Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova) Yesterday - 5:00 PM
Europa League
Universitatea CraiovaUCR
2 1
KuPSKUPS
Full Time Yesterday 5:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 2
Steven Nsimba - 43' (P)
Carlos Mora - 63'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Universitatea Craiova 2–1 KuPS. The result saw Universitatea Craiova take the points. Universitatea Craiova showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 52%–48%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant 31.5 percent deviation was recorded for Universitatea Craiova.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team.
  • xG alignment: Outcome consistency with expected goals could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were available to shape performance expectations.
  • Event impact: Universitatea Craiova won the second leg 2-1 to progress from the tie.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no disciplinary distortion affected the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Minaković
N. Minaković
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Borović
N. Borović
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Božović
B. Božović
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Mitić
M. Mitić
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Universitatea Craiova F. Amaral Rino Coelho
F. Amaral Rino Coelho
VS
KuPS M. Nuutinen
M. Nuutinen
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
KuPS Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Universitatea Craiova Rank: 75 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Universitatea Craiova
68.47%
Draw
20.31%
Away KuPS
11.22%

Movement

Changes since opening
Universitatea Craiova
-28.05%
Draw
+17.47%
KuPS
+10.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.33
18.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
Power Score
31.33
18.25
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Universitatea Craiova — Opponent-weighted form score
KuPS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Universitatea Craiova KuPS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Universitatea Craiova

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

KuPS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Universitatea Craiova ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KuPS
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.29
13.33
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.33
40.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Universitatea Craiova +1.46 Efficiency Index
vs
KuPS -1.46 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Universitatea Craiova ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KuPS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Universitatea Craiova KuPS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Universitatea Craiova KuPS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Universitatea Craiova
vs
KuPS
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Universitatea Craiova KuPS
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Universitatea Craiova 0.22
KuPS 0.08
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Universitatea Craiova KuPS
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Universitatea Craiova 0.02
KuPS 0.03
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • UCR had peak pressure around 29'.
  • UCR started the game with stronger pressure.
UCR Pressure KUPS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: UCR reached the top pressure at 29' (58.77).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Universitatea Craiova UCR Home
1 matches
KuPS KUPS Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-14T00:02:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 13, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 2
Stadium
Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)
Capacity
30983
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nenad Minaković
Nikola Borović
Boško Božović
Milan Mitić

Statistics

Possession
UCR
56%
KUPS
44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
10 Shots 2
79 Dangerous attacks 48
52 Possession 48
8 Corners 0
23 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 4
20 Throwins 21

Attacking

117 Attacks 115

Defensive

1 Saves 4

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 20

Lineup

Referee : Nenad Minaković

Starting XI ▼

21
Laurențiu Popescu
Laurențiu Popescu Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Oleksandr Romanchuk
Oleksandr Romanchuk Defender
6.26
6
Vladimir Screciu
Vladimir Screciu Defender
6.26
28
Adrian Rus
Adrian Rus Defender
6.26
5
Anzor Mekvabishvili
Anzor Mekvabishvili Midfielder
6.37
23
Samuel Teles
Samuel Teles
Midfielder90+1'
11
Nicușor Bancu
Nicușor Bancu (C) Midfielder
6.33
17
Carlos Mora
Carlos Mora Midfielder
6.57
20
Alexandru Cicâldău
Alexandru Cicâldău Midfielder
6.37
8
Tudor Băluță
Tudor Băluță
Midfielder80'
6.5
30
David Matei
David Matei Midfielder
6.33
12
Monday Etim
Monday Etim
Attacker62'
6.5
7
Steven Nsimba
Steven Nsimba Attacker
6.67
9
Assad Al-Hamlawi
Assad Al-Hamlawi
Attacker62'
6.59
10
Ștefan Baiaram
Ștefan Baiaram Attacker
6.46
19
Heri Tavares
Heri Tavares
Attacker80'
6.5
Referee : Nenad Minaković

Starting XI ▼

1
Johannes Kreidl
Johannes Kreidl Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Kasim Adams
Kasim Adams Defender
6.04
24
Bob Nii Armah
Bob Nii Armah Defender
6.05
28
Brahima Magassa
Brahima Magassa Defender
6.05
29
Akseli Puukko
Akseli Puukko Defender
6.05
6
Saku Savolainen
Saku Savolainen
Defender79'
6.5
33
Taneli Hämäläinen
Taneli Hämäläinen Defender
6.25
25
Clinton Antwi
Clinton Antwi
Defender46'
6.26
8
Petteri Pennanen
Petteri Pennanen (C) Midfielder
6.27
10
Valentín Gasc
Valentín Gasc Midfielder
6.47
21
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba
Midfielder67'
6.5
16
Tommi Jyry
Tommi Jyry Midfielder
6.38
22
Saikou Touray
Saikou Touray Midfielder
6.27
11
Jaime Moreno
Jaime Moreno Attacker
6.39
20
Piotr Parzyszek
Piotr Parzyszek
Attacker67'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Samuel Teles → Anzor Mekvabishvili
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Tudor Băluță → Alexandru Cicâldău
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Heri Tavares → Ștefan Baiaram
8th Substitution
80'
79'
Event
Saku Savolainen → Akseli Puukko
6th Substitution
Event
Nicușor Bancu 
5th Yellowcard
72'
67'
Event
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba → Valentín Gasc
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Piotr Parzyszek → Jaime Moreno
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Kasim Adams
Tripping / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Carlos Mora
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
63'
Event
Monday Etim → David Matei
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Assad Al-Hamlawi → Steven Nsimba
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
David Matei
Holding / 3rd Yellowcard
52'
49'
Event
Jaime Moreno
Tripping / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Clinton Antwi → Taneli Hämäläinen
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Steven Nsimba
Penalty / 1st Penalty
43'
31'
Event
Taneli Hämäläinen
Tripping / 1st Yellowcard
5'
Event
Valentín Gasc
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
On Samuel Teles Pereira Nunes Silva, off Anzor Mekvabishvili.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
Cristian Baluta comes on for Alexandru Cicaldau.
80
Update Update
Heriberto Tavares is on, and Stefan Baiaram is off.
79
Update Update
Saku Savolainen is on, and Akseli Puukko is off.
67
Update Update
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba comes on for Valentin Gasc.
67
Update Update
Piotr Parzyszek comes on for Jaime Moreno.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kasim Adams receives a yellow card.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
61
Update Update
On Monday, Etim replaces Matei David.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Assad Al Hamlawi replaces Steven Nsimba.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Matei David.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jaime Moreno receives a yellow card.
46
Substitution Substitution
Clinton Antwi is substituted for Taneli Hamalainen.
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Steven Nsimba scores, making it 1-1.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Taneli Hamalainen.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Valentin Gasc scores to make it 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Nenad Minakovic.

CONCLUSION

Universitatea Craiova completed their progression with a composed second-half display after sharing the first-half goals. The 2-1 scoreline reflected their overall control once the interval passed. KuPS offered resistance but could not find an equalizer on the night. The aggregate lead proved decisive as the home side managed the game effectively without major disruptions. Possession edges and attacking intent favored the hosts throughout the second period. This result underlined their status as the stronger side in the matchup. The clean disciplinary record allowed both teams to focus purely on tactical execution until the final whistle.