KÍ vs Lech Poznań preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Þórsvöllur Tomorrow - 5:30 PM
Europa League
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 5:30 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 1

CONTEXT

KÍ host Lech Poznań in Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Þórsvöllur. Power ranking favours Lech Poznań by 2.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lech Poznań hold a +2.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Lech Poznań sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: KÍ show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Lech Poznań have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Lech Poznań carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Lech Poznań hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: KÍ 18.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.4% (Δ+0%) | Lech Poznań 60.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
KÍ M. Powell
M. Powell
VS
Lech Poznań N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 76 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home
18.55%
Draw
21.36%
Away Lech Poznań
60.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.67
31.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lech Poznań
Power Score
28.67
31.11
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Opponent-weighted form score
Lech Poznań Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lech Poznań

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Home
1 matches
Lech Poznań LPO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:11:38+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 13, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 1
Stadium
Þórsvöllur
Capacity
2000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Igor Pajač
Bojan Zobenica
Ivan Mihalj
Patrik Pavlešić

Squad

Referee : Igor Pajač

Squad

96
Mark Jensen
Mark Jensen Goalkeeper
26
Gilli Rólantsson
22
Odmar Færø
Odmar Færø Defender
23
Jóannes Danielsen
6
Daniel Johansen
Daniel Johansen Defender
2
Gastón Tellechea
Símun Kalsö
Símun Kalsö Defender
René Joensen
René Joensen Midfielder
10
Hallur Hansson
Hallur Hansson Midfielder
5
Deni Pavlović
Deni Pavlović Midfielder
25
Hampus Näsström
Hampus Näsström Midfielder
Mansour Sinyan
Mansour Sinyan Midfielder
28
Oussama Ali
Oussama Ali Midfielder
9
Páll Klettskard
Páll Klettskard Attacker
7
Árni Frederiksberg
17
Filip Brattbakk
Filip Brattbakk Attacker
20
Erlend Hustad
Erlend Hustad Attacker
11
Jonn Johannesen
Jonn Johannesen Attacker
27
Dávid Reynheim
Dávid Reynheim Attacker
Referee : Igor Pajač

Squad

1
Mateusz Lis
Mateusz Lis Goalkeeper
41
Bartosz Mrozek
Bartosz Mrozek Goalkeeper
33
Mateusz Pruchniewski
31
Wiktor Obremski
Wiktor Obremski Goalkeeper
20
Robert Gumny
Robert Gumny Defender
2
Joel Vieira Pereira
3
Alex Douglas
Alex Douglas Defender
72
Mateusz Skrzypczak
59
Terry Yegbe
Terry Yegbe Defender
15
Michał Gurgul
Michał Gurgul Defender
27
Wojciech Mońka
Wojciech Mońka Defender
90
Hubert Janyszka
Hubert Janyszka Defender
22
Radosław Murawski
Radosław Murawski Midfielder
24
Filip Jagiełło
Filip Jagiełło Midfielder
21
Pablo Rodríguez Delgado
43
Antoni Kozubal
Antoni Kozubal Midfielder
53
Karol Delikat
Karol Delikat Midfielder
9
Mikael Ishak
Mikael Ishak Attacker
8
Ali Gholizadeh
Ali Gholizadeh Attacker
14
Leo Bengtsson
Leo Bengtsson Attacker
17
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
11
Daniel Håkans
Daniel Håkans Attacker
10
Patrik Wålemark
Patrik Wålemark Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lech Poznań holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lech Poznań a 2.4-point edge. External projection is KÍ 17.7%, draw 21%, and Lech Poznań 61.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.