Mjällby vs Sirius preview
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Strandvallen
Today - 1:00 PM
Round 17 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 15
CONTEXT
Mjällby hosted Sirius in a high-scoring league match that delivered a dramatic turnaround. The visitors led 3-0 at halftime after an efficient opening period, yet Mjällby responded with four unanswered goals after the break to claim a 4-3 win. Sirius entered as the stronger side and posted a marginal xG edge of 1.83 to 1.62, but the hosts controlled 53 percent of possession and converted their chances more effectively in the second half. The outcome represented a significant deviation from pre-match projections, with Mjällby overcoming the stronger opponent. No red cards occurred and the result aligned with market expectations despite the xG differential of minus 0.21.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Mjällby produced a significant structural deviation by defeating the stronger Sirius side.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with observed performance metrics throughout the contest.
-
xG alignment: The final result was not consistent with xG values of 1.62 to 1.83.
-
Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with market expectations despite the deviation.
-
xG expectations: Home xG finished at 1.62 while away xG reached 1.83.
-
Event impact: The second-half comeback from a 0-3 halftime deficit proved decisive.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards were shown and therefore no distortion occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Ladebäck
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
D. Yng
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
A. Sjöberg
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
F. Hasani
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Karl Marius Aksum
VS
A. Engelmark
1.13
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
2.63
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg
Rank: 59
L
Kalmar
Rank: 53
L
Västerås SK
Rank: 53
D
AIK
Rank: 60
L
Sirius
Rank: 69
D
IFK Göteborg
Rank: 58
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna
Rank: 53
D
Halmstad
Rank: 49
W
IFK Göteborg
Rank: 57
W
Elfsborg
Rank: 61
W
Brommapojkarna
Rank: 53
W
Mjällby
Rank: 66
D
3
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.36
69.43
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mjällby
Sirius
Power Score
66.36
69.43
League Position
13
1
Global Rank
373
292
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Mjällby
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Sirius
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Mjällby Sirius
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Mjällby
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Sirius
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Mjällby
vs
Sirius
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Mjällby
Sirius
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
5%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.09
vs
-0.26
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Mjällby
Sirius
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
14%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.26
vs
-0.09
Mjällby
Sirius
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Mjällby
vs
Sirius
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Mjällby
Sirius
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Mjällby
0.00
Sirius
0.00
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mjällby
Sirius
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Mjällby
0.00
Sirius
0.00
Mjällby
Sirius
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SIR had peak pressure around 17'.
- SIR started the game with stronger pressure.
MJA Pressure
SIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
SIR reached the top pressure at 17' (85.55).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Mjällby
MJA
Home
5
matches
Sirius
SIR
Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
3
Goals
12
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
12
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
1.60
xG
2.40
2.40
xGA
1.60
Data last updated: 2026-08-15T12:30:23+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-4-3
Match Formation
4-3-3
13 R. Wallinder
5 A. Iqbal
14 W. Granath
22 (C) J. Gustavsson
26 I. Hoffmann
10 J. Kjaer
218 J. Bergström
23 Á. Samuelsen
34 D. Celic
22 O. Krusnell
4 T. Anker
5 (C) H. Castegren
24 V. Svensson
10 M. Heier
11 I. Bjerkebo
19 N. Milleskog
16 O. Liimatta
General Information
Date & Time
Aug 15, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 17 · Regular Season
Stadium
Strandvallen
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Adam Ladebäck
Daniel Yng
Anton Sjöberg
Fidan Hasani
Next Match
Mjällby
vs
Salzburg
League: Europa League
Kickoff: Thu, 20 Aug - 4:00 PM
Venue: Strandvallen
Sirius
vs
Häcken
League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Fri, 21 Aug - 5:00 PM
Venue: Studenternas IP
Statistics
Possession
MJA
52%
SIR
48%
Top Statistics
4
Goals
3
2
Big Chances Created
3
5
Shots
6
59
Dangerous attacks
42
53
Possession
47
7
Corners
8
11
Free kicks
10
2
Yellow Cards
3
Match Overview
49
Ball Safe
41
8
Goal Kicks
11
5
Goal Attempts
6
5
Substitutions
4
18
Throwins
14
0
Hit Woodwork
1
3
Assists
0
15
Dribble Attempts
13
4
Successful Dribbles
5
27
Successful Dribbles Percentage
38
Attacking
70
Attacks
74
Possession
62
Long Passes
62
411
Passes
377
333
Successful Passes
299
81
Successful Passes Percentage
79
8
Key Passes
10
31
Successful Long Passes
18
50
Successful Long Passes Percentage
29
Defensive
2
Saves
2
12
Tackles
21
11
Interceptions
8
34
Duels Won
45
Build-up
21
Total Crosses
8
6
Accurate Crosses
3
Discipline
0
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
11
Lineup
Referee :
Adam Ladebäck
Manager ▼
Karl Marius Aksum
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
Referee :
Adam Ladebäck
Manager ▼
A. Engelmark
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
23
Finlay Neat
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
Header / 7th Goal
87'
9th Substitution
84'
83'
8th Substitution
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
77'
7th Substitution
76'
58'
5th Substitution
58'
6th Substitution
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
54'
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
53'
50'
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
46'
2nd Substitution
46'
3rd Substitution
46'
4th Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
39'
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
34'
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
27'
26'
1st Substitution
24'
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
9'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
6'
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Final score detail: Mjällby 4-3 Sirius. Structural assessment: Mjällby exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.
Match Commentary