Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb preview

Croatia flag 2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Gradski vrt
1. HNL
OsijekOSI
1 0
Lokomotiva ZagrebLOK
Full Time
Round 3 Regular Season
Goal
|
|
Red Card Marko Pajac 90+5'

CONTEXT

Osijek faced Lokomotiva Zagreb in a league encounter that concluded with a 1-0 victory for the home side. The first half ended level at 0-0 with both teams showing balanced approaches before the interval. Osijek controlled the majority of possession at 67 percent while the visitors held 33 percent. A red card was issued to the away team during the contest which altered the dynamics after the break. Osijek as the stronger side secured the win through a single goal in the second period. The outcome reflected the pre-match alignment despite the significant deviation noted for the home team. Efficiency remained consistent with overall patterns observed in the fixture. The red card introduced distortion in the latter stages affecting the visitors ability to maintain structure.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Osijek 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Osijek showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with observed patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to determine alignment with the result.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were recorded to evaluate performance against projections.
  • Event impact: The single goal proved decisive in securing the home victory.
  • Red card distortion: The away team red card introduced distortion during the second half.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Terzić
A. Terzić
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Dujo Sarić
Dujo Sarić
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Rođak-Karšić
S. Rođak-Karšić
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Titlić
J. Titlić
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Osijek F. Bessone Luna
F. Bessone Luna
VS
Lokomotiva Zagreb N. Jelavić
N. Jelavić
1.41
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rudeš Rank: 50 W
Gorica Rank: 67 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 61 W
Gorica Rank: 63 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 66 L
Vukovar Rank: 57 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: 64 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 68 W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 84 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 75 D
Varaždin Rank: 70 D
Rijeka Rank: 74 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.08
66.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Osijek
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Power Score
67.08
66.89
League Position
1
4
Global Rank
338
344

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Osijek — Opponent-weighted form score
Lokomotiva Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Osijek Lokomotiva Zagreb

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Osijek

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lokomotiva Zagreb

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Osijek ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lokomotiva Zagreb
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
47.91
45.76
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
45.76
47.91
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Osijek +0.19 Efficiency Index
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb -0.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Osijek
Lokomotiva Zagreb
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Osijek ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lokomotiva Zagreb
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Osijek Lokomotiva Zagreb
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Osijek Lokomotiva Zagreb
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Osijek
Lokomotiva Zagreb
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Osijek
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Osijek Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Osijek 0.26
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.19
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Osijek Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Osijek 0.00
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.01
Osijek
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LOK had peak pressure around 25'.
  • OSI started the game with stronger pressure.
OSI Pressure LOK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LOK reached the top pressure at 25' (82.89).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Osijek OSI Home
8 matches
Lokomotiva Zagreb LOK Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
8
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-16T00:11:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Gradski vrt
Capacity
1000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ante Terzić
Dujo Sarić
Sanja Rođak-Karšić
Jakov Titlić

Statistics

Possession
OSI
62%
LOK
38%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
11 Shots 5
102 Dangerous attacks 62
67 Possession 33
9 Corners 4
15 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Goal Kicks 14
5 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 19
1 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 0
20 Dribble Attempts 14
6 Successful Dribbles 3
30 Successful Dribbles Percentage 21

Attacking

142 Attacks 116
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

47 Long Passes 51
456 Passes 218
391 Successful Passes 148
86 Successful Passes Percentage 68
21 Key Passes 6
21 Successful Long Passes 27
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53

Defensive

0 Saves 3
20 Tackles 25
9 Interceptions 14
56 Duels Won 60

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 17
6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Ante Terzić

Starting XI ▼

31
Marko Malenica
Marko Malenica (C) Goalkeeper
6.61
22
Roko Jurisic
Roko Jurisic Defender
7.39
26
Luka Jelenic
Luka Jelenic Defender
7.38
49
Ivano Kolarik
Ivano Kolarik Defender
7.51
33
Emin Hasic
Emin Hasic
Defender90+2'
77
Senad Mustafic
Senad Mustafic Defender
7.16
8
Simun Mikolcic
Simun Mikolcic Midfielder
6.92
7
Ivan Dolcek
Ivan Dolcek
Attacker68'
6.7
11
Nail Omerovic
Nail Omerovic Midfielder
7.29
23
Luka Vrbancic
Luka Vrbancic Midfielder
7.1
39
Domagoj Bukvic
Domagoj Bukvic Midfielder
8.08
67
Balázs Bakti
Balázs Bakti
Midfielder90+2'
48
Jona Jezic
Jona Jezic Midfielder
6.45
17
Arnel Jakupovic
Arnel Jakupovic
Attacker64'
7.68
79
Armando León
Armando León Attacker
6.84
99
Balelo
Balelo
Attacker90+2'
Referee : Ante Terzić

Starting XI ▼

12
Josip Posavec
Josip Posavec Goalkeeper
6.98
4
Athanasios Triantafyllou
Athanasios Triantafyllou Defender
7.85
5
Tino Jukic
Tino Jukic Defender
7.33
21
Teodor Kralevski
Teodor Kralevski Defender
6.68
9
Leon Belcar
Leon Belcar
Midfielder46'
6.38
8
Ivan Katic
Ivan Katic Midfielder
6.65
28
Noel Djurkovic
Noel Djurkovic
Attacker90+2'
10
Matija Subotic
Matija Subotic (C) Midfielder
6.7
6
Feta Fetai
Feta Fetai
Midfielder67'
6.29
14
Marcel Lorber
Marcel Lorber Midfielder
6.57
17
Marko Pajac
Marko Pajac Midfielder
7.07
7
Dušan Vuković
Dušan Vuković Attacker
6.51
11
Mirko Susak
Mirko Susak Attacker
6.52
29
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Midfielder46'
6.53
24
Mirko Maric
Mirko Maric Attacker
6.86
15
Dominik Thaqi
Dominik Thaqi
Attacker80'
6.55

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Marko Pajac
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
Event
Balázs Bakti → Domagoj Bukvic
7th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Balelo → Armando León
8th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Emin Hasic → Ivano Kolarik
10th Substitution
90+2'
90+2'
Event
Noel Djurkovic → Ivan Katic 
9th Substitution
Event
Arnel Jakupovic
Header / 1st Goal
90'
85'
Event
Marcel Lorber
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Ivano Kolarik
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
81'
Event
Armando León
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
80'
80'
Event
Dominik Thaqi → Mirko Maric
6th Substitution
Event
Arnel Jakupovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
75'
69'
Event
Tino Jukic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Ivan Dolcek → Simun Mikolcic
5th Substitution
68'
67'
Event
Feta Fetai → Matija Subotic
4th Substitution
Event
Arnel Jakupovic → Jona Jezic
3rd Substitution
64'
46'
Event
Leon Belcar → Teodor Kralevski
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Jakov-Anton Vasilj → Mirko Susak
2nd Substitution

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Arnel Jakupovic 1-0
90
Corner Corner
Corner
88
Corner Corner
Corner
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ivan Katic Left Footed Shot Blocked
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leon Belcar Right Footed Shot Blocked
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ivan Dolcek Left Footed Shot Missed
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Marcel Lorber
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leon Belcar Right Footed Shot Blocked
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Ivano Kolarik
80
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leon Belcar Right Footed Shot Blocked
80
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leon Belcar Right Footed Shot Blocked
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Ivano Kolarik
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Armando Leon Resendez
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Leon Belcar Right Footed Shot Blocked
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Ivano Kolarik
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Armando Leon Resendez
74
Update Update
On Dominik Thaqi，Off Mirko Maric
72
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tino Jukic Right Footed Shot Missed
70
Corner Corner
Corner
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Arnel Jakupovic
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Domagoj Bukvic Right Footed Shot Blocked
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tino Jukic Right Footed Shot Missed
59
Corner Corner
Corner
58
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tino Jukic Right Footed Shot Missed
57
Corner Corner
Corner
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Arnel Jakupovic
55
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Domagoj Bukvic Right Footed Shot Blocked
55
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Senad Mustafic Right Footed Shot Post
53
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Nail Omerovic Right Footed Shot Missed
48
Update Update
On Arnel Jakupovic，Off Jona Jezic
48
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Domagoj Bukvic Right Footed Shot Blocked
47
Corner Corner
Corner
46
Corner Corner
Corner
46
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Domagoj Bukvic Left Footed Shot Saved
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Roko Jurisic Left Footed Shot Missed
41
Update Update
On Leon Belcar，Off Teodor Kralevski
39
Update Update
On Jakov-Anton Vasilj，Off Mirko Susak
39
Update Update
First Half Ends！0-0
36
Corner Corner
Corner
33
Update Update
First Half Ends！0-0
32
Corner Corner
Corner
31
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Nail Omerovic Right Footed Shot Blocked
27
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simun Mikolcic Left Footed Shot Missed
23
Corner Corner
Corner
19
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Nail Omerovic Right Footed Shot Missed
16
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jona Jezic Left Footed Shot Saved
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jona Jezic Left Footed Shot Blocked
11
Corner Corner
Corner
9
Corner Corner
Corner
8
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luka Vrbancic Right Footed Shot Blocked
8
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Ante Terzic

CONCLUSION

The match highlighted Osijek dominance in possession and their ability to capitalize after the away side was reduced to ten players. With the halftime score remaining 0-0 the second half brought the decisive moment through a single goal that separated the sides. The red card created clear challenges for Lokomotiva Zagreb limiting their options and allowing Osijek to maintain control. Efficiency levels stayed consistent throughout despite the numerical imbalance. The result matched the stronger team status of the home side and aligned with available indicators. Overall the contest demonstrated how a key event can shape the flow without altering core performance metrics. Osijek secured the three points in a controlled manner.