Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena MRV Sun, 16 Aug - 7:00 PM
Serie A
Atlético MineiroAMN
GrêmioGRE
KICKOFF : Sun, 16 Aug - 7:00 PM
Round 23 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Atlético Mineiro welcome Grêmio to the Arena MRV for a Serie A regular season fixture in 2026. The hosts sit eleventh in the domestic standings while the visitors occupy fourteenth place. Power scores show a narrow edge for the home side at 65.58 against 64.26 for Grêmio, confirming Atlético Mineiro as the marginally stronger team. Form scores further favour the hosts with 25.28 compared to 18.33 for the away side. Both teams operate without recent outing data, leaving the focus on season-long indicators. The match promises a tight contest given the minimal power gap and mid-table positioning of each side.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Atlético Mineiro hold a slight power advantage of 1.3 points over Grêmio.
  • Form: Atlético Mineiro enter with a superior form score of 25.28 compared to Grêmio's 18.33.
  • Squad: Atlético Mineiro are identified as the stronger team in this encounter.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not detailed in the current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: The power scores indicate a closely matched contest between the sides.
  • Market: Projection split: Atlético Mineiro 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Grêmio 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Atlético Mineiro E. Domínguez
E. Domínguez
VS
Grêmio L. Ribeiro de Castro
L. Ribeiro de Castro
1.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.21
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Remo Rank: 58 D
Bragantino Rank: 65 D
Palmeiras Rank: 78 W
Bahia Rank: 62 D
Vasco da Gama Rank: 63 W
Corinthians Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
São Paulo Rank: 63 W
Botafogo Rank: 69 D
Fluminense Rank: 69 D
Mirassol Rank: 65 L
Corinthians Rank: 68 L
Santos Rank: 65 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.58
64.26
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Atlético Mineiro
Grêmio
Power Score
65.58
64.26
League Position
11
14
Global Rank
400
452

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Atlético Mineiro — Opponent-weighted form score
Grêmio — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Atlético Mineiro Grêmio

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Atlético Mineiro AMN Home
5 matches
Grêmio GRE Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
8
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T00:39:30+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena MRV
Capacity
44892
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

22
Everson Felipe Marques Pires
Everson Felipe Marques Pires Goalkeeper
1
Gabriel Delfim Ferreira
Gabriel Delfim Ferreira Goalkeeper
46
Pedro Cobra Rodrigues
Pedro Cobra Rodrigues Goalkeeper
31
Robert Pinto Alves Assunção
Robert Pinto Alves Assunção Goalkeeper
14
Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza
Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza Defender
15
Leonardo Duarte da Silva
Leonardo Duarte da Silva Defender
13
Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović
Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović Defender
6
Renan Augusto Lodi dos Santos
Renan Augusto Lodi dos Santos Defender
4
Ruan Tressoldi Netto
Ruan Tressoldi Netto Defender
23
Angelo Smit Preciado Quiñónez
Angelo Smit Preciado Quiñónez Defender
2
Natanael Moreira Milouski
Natanael Moreira Milouski Defender
—
Rômulo Helberth Pereira Junior
Rômulo Helberth Pereira Junior Defender
3
Iván Román
Iván Román Defender
40
Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira Defender
36
Kauã Pascini Resende
Kauã Pascini Resende Defender
10
Gustavo Henrique Furtado Scarpa
Gustavo Henrique Furtado Scarpa Midfielder
8
Maycon de Andrade Barberan
Maycon de Andrade Barberan Midfielder
21
Alan Steven Franco Palma
Alan Steven Franco Palma Midfielder
17
Igor Silveira Gomes
Igor Silveira Gomes Midfielder
19
Reinier Jesus Carvalho
Reinier Jesus Carvalho Midfielder
30
Victor Hugo Gomes Silva
Victor Hugo Gomes Silva Midfielder
5
Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa
Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa Midfielder
25
Tomás Pérez
Tomás Pérez Midfielder
20
Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos
Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos Midfielder
38
Hendel dos Santos Nascimento
Hendel dos Santos Nascimento Midfielder
39
Mamady Cissé
Mamady Cissé Midfielder
9
Zander Mateo Cassierra Cabezas
Zander Mateo Cassierra Cabezas Attacker
92
Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues
Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Attacker
11
Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte
Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte Attacker
28
Tomás Esteban Cuello
Tomás Esteban Cuello Attacker
27
Alan Steve Minda García
Alan Steve Minda García Attacker
29
Cauã Campos Soares
Cauã Campos Soares Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Weverton Pereira da Silva
Weverton Pereira da Silva Goalkeeper
12
Gabriel Hamester Grando
Gabriel Hamester Grando Goalkeeper
24
Thiago Beltrame Stallbaum
Thiago Beltrame Stallbaum Goalkeeper
31
Gabriel Otávio Menegon
Gabriel Otávio Menegon Goalkeeper
7
Cristian David Pavón
Cristian David Pavón Defender
14
Marcos Luis Rocha Aquino
Marcos Luis Rocha Aquino Defender
18
João Pedro Maturano dos Santos
João Pedro Maturano dos Santos Defender
2
Fabián Cornelio Balbuena González
Fabián Cornelio Balbuena González Defender
4
Walter Kannemann
Walter Kannemann Defender
23
Marlon Rodrigues Xavier
Marlon Rodrigues Xavier Defender
38
Caio Fernando de Oliveira
Caio Fernando de Oliveira Defender
3
Wagner Leonardo Calvelo de Souza
Wagner Leonardo Calvelo de Souza Defender
53
Gustavo Martins de Souza Santos
Gustavo Martins de Souza Santos Defender
—
Wallace Gomes da Silva Santos
Wallace Gomes da Silva Santos Defender
54
Pedro Gabriel Crisostomo Pinheiro
Pedro Gabriel Crisostomo Pinheiro Defender
43
Luis Eduardo Guedes de Souza
Luis Eduardo Guedes de Souza Defender
17
Douglas Moreira Fagundes
Douglas Moreira Fagundes Midfielder
20
Mathías Adalberto Villasanti Rolón
Mathías Adalberto Villasanti Rolón Midfielder
5
Juan Ignacio Martín Nardoni
Juan Ignacio Martín Nardoni Midfielder
19
Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola Midfielder
11
Miguel Ángel Monsalve Gonzáles
Miguel Ángel Monsalve Gonzáles Midfielder
33
Leonel Ulises Pérez
Leonel Ulises Pérez Midfielder
65
Riquelme Freitas dos Santos
Riquelme Freitas dos Santos Midfielder
39
Tiago Augusto Gonçalves
Tiago Augusto Gonçalves Midfielder
37
Gabriel Ferreira de Carvalho
Gabriel Ferreira de Carvalho Midfielder
10
Willian Borges da Silva
Willian Borges da Silva Attacker
22
Martin Braithwaite Christensen
Martin Braithwaite Christensen Attacker
95
Carlos Vinícius Alves Morais
Carlos Vinícius Alves Morais Attacker
9
Francis Amuzu
Francis Amuzu Attacker
99
José David Enamorado Gómez
José David Enamorado Gómez Attacker
21
Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins
Mateus Cardoso Lemos Martins Attacker
—
Matheus Nascimento de Paula
Matheus Nascimento de Paula Attacker
47
Roger Dias Fernandes
Roger Dias Fernandes Attacker

CONCLUSION

Atlético Mineiro will look to capitalise on home advantage and their modest power and form edges when they face Grêmio. The visitors remain competitive on overall metrics and will seek to exploit any lapses in the hosts' organisation. Mid-table positions suggest both sides prioritise consistency over risk. Limited efficiency and set-piece insights shift attention toward open-play patterns and individual quality. A measured approach from each manager appears likely given the narrow margins separating the teams. The encounter should hinge on small details and sustained concentration across ninety minutes.