NSÍ vs Lugano preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Við Djúpumýrar Tomorrow - 5:30 PM
Europa Conference League
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 5:30 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 2

CONTEXT

NSÍ host Lugano at Við Djúpumýrar in the second leg of their Europa Conference League third qualifying round tie during the 2026/2027 season. Lugano secured a 2-0 win in the opening leg and arrive as the stronger side with a power score of 36.85 compared to NSÍ's 28.67. This yields an 8.2 point advantage for the visitors in this international cup fixture. Form levels differ notably with the away side holding a score of 50 against the home team's 23.33. Neither side has domestic league positions listed given the European focus. Set piece information carries low confidence and lacks xG metrics while efficiency and transition details remain unavailable. The encounter centers on structural balance and squad execution as both teams navigate the return leg.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lugano holds an 8.2 point power advantage over NSÍ in this qualifier.
  • Form: Lugano posts a form score of 50 while NSÍ sits at 23.33.
  • Squad: No detailed squad composition data is available for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition statistics are not provided in the match data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with no xG data available.
  • xVariable: Lugano enters with the higher power score of 36.85.
  • Market: NSÍ 12.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.8% (Δ+0%) | Lugano 70.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
NSÍ S. Eyjolfsson
S. Eyjolfsson
VS
Lugano M. Croci-Torti
M. Croci-Torti
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lugano Rank: 72 L
Koper Rank: 72 W
Koper Rank: 72 L
Hamrun Spartans Rank: W
Hamrun Spartans Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
NSÍ Rank: W
Dukagjini Rank: 56 W
Dukagjini Rank: 55 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home NSÍ
12.05%
Draw
17.79%
Away Lugano
70.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.67
36.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NSÍ
Lugano
Power Score
28.67
36.85
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
NSÍ Opponent-weighted form score
Lugano Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NSÍ Lugano

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

NSÍ NSÍ Home
1 matches
Lugano LUGA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0.68
xG
3.05
3.05
xGA
0.68

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:10:40+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 13, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 2
Stadium
Við Djúpumýrar
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Robert Hennessy
Dermot Broughton
Emmett Dynan
Aaron O'Dowd

Squad

Referee : Robert Hennessy

Squad

1
Kristian Joensen
Kristian Joensen Goalkeeper
13
Tom Amos
Tom Amos Goalkeeper
30
Dánial Danielsen
Dánial Danielsen Goalkeeper
3
Viljormur Davidsen
Bárður Jógvansson-Hansen
Bárður Jógvansson-Hansen Defender
5
Alex Freyr Elísson
4
Daniel Obbekjær
Daniel Obbekjær Defender
12
Filip Drinic
Filip Drinic Defender
Jóel Tróndargjógv
2
Sammy Skytte
Sammy Skytte Midfielder
Meinhard Olsen
Meinhard Olsen Midfielder
7
Aron Knudsen
Aron Knudsen Midfielder
29
Emil Weihe Joensen
Emil Weihe Joensen Midfielder
6
Beinir Nolsøe
Beinir Nolsøe Midfielder
33
Michal Przybylski
16
Petur Knudsen
Petur Knudsen Attacker
9
Tobias Hestad
Tobias Hestad Attacker
11
Marius Kryger Lindh
28
Markus Danielsen
Markus Danielsen Attacker
Referee : Robert Hennessy

Squad

16
David von Ballmoos
David von Ballmoos Goalkeeper
Fotis Pseftis
Fotis Pseftis Goalkeeper
99
Diego Mina
Diego Mina Goalkeeper
3
Hannes Delcroix
Hannes Delcroix Defender
7
Ezdzhan Alioski
Ezdzhan Alioski Defender
17
Lars Lukas Mai
Lars Lukas Mai Defender
18
Joel Bichsel
Joel Bichsel Defender
46
Mattia Zanotti
Mattia Zanotti Defender
4
Damian Kelvin
Damian Kelvin Defender
Behruz Karimov
Behruz Karimov Defender
8
Anto Grgic
Anto Grgic Midfielder
25
Uran Bislimi
Uran Bislimi Midfielder
14
Ahmed Kendouci
Ahmed Kendouci Midfielder
21
Yanis Cimignani
Yanis Cimignani Midfielder
19
Claudio Cassano
Claudio Cassano Midfielder
31
Jason Parente
Jason Parente Midfielder
23
Gjan Ajdin
Gjan Ajdin Midfielder
91
Kevin Behrens
Kevin Behrens Attacker
11
Renato Steffen
Renato Steffen Attacker
30
Dereck Moncada
Dereck Moncada Attacker
24
Erik Elias Pihlström

CONCLUSION

Lugano's stronger power rating and elevated form score give them a clear edge as they defend their first leg lead. NSÍ must find ways to exploit home conditions at Við Djúpumýrar to close the gap in this return fixture. Limited efficiency and set piece information introduce uncertainty into how the game may unfold. Both teams will rely on core structural elements and squad organization to manage the demands of the second leg. The visitors appear better positioned overall yet the hosts retain opportunities through organized play and effective transitions. Progression hinges on disciplined execution across all phases of the match.