isak Dahlqvist Midfielder
6.59
22
Heine Åsen Larsen
Heine Åsen Larsen Attacker
7.11
10
Troy Nyhammer
Troy Nyhammer Attacker
6.87
4
Vetle Skjærvik
Vetle Skjærvik Centre Back
7.06
5
David Edvardsson
David Edvardsson Central Midfield
7.19
7
Lars Olden Larsen
Lars Olden Larsen Central Midfield
6.92
3
Mathias Tønnessen
Mathias Tønnessen Left Back
6.86
11
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen Central Midfield
7.1
30
Isak Vådebu
Isak Vådebu Right Back
6.92

CONCLUSION

Tromsø carries a measurable edge through higher power and form scores, positioning them well to challenge Molde on the road. The hosts can draw on home familiarity at Aker Stadion to disrupt rhythms and seek control in midfield areas. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces leaves room for in-game adjustments, while structural metrics favor the visitors overall. Both sides must navigate the league's demands with precision to claim points. Tromsø's stronger profile suggests they may dictate tempo, yet Molde's domestic standing ensures a competitive response throughout the match.